Nantes v Dunkerque prediction
Team pages: Nantes · Dunkerque
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Nantes vs Dunkerque, Ligue 2 on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:00 BST.
The match
Nantes host Dunkerque in Ligue 2 on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Nantes or Dunkerque (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
Seven of Nantes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Nantes’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Nantes have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Nantes have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nantes have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Seven of Dunkerque’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Dunkerque’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Dunkerque have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 2.71. Dunkerque have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dunkerque have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Nantes (13th) and Dunkerque (12th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Nantes the stronger side, 102 rating points above Dunkerque (Nantes 1483, Dunkerque 1381, after at least eight rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Nantes XI (4-1-4-1): M. Dupé, L. Perrin, K. Amian, S. Sow, F. Guilbert, I. Sissoko, J. Lepenant, M. Cafaro, R. Hachem, W. Younoussa, T. Robinet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bahereba Guirassy (3.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and W. Younoussa (3.4 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Nantes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nantes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bahereba Guirassy averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 416 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. W. Younoussa averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 325 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last six appearances.
Predicted Dunkerque XI (4-2-3-1): M. Airam, A. Linguet, O. Sanganté, L. Vallier, B. Lagae, A. Lebeau, T. Massock, J. Morel, E. Prutsev, K. Ayari, T. Robinet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Robinet (4.5 per match over four appearances, one goal and two assists) and Moha Airam (3.6 per match over five appearances) have been Dunkerque’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dunkerque (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Robinet averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 703 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Moha Airam averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 417 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade de la Beaujoire
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Nantes 2W 2D 1L · Dunkerque 1W 1D 3L
Nantes v Dunkerque (Ligue 2): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 15 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nantes for / against | Line | Dunkerque for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.75 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.38 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Nantes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 52 | 2.4 | 1.3 | — |
| W. Younoussa n 8 | 53.5 | 2.3 | 3.4 | — |
| B. Deuff n 8 | 44.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | — |
| I. Sissoko n 8 | 67.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| B. Pierret n 8 | 68.8 | 2.1 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 52 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| T. Robinet n 8 | 87.9 | 2.7 | 1 |
| I. Ganago n 8 | 56.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| W. Younoussa n 8 | 53.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| K. Corredor n 8 | 72.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Younoussa n 8 | 53.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 52 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| T. Robinet n 8 | 87.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Joujou n 8 | 20.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| K. Corredor n 8 | 72.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Pierret n 8 | 68.8 | 3.4 |
| B. Deuff n 8 | 44.1 | 3.3 |
| A. Joujou n 8 | 20.6 | 3.3 |
| Louis Leroux n 8 | 22.1 | 3.1 |
| J. Lepenant n 8 | 64.4 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Carlgren n 8 | 75.5 | 3.3 |
| M. Dupé n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
Dunkerque
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mayilla n 7 | 22 | 7 | 0 | — |
| Franck Atoen n 3 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 0 | — |
| Théna Massock n 8 | 60.8 | 3.5 | 2 | — |
| K. Ayari n 8 | 54.9 | 2.9 | 4.3 | — |
| A. Daho n 8 | 42.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Robinet n 8 | 87.9 | 2.7 | 1 |
| G. Robail n 8 | 49.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| K. Ayari n 8 | 54.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Marco Decherf n 8 | 42.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Egor Prutsev n 8 | 61.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Decherf n 8 | 42.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| G. Robail n 8 | 49.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Egor Prutsev n 8 | 61.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| S. Keita n 8 | 50.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Robinet n 8 | 87.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Franck Atoen n 3 | 10.3 | 5.8 |
| Théna Massock n 8 | 60.8 | 3.1 |
| J. Morel n 6 | 76.8 | 2.7 |
| O. Touré n 7 | 36.9 | 2.4 |
| L. Vallier n 8 | 57.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Moha Airam n 5 | 83.4 | 4.3 |
| Maxence Prévot n 8 | 82.5 | 2.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Nantes v Dunkerque — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Nantes vs Dunkerque?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Nantes v Dunkerque is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Bet365).
- What is the recent form of Nantes and Dunkerque?
- Recent form — Nantes 2W 2D 1L; Dunkerque 1W 1D 3L.
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