Toulouse v Nice prediction
Team pages: Toulouse · Nice · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Nice, Ligue 1 on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Toulouse host Nice in Ligue 1 on Saturday 23 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Toulouse are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Nice. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 10 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Toulouse have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Seven of Nice’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Nice’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Nice have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.50. Nice have scored six goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nice have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Toulouse (11th) and Nice (13th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toulouse the stronger side, 114 rating points above Nice (Toulouse 1696, Nice 1583, after at least 253 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Toulouse 5–1 Nice.
Team news
Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, R. Messali, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, Y. Azizi, A. Vossah, N. Sigur, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (8.2 per match over seven appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (5.6 per match over five appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 4.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.
Predicted Nice XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Diouf, X. Mandza, Y. Ndayishimiye, M. Abdelmonem, J. Clauss, A. Witsel, D. Coulibaly, N. Nkounkou, M. Bard, H. Boudaoui, G. Hein — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jonathan Clauss (4.0 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Niels Nkounkou (3.5 per match over five appearances) have been Nice’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nice (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jonathan Clauss averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 608 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances. Niels Nkounkou averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 403 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stadium de Toulouse
- Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 3 · draws 2 · Nice 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Toulouse 2W 2D 1L · Nice 2W 1D 2L
Toulouse v Nice (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Toulouse for / against | Line | Nice for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.5 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Toulouse
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| R. Messali n 8 | 55.5 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Vossah n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Julián Vignolo n 8 | 33.9 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. Methalie n 8 | 59.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Diop n 8 | 62 | 4 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 3.8 |
| I. Diallo n 5 | 32.6 | 2.8 |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Niflore n 8 | 81.1 | 3.3 |
| Guillaume Restes n 8 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
Nice
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Diallo n 6 | 41.8 | 3.2 | 0.4 | — |
| N. Nkounkou n 8 | 55 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Abdi n 8 | 56.9 | 2.2 | 0.2 | — |
| H. Boudaoui n 8 | 47.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| E. Pereira n 8 | 37.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cho n 8 | 38.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| E. Wahi n 8 | 61.6 | 2 | 1.1 |
| Nathan N'Goumou n 8 | 30.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| J. Clauss n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| M. Amoura n 8 | 59.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diop n 8 | 41.6 | 0 | 0.8 |
| T. Louchet n 8 | 44.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| J. Clauss n 8 | 87.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| E. Wahi n 8 | 61.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Z. Diallo n 6 | 41.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Nkounkou n 8 | 55 | 3.9 |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem n 8 | 65.8 | 3.4 |
| A. Abdi n 8 | 56.9 | 3.4 |
| H. Boudaoui n 8 | 47.8 | 3.1 |
| A. Mendy n 8 | 71.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Toulouse v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-17 Toulouse 5–1 Nice
- 2025-08-16 Nice 0–1 Toulouse
- 2025-02-02 Toulouse 1–1 Nice
- 2024-08-25 Nice 1–1 Toulouse
- 2024-03-03 Toulouse 2–1 Nice
- 2023-11-26 Nice 1–0 Toulouse
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Nice?
- In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 3, Nice won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Toulouse and Nice?
- Recent form — Toulouse 2W 2D 1L; Nice 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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