Le Havre v Toulouse prediction

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Toulouse, Ligue 1 on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Havre host Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday 6 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Le Havre have scored four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

12 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Le Havre are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in nine of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Le Havre have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29. Le Havre have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Both teams scored in 10 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Toulouse have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.13. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Havre (18th) and Toulouse (ninth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toulouse the stronger side, 258 rating points above Le Havre (Toulouse 1696, Le Havre 1438, after at least 108 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre.

Team news

Predicted Le Havre XI (3-4-2-1): G. Gallon, A. Seko, A. Touba, D. Ouziad, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, E. Jelert, T. Pembélé, K. Mizuta, J. Maja, M. Samatta — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Simon Ebonog (4.0 per match over seven appearances) and A. Richardson (3.7 per match over seven appearances) have been Le Havre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Havre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simon Ebonog averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 564 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. A. Richardson averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 564 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, R. Messali, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, Y. Azizi, A. Vossah, N. Sigur, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (8.2 per match over seven appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (5.6 per match over five appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 4.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Le Havre 2 · draws 1 · Toulouse 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Havre 0W 2D 3L · Toulouse 2W 2D 1L

Le Havre v Toulouse (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLe Havre for / againstLineToulouse for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Le Havre
Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Richardson n 876.5
2.57/5
1.66/4
—
S. Boufal n 859.9
2.46/4
36/6
—
S. Ebonog n 869.9
2.37/5
2.76/5
—
T. Pembélé n 839.8
24/3
0.62/0
—
R. Fofana n 833.9
24/2
4.35/3
—
Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Samatta n 887.3
37/5
1.36/3
I. Soumaré n 860.6
2.67/3
1.15/1
J. Maja n 850.3
1.85/2
0.93/1
Kaito Mizuta n 761.3
1.75/3
0.41/1
S. Nakamura n 847.1
1.76/1
14/0
Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Nakamura n 847.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
S. Boufal n 859.9
0.21/0
0.42/0
I. Soumaré n 860.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Samatta n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
V. Sasso n 877.3
0.31/1
00/0
Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Pembélé n 839.8
3.77/4
E. Koffi Vinette n 824.1
3.35/2
R. Ndiaye n 868.5
3.16/6
S. Boufal n 859.9
36/4
S. Ebonog n 869.9
2.67/5
Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Mpasi n 889.9
4.35/5
G. Gallon n 875.9
2.84/3
Toulouse
Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Hidalgo n 838.5
2.95/2
1.54/1
—
Y. Azizi n 844
2.65/3
1.33/1
—
A. Dønnum n 867.9
2.37/4
1.75/4
—
R. Messali n 855.5
26/4
1.25/1
—
A. Vossah n 851.6
25/2
1.35/1
—
Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Tengstedt n 853
4.26/5
1.75/3
S. Hidalgo n 838.5
2.64/3
2.34/2
Emersonn n 860.9
2.45/5
0.73/1
J. Russell-Rowe n 861.9
2.27/3
1.55/2
Y. Azizi n 844
25/3
0.31/0
Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Tengstedt n 853
1.14/1
0.21/0
C. Cásseres n 882.5
00/0
0.74/1
Emersonn n 860.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
D. Methalie n 859.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Jørgensen n 877.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
C. Cásseres n 882.5
3.87/6
I. Diallo n 532.6
2.84/1
Y. Azizi n 844
2.65/2
A. Dønnum n 867.9
2.56/4
Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Niflore n 881.1
3.37/4
Guillaume Restes n 878.5
2.74/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le HavreDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ToulouseLDWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Le Havre 2 · 1 draw · Toulouse 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-19 Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre
  • 2026-02-15 Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse
  • 2025-11-02 Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre
  • 2025-02-23 Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse
  • 2024-09-15 Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre
  • 2024-03-10 Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse
League standing · 2026/27
Le Havre#18 pos2 pts6 pl-4 GD
Toulouse#9 pos9 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Le Havre scored0.67
Toulouse scored1.71
Le Havre conceded1.33
Toulouse conceded1.57

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Toulouse?
In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 2, Toulouse won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Toulouse?
Recent form — Le Havre 0W 2D 3L; Toulouse 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →