Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Havre host Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Le Havre are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last seven matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Le Havre, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Five of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in 10 of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Le Havre have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Le Havre have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Le Havre have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.22. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Havre (18th) and Paris Saint-Germain (second) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 507 rating points above Le Havre (Paris Saint-Germain 1882, Le Havre 1375, after at least 109 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain.

Team news

Predicted Le Havre XI (4-3-3): G. Gallon, A. Touba, A. Seko, D. Ouziad, J. Mwanga, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, E. Jelert, M. Samatta, J. Maja, S. Nakamura — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Simon Ebonog (4.3 per match over seven appearances) and A. Richardson (4.2 per match over seven appearances) have been Le Havre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Havre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simon Ebonog averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 614 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. A. Richardson averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 614 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, Marquinhos, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, W. Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, J. Neves, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, K. Kvaratskhelia, D. Doué — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.5 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and four assists) and O. Dembélé (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 1392 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1399 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Le Havre 0 · draws 1 · Paris Saint-Germain 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Havre 0W 1D 4L · Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L

Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 3
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 10
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 0.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLe Havre for / againstLineParis Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
3 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
22.63 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
10 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
7.25 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Le Havre
Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Richardson n 880.3
2.77/6
2.16/4
—
R. Fofana n 836
2.25/2
3.84/3
—
S. Ebonog n 878.9
27/5
2.36/5
—
T. Pembélé n 839.8
24/3
0.62/0
—
E. Koffi Vinette n 825.8
1.73/1
3.95/3
—
Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Samatta n 887.3
3.27/5
1.56/4
R. Fofana n 836
2.54/3
1.33/1
I. Soumaré n 859.3
2.16/3
0.94/1
J. Maja n 855.6
26/2
14/1
Kaito Mizuta n 854.3
1.75/3
0.41/1
Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Nakamura n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Fofana n 836
0.62/0
00/0
I. Soumaré n 859.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Samatta n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
V. Sasso n 877.3
0.31/1
00/0
Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Pembélé n 839.8
3.77/4
E. Koffi Vinette n 825.8
3.15/2
R. Ndiaye n 873.4
2.86/6
A. Richardson n 880.3
2.77/6
J. Mwanga n 865.5
2.77/4
Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Mpasi n 889.9
4.35/5
G. Gallon n 875.9
2.44/3
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Digne n 856.8
1.85/3
1.24/1
—
João Neves n 847.5
1.75/1
0.21/0
—
M. Akliouche n 859.1
1.34/2
0.42/0
—
D. Doué n 851.6
1.33/2
0.71/1
—
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
1.24/0
0.92/1
—
Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.6
3.98/5
2.48/3
Ferran Torres n 862.5
3.48/5
27/3
O. Dembélé n 857.9
3.37/4
1.46/1
A. Hakimi n 870.3
2.47/6
0.85/0
Fabián Ruiz n 867.4
2.25/3
0.83/1
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.6
0.94/0
0.93/1
Ferran Torres n 862.5
0.93/1
0.21/0
O. Dembélé n 857.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
Vitinha n 868.5
0.53/0
00/0
Fabián Ruiz n 867.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
3.96/4
João Neves n 847.5
3.87/3
Pedro Fernández n 836.8
3.77/4
Beraldo n 836.4
3.46/2
D. Doué n 851.6
3.37/4
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890
48/7

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le HavreLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Le Havre 0 · 1 draw · Paris Saint-Germain 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Le Havre
  • 2025-04-19 Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 Le Havre
  • 2024-08-16 Le Havre 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2024-04-27 Paris Saint-Germain 3–3 Le Havre
  • 2023-12-03 Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain
League standing · 2026/27
Le Havre#18 pos2 pts7 pl-6 GD
Paris Saint-Germain#2 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Le Havre scored0.71
Paris Saint-Germain scored2
Le Havre conceded1.57
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.29

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain?
In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain?
Recent form — Le Havre 0W 1D 4L; Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →