CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati result

Full-time · CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer · · Stade Saputo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: CF Montreal · FC Cincinnati · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati — CF Montreal won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

CF Montreal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1 at Stade Saputo in Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September. It is CF Montreal’s first win over FC Cincinnati since 13 April 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

CF Montreal led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — CF Montreal: Daniel Rios (25’) and Prince Owusu (72’ pen; 75’, assisted by Daniel Rios); FC Cincinnati: Tom Barlow (65’, assisted by Gerardo Valenzuela).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Prince Owusu’s goal on 72 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: CF Montreal 2.07, FC Cincinnati 1.91, from 15 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ismail Elfath, USA showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — CF Montreal: Matthew Longstaff (33’) and Fabian Herbers (47’); FC Cincinnati: Roman Celentano (71’) and T. Hadebe (86’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Prince Owusu (CF Montreal) 13.0, Daniel Rios (CF Montreal) 7.5 and Gerardo Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, CF Montreal or FC Cincinnati (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

CF Montreal next host Nashville SC on 24 October 2026.

FC Cincinnati next host DC United on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for CF Montreal: CF Montreal v Nashville SC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v DC United, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Stade Saputo · Montreal, Quebec
  • Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): CF Montreal 1 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 4 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: CF Montreal 0W 0D 5L · FC Cincinnati 0W 3D 2L

CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 10 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.25 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.38
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCF Montreal for / againstLineFC Cincinnati for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA.

CF Montreal
CF Montreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Radojevic n 845.9
2.56/3
26/2
—
D. Sealy n 852.6
2.45/3
0.93/1
—
B. Ceballos n 855.9
2.26/3
1.23/2
Nick Hagglund
Olger Escobar n 814.8
1.52/0
1.52/0
—
H. Synchuk n 869
1.34/2
1.15/2
—
CF Montreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Prince Owusu n 885.8
3.18/7
1.78/5
H. Synchuk n 869
2.68/4
1.55/3
D. Sealy n 852.6
2.46/3
1.55/1
Daniel Rios n 842.1
1.94/2
1.13/1
Matthew Longstaff n 868.3
1.64/3
14/2
CF Montreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Prince Owusu n 885.8
0.54/0
00/0
Daniel Rios n 842.1
0.52/0
00/0
Noah Streit n 855.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Wikelman Carmona n 854.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Luca Petrasso n 882.3
00/0
0.32/0
CF Montreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Samuel Piette n 859.8
47/5
V. Radojevic n 845.9
25/2
Wikelman Carmona n 854.6
1.94/4
Dawid Bugaj n 871.1
1.76/4
Victor Loturi n 871.8
1.65/3
CF Montreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sebastian Breza n 893.9
2.65/4
Thomas Gillier n 892.9
2.34/3
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Nwobodo n 853.5
2.76/4
0.63/0
—
Ayoub Jabbari n 825.1
2.74/2
2.73/2
—
K. Fletcher n 821.1
2.14/0
0.51/0
—
Nick Hagglund n 850
1.83/2
0.52/0
B. Ceballos
Bryan Ramirez n 849.3
1.86/2
0.73/0
—
FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Evander n 885.1
3.27/7
1.25/3
Ayoub Jabbari n 825.1
2.73/1
1.82/1
Kenji Mboma Dem n 867.1
2.27/4
0.84/1
Kévin Denkey n 873.3
26/2
1.24/2
Tom Barlow n 845.3
25/2
1.24/1
FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 873.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
Bryan Ramirez n 849.3
0.21/0
0.52/0
Evander n 885.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Powell n 831.1
00/0
0.41/0
Pavel Bucha n 880
0.32/0
00/0
FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Powell n 831.1
2.95/2
Tah Anunga n 836.1
2.84/2
Ayoub Jabbari n 825.1
2.72/2
O. Nwobodo n 853.5
2.57/2
Bryan Ramirez n 849.3
2.56/2
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Evan Louro n 894.1
3.27/6
Roman Celentano n 890
2.95/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati
45%Possession55%
2.07Expected goals (xG)1.91
15Shots18
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target11
5Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box11
4Corners6
2Offsides0
8Fouls7
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
449Passes542
85%Pass accuracy87%

CF Montreal player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sebastian Breza9700000007.9
Jalen Neal9700000407.9
Luca Petrasso9700112206.9
Brandan Craig9700000106.2
Matthew Longstaff97000011Y7
Victor Loturi9700100206.6
Dawid Bugaj9700100206.9
A. Sánchez9700001006.9
Daniel Rios9711311007.9
Prince Owusu8720434109.2
B. Ceballos1100000006.7
Fabian Herbers sub86000020Y7.2
Frankie Amaya sub1000000006.3

FC Cincinnati player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gerardo Valenzuela9701203007.2
Kenji Mboma Dem9700100306.5
T. Hadebe97001002Y6.3
Evander9700106006.5
Tom Barlow9710531007.3
Roman Celentano97000000Y5.3
Nick Hagglund8600002206.9
Samuel Gidi8600000006
Bryan Ramirez7700104107
O. Nwobodo7700001306.9
Ayoub Jabbari5800211006.3
D. Douděra sub3900001106.9
K. Fletcher sub2000000006.6
Kyle Smith sub2000000006.9
Tah Anunga sub1100100206.9
A. Powell sub1100100006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CF MontrealLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
FC CincinnatiDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
CF Montreal 1 · 1 draw · FC Cincinnati 4 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 CF Montreal
  • 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 CF Montreal
  • 2025-06-25 CF Montreal 1–3 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-08-31 FC Cincinnati 4–1 CF Montreal
  • 2024-04-13 CF Montreal 2–1 FC Cincinnati
  • 2023-09-20 CF Montreal 1–1 FC Cincinnati
League standing · 2026
CF Montreal#15 pos25 pts30 pl-24 GD
FC Cincinnati#9 pos36 pts28 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
CF Montreal scored1.2
FC Cincinnati scored2.14
CF Montreal conceded2
FC Cincinnati conceded2.43

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati?
TACTIX’s free model pick for CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati?
In their last 6 meetings, CF Montreal won 1, FC Cincinnati won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati?
Recent form — CF Montreal 0W 0D 5L; FC Cincinnati 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s boards

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