Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient prediction

Ligue 1 · · Parc des Princes

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient, Ligue 1 on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Paris Saint-Germain host Lorient in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Lorient have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Paris Saint-Germain have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Lorient have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.00. Lorient have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lorient have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain (second) and Lorient (seventh) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 267 rating points above Lorient (Paris Saint-Germain 1882, Lorient 1615, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lorient. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Lorient.

Team news

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, Marquinhos, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, W. Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, J. Neves, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, K. Kvaratskhelia, D. Doué — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.1 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and O. Dembélé (5.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 1314 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1379 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lorient XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Mvogo, M. Talbi, N. Adjei, D. Sylla, K. Kouassi, N. Cadiou, A. Avom, T. Le Bris, N. Mbamba, P. Katseris, J. Makengo — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dembo Sylla (3.5 per match over seven appearances) and Noah Cadiou (3.5 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Lorient’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lorient (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dembo Sylla averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 612 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Noah Cadiou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 624 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Parc des Princes
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 2 · draws 3 · Lorient 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L · Lorient 3W 1D 1L

Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 2.88
Corners
against 3.25 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParis Saint-Germain for / againstLineLorient for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
22.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
8.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
6.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Digne n 856.8
1.85/3
1.24/1
—
M. Akliouche n 866.5
1.45/2
0.73/1
—
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
1.24/0
0.92/1
—
João Neves n 847.5
0.94/0
0.52/0
—
I. Zabarnyi n 886.5
0.74/1
0.53/1
—
Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
4.38/5
2.28/2
O. Dembélé n 863.6
3.97/5
1.46/2
Ferran Torres n 857.1
3.27/4
1.86/2
A. Hakimi n 870.3
2.67/5
0.64/0
Vitinha n 868.5
2.16/5
1.14/2
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
0.73/0
0.93/1
Ferran Torres n 857.1
13/1
0.21/0
O. Dembélé n 863.6
0.42/0
0.53/0
M. Akliouche n 866.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
Marquinhos n 886.3
0.43/0
00/0
Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Fernández n 836.8
3.77/4
João Neves n 847.5
3.67/3
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
3.65/4
Beraldo n 836.4
3.46/2
D. Doué n 851.8
37/3
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890
3.67/6
Lorient
Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kone n 845.4
2.25/3
1.76/1
—
Souleymane Isaak Touré n 852.9
1.96/3
0.93/1
—
I. Baldé n 863.3
1.64/4
0.74/0
—
P. Pagis n 873.9
1.58/2
1.87/3
—
J. Makengo n 883.1
1.46/3
37/7
—
Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kone n 845.4
3.56/5
25/2
B. Dieng n 854.4
3.15/5
1.24/2
A. Tosin n 828
2.85/2
0.81/1
P. Pagis n 873.9
2.37/4
0.53/0
I. Baldé n 863.3
2.17/3
1.14/1
Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Baldé n 863.3
0.93/1
00/0
P. Katseris n 854.5
00/0
0.83/1
M. Kone n 845.4
0.52/0
00/0
P. Pagis n 873.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Dieng n 854.4
0.42/0
00/0
Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Avom n 855
3.16/4
T. Le Bris n 857
2.68/4
N. Mbamba n 864.9
2.46/4
A. Faye n 880.9
2.18/6
P. Katseris n 854.5
2.16/2
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.65/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
LorientWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Paris Saint-Germain 2 · 3 draws · Lorient 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Lorient
  • 2025-10-29 Lorient 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2024-04-24 Lorient 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2023-08-12 Paris Saint-Germain 0–0 Lorient
  • 2023-04-30 Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 Lorient
  • 2022-11-06 Lorient 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain
League standing · 2026/27
Paris Saint-Germain#2 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Lorient#7 pos11 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Paris Saint-Germain scored2
Lorient scored1
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.29
Lorient conceded0.86

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient?
In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 2, Lorient won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient?
Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L; Lorient 3W 1D 1L.

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