CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC result
Team pages: CF Montreal · Atlanta United FC · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC — Atlanta United FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Atlanta United FC won 3–0 at Stade Saputo in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October.
The goals
Atlanta United FC led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Atlanta United FC: M. Almirón (22’, assisted by Elías Báez), Giuliano Galoppo (41’) and B. Embolo (60’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Almirón’s goal on 22 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: CF Montreal 0.48, Atlanta United FC 2.13, from 9 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — CF Montreal: Olger Escobar (83’); Atlanta United FC: Lucas Hoyos (58’) and Fafà Picault (90+1’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Giuliano Galoppo (Atlanta United FC) 7.3, M. Almirón (Atlanta United FC) 6.4 and Elías Báez (Atlanta United FC) 5.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, CF Montreal or Atlanta United FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
CF Montreal next host Nashville SC on 24 October 2026.
Atlanta United FC next host Chicago Fire on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for CF Montreal: CF Montreal v Nashville SC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
- Venue: Stade Saputo · Montreal, Quebec
- Referee: Ricardo Montero Araya
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): CF Montreal 2 · draws 2 · Atlanta United FC 2 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: CF Montreal 1W 0D 4L · Atlanta United FC 1W 2D 2L
CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | CF Montreal for / against | Line | Atlanta United FC for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.25 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Ricardo Montero Araya.
CF Montreal
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Radojevic n 8 | 45.9 | 2.5 | 2 | — |
| D. Sealy n 8 | 52.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| B. Ceballos n 8 | 46.6 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Piette n 8 | 51.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Olger Escobar n 8 | 14.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Owusu n 8 | 85.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| H. Synchuk n 8 | 69 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| D. Sealy n 8 | 52.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Daniel Rios n 8 | 54.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Wikelman Carmona n 8 | 33.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rios n 8 | 54.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Prince Owusu n 8 | 85.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Noah Streit n 8 | 55.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Brayan Vera n 8 | 83.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Luca Petrasso n 8 | 72 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Piette n 8 | 51.9 | 3 |
| Wikelman Carmona n 8 | 33.4 | 2.4 |
| Luca Petrasso n 8 | 72 | 2 |
| V. Radojevic n 8 | 45.9 | 2 |
| Jalen Neal n 8 | 81.6 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Breza n 8 | 93.8 | 2.9 |
| Thomas Gillier n 8 | 92.9 | 2.3 |
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Brennan n 8 | 29.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Sergio Santos n 8 | 14.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | — |
| Cooper Sanchez n 8 | 60.6 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Tristan Muyumba n 8 | 73.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Enea Mihaj n 8 | 43.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Santos n 8 | 14.4 | 5.5 | 1.6 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 64.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Luke Brennan n 8 | 29.1 | 1.9 | 0 |
| M. Almirón n 8 | 85.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Santos n 8 | 14.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Ajani Fortune n 8 | 48.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fafà Picault n 8 | 41.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Almirón n 8 | 85.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Giuliano Galoppo n 8 | 66.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Alzate n 8 | 27.1 | 2.9 |
| Luke Brennan n 8 | 29.1 | 2.7 |
| M. Amaro n 7 | 78.9 | 2.1 |
| R. Hernandez n 8 | 53.5 | 1.9 |
| Matthew Edwards n 8 | 46.4 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos n 8 | 91.4 | 1.6 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| CF Montreal | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Possession | 48% |
| 0.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.13 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 3 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 504 | Passes | 473 |
CF Montreal player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Breza | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Noah Streit | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.7 |
| Daniel Rios | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Luca Petrasso | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Jalen Neal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Brandan Craig | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.1 |
| A. Sánchez | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Daniel Pereira | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Wikelman Carmona | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Matthew Longstaff | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Dawid Bugaj | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Efraín Morales | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Fabian Herbers | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Victor Loturi | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| H. Synchuk | 23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Olger Escobar | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.4 |
Atlanta United FC player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Diaz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Matthew Edwards | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Elías Báez | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Alonso | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Lucas Hoyos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.4 |
| M. Amaro | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| M. Almirón | 83 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Giuliano Galoppo | 75 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| B. Embolo | 74 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Ajani Fortune | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Alzate | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Sergio Santos | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Cooper Sanchez | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Tristan Muyumba | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Fafà Picault | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-02 Atlanta United FC 3–1 CF Montreal
- 2025-08-09 CF Montreal 1–1 Atlanta United FC
- 2025-02-23 Atlanta United FC 3–2 CF Montreal
- 2024-10-22 CF Montreal 2–2 Atlanta United FC
- 2024-10-02 Atlanta United FC 1–2 CF Montreal
- 2024-07-13 CF Montreal 1–0 Atlanta United FC
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC was Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC?
- In their last 6 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, Atlanta United FC won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC?
- Recent form — CF Montreal 1W 0D 4L; Atlanta United FC 1W 2D 2L.
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