Le Havre v Strasbourg prediction

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Strasbourg, Ligue 1 on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Havre host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Le Havre are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Strasbourg are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Strasbourg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in 10 of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Le Havre have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Le Havre have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Le Havre have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Strasbourg have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.88. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Havre (18th) and Strasbourg (14th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Strasbourg the stronger side, 217 rating points above Le Havre (Strasbourg 1592, Le Havre 1375, after at least 109 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg.

Team news

Predicted Le Havre XI (4-3-3): G. Gallon, A. Touba, A. Seko, D. Ouziad, J. Mwanga, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, E. Jelert, M. Samatta, J. Maja, S. Nakamura — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Simon Ebonog (4.3 per match over seven appearances) and A. Richardson (4.2 per match over seven appearances) have been Le Havre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Havre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simon Ebonog averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 614 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. A. Richardson averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 614 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, I. Doukouré, P. Diop, D. Sousa, G. Reyna, G. Yassine, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (6.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Oso (3.9 per match over five appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 797 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Oso averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 606 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Le Havre 3 · draws 0 · Strasbourg 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Havre 0W 1D 4L · Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L

Le Havre v Strasbourg (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 2.38
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLe Havre for / againstLineStrasbourg for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
2.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 17.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Le Havre
Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Richardson n 880.3
2.77/6
2.16/4
—
R. Fofana n 836
2.25/2
3.84/3
—
S. Ebonog n 878.9
27/5
2.36/5
—
T. Pembélé n 839.8
24/3
0.62/0
—
E. Koffi Vinette n 825.8
1.73/1
3.95/3
—
Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Samatta n 887.3
3.27/5
1.56/4
R. Fofana n 836
2.54/3
1.33/1
I. Soumaré n 859.3
2.16/3
0.94/1
J. Maja n 855.6
26/2
14/1
Kaito Mizuta n 854.3
1.75/3
0.41/1
Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Nakamura n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Fofana n 836
0.62/0
00/0
I. Soumaré n 859.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Samatta n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
V. Sasso n 877.3
0.31/1
00/0
Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Pembélé n 839.8
3.77/4
E. Koffi Vinette n 825.8
3.15/2
R. Ndiaye n 873.4
2.86/6
A. Richardson n 880.3
2.77/6
J. Mwanga n 865.5
2.77/4
Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Mpasi n 889.9
4.35/5
G. Gallon n 875.9
2.44/3
Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Dário Essugo n 836.5
2.23/2
2.85/3
—
J. Ortega n 748.7
2.14/4
0.52/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.97/5
2.77/6
—
Diogo Sousa n 868.8
1.86/4
0.52/1
—
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
2.75/2
1.73/1
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
24/1
0.41/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.66/4
0.95/1
Diego Moreira n 860.9
1.56/1
0.73/1
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Moreira n 860.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
0.71/1
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Ortega n 748.7
0.31/0
0.31/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
Dário Essugo n 836.5
3.45/3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
2.83/2
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
2.57/5
J. Mitchell n 889.3
2.17/6
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
48/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le HavreLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
StrasbourgWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Le Havre 3 · 0 draws · Strasbourg 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg
  • 2025-09-14 Strasbourg 1–0 Le Havre
  • 2025-05-17 Strasbourg 2–3 Le Havre
  • 2024-12-15 Le Havre 0–3 Strasbourg
  • 2024-05-04 Le Havre 3–1 Strasbourg
  • 2024-02-07 Strasbourg 3–1 Le Havre
League standing · 2026/27
Le Havre#18 pos2 pts7 pl-6 GD
Strasbourg#14 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Le Havre scored0.71
Strasbourg scored1.71
Le Havre conceded1.57
Strasbourg conceded2.14

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Strasbourg?
In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 3, Strasbourg won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Strasbourg?
Recent form — Le Havre 0W 1D 4L; Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L.

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