Chicago Fire v Nashville SC result

Full-time · Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · · Soldier Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chicago Fire · Nashville SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC — Chicago Fire won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chicago Fire beat Nashville SC 1–0 at Soldier Field in Major League Soccer on Sunday 5 April. It is Chicago Fire’s first win over Nashville SC since 9 July 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Chicago Fire led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chicago Fire: P. Zinckernagel (1’, assisted by Jonathan Bamba).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with P. Zinckernagel’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Chicago Fire 1.18, Nashville SC 0.79, from 10 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. De Oliveira showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chicago Fire: A. Saletros (72’) and D. D'Avilla (78’); Nashville SC: E. Tagseth (80’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) 9.2, Jonathan Bamba (Chicago Fire) 6.5 and A. Najar (Nashville SC) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chicago Fire or Nashville SC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Chicago Fire next travel to Atlanta United FC on 24 October 2026.

Nashville SC next travel to CF Montreal on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chicago Fire: Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Nashville SC: CF Montreal v Nashville SC, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Soldier Field · Chicago
  • Referee: M. De Oliveira
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Fire 1 · draws 0 · Nashville SC 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chicago Fire 2W 1D 2L · Nashville SC 3W 2D 0L

Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · M. De Oliveira
1.9 home / 1.2 away
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChicago Fire for / againstLineNashville SC for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 8.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: M. De Oliveira — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.4 fouls over 10 matches (1.9 to the home side, 1.2 to the away side).

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Zinckernagel n 882.4
2.37/5
2.37/5
A. Muyl
D. D'Avilla n 864.4
2.36/3
1.75/3
A. Muyl
V. Radojevic n 459.3
2.32/2
2.73/2
—
R. Lod n 856.6
1.86/2
1.42/2
—
Leonardo Barroso n 860.4
1.75/3
00/0
—
Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 853
2.36/3
1.75/3
H. Cuypers n 891.1
2.15/5
1.25/2
Jonathan Bamba n 881.8
1.87/4
1.47/2
B. Gutierrez n 856
1.85/2
1.23/2
C. Mueller n 843.8
1.54/2
0.82/1
Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Cuypers n 891.1
0.75/1
0.11/0
Tom Barlow n 853
0.63/0
00/0
Jonathan Bamba n 881.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Elliott n 888
0.42/1
00/0
A. Gutman n 885.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pineda n 846.4
3.47/3
J. Dean n 860.1
2.66/3
B. Gutierrez n 856
2.66/4
A. Saletros n 890
2.17/4
D. D'Avilla n 864.4
2.15/3
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 891.1
1.75/2
Nashville SC
Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Woobens Pacius n 832.4
4.26/4
0.31/0
—
M. Corcoran n 858.4
3.17/6
0.62/1
—
B. Acosta n 837.8
2.77/2
0.31/0
—
A. Qasem n 834
25/1
0.31/0
—
A. Muyl n 854
1.74/1
2.36/2
D. D'Avilla
Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Surridge n 870.3
3.77/6
2.77/4
Woobens Pacius n 832.4
2.15/1
0.72/0
H. Mukhtar n 874.4
27/5
1.15/2
Jordan Knight n 346
22/1
0.71/0
A. Qasem n 834
24/2
1.33/1
Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Mohammed n 512
00/0
1.51/0
S. Surridge n 870.3
1.34/3
00/0
C. Espinoza n 868.1
0.53/0
0.53/0
Jordan Knight n 346
0.71/0
00/0
Woobens Pacius n 832.4
0.72/0
00/0
Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bauer n 841.8
3.26/3
B. Acosta n 837.8
2.75/2
A. Qasem n 834
2.64/2
J. Palacios n 890.6
2.47/6
D. Lovitz n 867.3
2.26/3
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.6
1.74/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chicago FireNashville SC
39%Possession61%
1.18Expected goals (xG)0.79
10Shots10
3Shots on target4
2Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box7
1Corners3
2Offsides3
19Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves2
370Passes568
80%Pass accuracy83%

Chicago Fire player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brady9000000007.2
Leonardo Barroso9000000106.7
M. Mbokazi9000000207.9
A. Gutman9000001207.3
D. D'Avilla9000001106.7
A. Saletros9000001006.6
Jonathan Bamba9001312107.9
R. Lod9000001406.9
P. Zinckernagel8910220408.3
M. Haile-Selassie8100003006.9
J. Elliott6200000006.6
Christopher Cupps sub2800000006.9
Jason Shokalook sub900000006.2
V. Radojevic sub800000006.7

Nashville SC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Schwake9000000006.6
A. Najar9000002207.9
J. Palacios9000210106.9
M. Woledzi9000000407.2
H. Mukhtar9000110006.9
S. Surridge9000210006
E. Tagseth8900000206.7
D. Lovitz7800001006.2
C. Espinoza7800000105.7
M. Corcoran6100100106.9
A. Muyl6100000206.2
P. Yazbek sub2900000006.9
W. Madrigal sub2900211206.7
A. Qasem sub1200000006.3
R. Baker-Whiting sub1200000006.9
Woobens Pacius sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chicago Fire v Nashville SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chicago FireLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Nashville SCWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chicago Fire 1 · 0 draws · Nashville SC 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-06-15 Chicago Fire 0–2 Nashville SC
  • 2025-04-27 Nashville SC 7–2 Chicago Fire
  • 2024-10-20 Chicago Fire 0–3 Nashville SC
  • 2024-09-19 Nashville SC 1–0 Chicago Fire
  • 2023-07-09 Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC
  • 2023-05-07 Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire
League standing · 2026
Chicago Fire#4 pos48 pts30 pl+8 GD
Nashville SC#1 pos67 pts30 pl+41 GD
Goals per game
Chicago Fire scored1.73
Nashville SC scored2.13
Chicago Fire conceded1.47
Nashville SC conceded0.77

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Chicago Fire v Nashville SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Fire v Nashville SC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC?
In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Fire won 1, Nashville SC won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and Nashville SC?
Recent form — Chicago Fire 2W 1D 2L; Nashville SC 3W 2D 0L.

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