Le Mans v Bastia result

Full-time · Le Mans 1–0 Bastia

Ligue 2 · · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Mans 1–0 Bastia — Le Mans won this Ligue 2 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 216 landed (95% range 71.8–82.8%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Le Mans beat Bastia 1–0 at Stade Marie-Marvingt in Ligue 2 on Friday 22 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Le Mans: Dame Guèye (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dame Guèye’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Le Mans 0.00, Bastia 0.00, from 13 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Bouille showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Mans: A. Ribelin (25’), Théo Eyoum (64’), Milan Robin (77’) and Samuel Yohou (84’); Bastia: D. Guidi (64’) and N. Parravicini (88’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dame Guèye (Le Mans) 10.4, A. Boutrah (Bastia) 3.2 and L. Etoga (Bastia) 3.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Le Mans to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Le Mans next travel to Auxerre on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Mans: Auxerre v Le Mans, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Le Mans 1–0 Bastia · Ligue 2
  • Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt · Le Mans
  • Referee: T. Bouille
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Le Mans 0 · draws 0 · Bastia 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Mans 1W 2D 2L · Bastia 1W 2D 2L

Le Mans 1–0 Bastia (Ligue 2): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le MansBastia
53%Possession47%
13Shots13
3Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box7
9Corners5
2Offsides3
17Fouls11
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
326Passes299
78%Pass accuracy79%

Le Mans player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Kocik9000000007.5
Théo Eyoum90001002Y7.6
S. Yohou90000000Y6.9
H. Voyer9000001007.3
A. Lauray9000000106.3
D. Guèye9010322008.2
A. Ribelin81000010Y6.7
J. Vercruysse6500211006.6
M. Rossignol6500100206.7
L. Abanda6500001207.3
T. Luvambo4500001006.5
W. Harhouz sub4500101006.7
M. Robin sub26000001Y6.3
L. Calodat sub2600000006.9
E. Quarshie sub2600000106.6
Brice Oggad sub1000001006.6

Bastia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Placide9000000007.6
D. Guidi90001100Y6.7
A. Roncaglia9000000206.7
Z. Ariss9000003006.5
L. Etoga9000110006.6
A. Boutrah9000001006.6
J. Janneh8900000107
F. Bohnert7600000207
J. Sebas7600310107
M. Blé6100000006
F. Tomi6000100006.2
C. Vincent sub3100004006.6
N. Parravicini sub30001000Y6.2
T. Meynadier sub1500000006.3
I. Karamoko sub1500100006.2
A. Aiki sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Le Mans v Bastia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le MansWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BastiaLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Le Mans 0 · 0 draws · Bastia 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2018-11-17 SC Bastia 2–1 Le Mans
League standing · 2025/26
Le Mans#2 pos62 pts34 pl+19 GD
Bastia#17 pos28 pts34 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
Le Mans scored1.47
Bastia scored0.68
Le Mans conceded0.91
Bastia conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Mans v Bastia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Mans v Bastia was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Le Mans and Bastia?
In their last 1 meetings, Le Mans won 0, Bastia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Mans and Bastia?
Recent form — Le Mans 1W 2D 2L; Bastia 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →