Saint Etienne v Nantes prediction
Team pages: Saint Etienne · Nantes · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Saint Etienne vs Nantes, Ligue 2 on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.
The match
Saint Etienne host Nantes in Ligue 2 on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Saint Etienne to win.
The key numbers
Saint Etienne have scored in 10 consecutive matches. Saint Etienne have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Saint Etienne are unbeaten in their last three matches. 11 of Saint Etienne’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Saint Etienne’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Saint Etienne have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 0.63. Saint Etienne have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Eight of Nantes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Nantes’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Nantes have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.86. Nantes have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nantes have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Saint Etienne (first) and Nantes (14th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Saint Etienne the stronger side, 398 rating points above Nantes (Saint Etienne 1761, Nantes 1362, after at least nine rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Saint Etienne are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nantes. The most recent meeting, on 19 January 2025, finished Saint Etienne 1–1 Nantes.
Team news
Predicted Saint Etienne XI (4-2-3-1): G. Larsonneur, S. Nair, K. Pedro, J. Le Cardinal, B. Old, Á. Csongvai, A. Boakye, T. Ballo, T. Svetlin, M. Bernauer, I. Cardona — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Boakye (5.9 per match over nine appearances, five goals and three assists) and I. Cardona (4.5 per match over nine appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Saint Etienne’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Saint Etienne (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Boakye averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 722 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. I. Cardona averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 914 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Nantes XI (4-1-4-1): M. Dupé, L. Perrin, K. Amian, S. Sow, F. Guilbert, J. Lepenant, I. Sissoko, M. Cafaro, R. Hachem, W. Younoussa, T. Robinet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bahereba Guirassy (3.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and W. Younoussa (3.5 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Nantes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nantes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bahereba Guirassy averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 416 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. W. Younoussa averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 386 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 2 · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Saint Etienne 0 · draws 5 · Nantes 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Saint Etienne 3W 1D 1L · Nantes 2W 1D 2L
TACTIX runs Saint Etienne v Nantes (Ligue 2) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Saint Etienne for / against | Line | Nantes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.75 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 16.88 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.5 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Saint Etienne
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Baallal n 5 | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | — |
| J. Duffus n 8 | 20.4 | 5 | 3.9 | — |
| T. Ballo n 8 | 65.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | — |
| João Ferreira n 8 | 44.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | — |
| M. Jaber n 8 | 55.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Duffus n 8 | 20.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| A. Boakye n 8 | 84.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| T. Ballo n 8 | 65.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| J. Breum n 8 | 62.5 | 2 | 1.1 |
| I. Cardona n 8 | 79.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breum n 8 | 62.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| T. Ballo n 8 | 65.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| A. Boakye n 8 | 84.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| I. Cardona n 8 | 79.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| J. Duffus n 8 | 20.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Baallal n 5 | 11 | 8.2 |
| M. Jaber n 8 | 55.9 | 5.2 |
| K. Pedro n 8 | 85.8 | 3.1 |
| A. Boakye n 8 | 84.6 | 2.8 |
| T. Ballo n 8 | 65.5 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mamour Ndiaye n 8 | 79.9 | 3.2 |
| G. Larsonneur n 8 | 89.8 | 1.8 |
Nantes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Leroux n 8 | 21.8 | 2.6 | 3.1 | — |
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 52 | 2.4 | 1.3 | — |
| B. Deuff n 8 | 44.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | — |
| B. Pierret n 8 | 61.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| W. Younoussa n 8 | 58.1 | 2.1 | 2.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 52 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| T. Robinet n 8 | 85.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| I. Ganago n 8 | 49.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| K. Corredor n 8 | 73.5 | 2 | 1.1 |
| W. Younoussa n 8 | 58.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Joujou n 8 | 11.6 | 1 | 0 |
| W. Younoussa n 8 | 58.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 52 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| T. Robinet n 8 | 85.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| K. Corredor n 8 | 73.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Centonze n 8 | 56.1 | 4.2 |
| B. Deuff n 8 | 44.1 | 3.3 |
| A. Joujou n 8 | 11.6 | 2.9 |
| B. Pierret n 8 | 61.1 | 2.8 |
| J. Lepenant n 8 | 74.3 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Carlgren n 8 | 75.5 | 3.3 |
| M. Dupé n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Saint Etienne v Nantes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-01-19 Saint Etienne 1–1 Nantes
- 2024-09-29 Nantes 2–2 Saint Etienne
- 2022-05-21 Nantes 1–1 Saint Etienne
- 2021-12-22 Saint Etienne 0–1 Nantes
- 2021-02-03 Saint Etienne 1–1 Nantes
- 2020-09-20 Nantes 2–2 Saint Etienne
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Saint Etienne v Nantes is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Saint Etienne and Nantes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Saint Etienne won 0, Nantes won 1 and there were 5 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Saint Etienne and Nantes?
- Recent form — Saint Etienne 3W 1D 1L; Nantes 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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