Rodez v Montpellier prediction
Team pages: Rodez · Montpellier
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Rodez vs Montpellier, Ligue 2 on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.
The match
Rodez host Montpellier in Ligue 2 on Monday 19 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Rodez or Montpellier (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Rodez are winless in their last five matches. Rodez have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Montpellier have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
10 of Rodez’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Rodez’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Rodez have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.71. Rodez have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Montpellier are unbeaten in their last three matches. Four of Montpellier’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Montpellier’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Montpellier have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 1.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 0.63. Montpellier have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Rodez (15th) and Montpellier (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Montpellier the stronger side, 213 rating points above Rodez (Montpellier 1675, Rodez 1462, after at least 42 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Rodez 1–0 Montpellier.
Team news
Predicted Rodez XI (5-3-2): L. Margueron, M. Magnin, R. Lipinski, C. Roubiou, L. Laurent, E. Jean-Lambert, J. Mendes, A. Cartillier, D. Pavlovic, M. Touho, K. Nagera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahima Baldé (6.3 per match over four appearances, five goals) and R. Lipinski (4.9 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Rodez’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rodez (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahima Baldé averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 525 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. R. Lipinski averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Montpellier XI (4-2-3-1): S. Ngapandouetnbu, J. Laporte, T. Sainte-Luce, Y. Mouanga, N. El Hannach, F. Tardieu, N. Pays, N. Mukiele, T. Chennahi, N. Vidal-Cartoux, L. Megnan-Pave — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Sainte-Luce (5.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and S. Ngapandouetnbu (4.7 per match over eight appearances) have been Montpellier’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Montpellier (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Sainte-Luce averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 719 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. S. Ngapandouetnbu averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade Paul-Lignon
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Rodez 1 · draws 0 · Montpellier 1 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Rodez 0W 1D 4L · Montpellier 2W 2D 1L
Rodez v Montpellier (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rodez for / against | Line | Montpellier for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.13 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 17.75 for · 17.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Rodez
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Saka n 8 | 32 | 3.9 | 1.4 | — |
| D. Pavlovic n 8 | 40 | 3.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Mendes n 8 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| C. Roubiou n 8 | 59 | 2.5 | 1 | — |
| K. Nagera n 8 | 43.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Touho n 8 | 62.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| K. Nsona n 8 | 31.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| I. Baldé n 8 | 65.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Nachon Nsingi n 8 | 36.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| D. Pavlovic n 8 | 40 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Baldé n 8 | 65.6 | 1 | 0 |
| O. Joly n 8 | 30.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| R. Lipinski n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| K. Nagera n 8 | 43.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| C. Roubiou n 8 | 59 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Luyambula n 6 | 32.8 | 2.7 |
| M. Saka n 8 | 32 | 2.5 |
| Loni Laurent n 8 | 88.1 | 1.8 |
| R. Lipinski n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| M. Magnin n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Margueron n 8 | 88.3 | 2.8 |
| Q. Braat n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Montpellier
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacine Megnan-Pave n 6 | 62.5 | 4.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Hichem Abderrebi n 8 | 35.8 | 3.1 | 4.7 | — |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Gregory Ayem n 5 | 31.4 | 2.3 | 0 | — |
| T. Chennahi n 8 | 71.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Ayem n 5 | 31.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Daryll Benlahlou n 6 | 17.7 | 2.5 | 0 |
| Lacine Megnan-Pave n 6 | 62.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Y. Benhattab n 8 | 36.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| M. Camara n 8 | 77.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daryll Benlahlou n 6 | 17.7 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Y. Benhattab n 8 | 36.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| M. Camara n 8 | 77.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| N. Mukiele n 8 | 74.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Sainte-Luce n 8 | 89.9 | 3.1 |
| Gregory Ayem n 5 | 31.4 | 2.9 |
| Y. Zouaoui n 8 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
| J. Hatchi n 8 | 40.5 | 2.5 |
| Hichem Abderrebi n 8 | 35.8 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Ngapandouetnbu n 8 | 90 | 4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Rodez v Montpellier — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-20 Rodez 1–0 Montpellier
- 2025-10-31 Montpellier 2–0 Rodez
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Rodez vs Montpellier?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Rodez v Montpellier is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Rodez and Montpellier?
- In their last 2 meetings, Rodez won 1, Montpellier won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rodez and Montpellier?
- Recent form — Rodez 0W 1D 4L; Montpellier 2W 2D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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