FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution

Major League Soccer · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 BST · TQL Stadium

Updated 21 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · New England Revolution · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution — New England Revolution won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.36 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 637 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New England Revolution won 3–2 at TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October. FC Cincinnati have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

New England Revolution led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — FC Cincinnati: Tom Barlow (13’, assisted by T. Malacia) and Kévin Denkey (67’, assisted by T. Malacia); New England Revolution: Dor Turgeman (21’, assisted by Peyton Miller; 51’, assisted by Peyton Miller) and J. Wynder (43’, assisted by Carles Gil).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Wynder’s goal on 43 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FC Cincinnati 1.96, New England Revolution 1.69, from 21 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution) 10.3, Peyton Miller (New England Revolution) 7.9 and Kévin Denkey (FC Cincinnati) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

FC Cincinnati next host DC United on 21 October 2026.

New England Revolution next travel to Philadelphia Union on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v DC United, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for New England Revolution: Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution · Major League Soccer
Venue: TQL Stadium · Cincinnati, Ohio
Referee: Rubiel Vazquez
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC Cincinnati 3 · draws 1 · New England Revolution 2 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L · New England Revolution 3W 0D 2L

FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.5 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 5.88

Corners

against 4.63 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.13 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC Cincinnati for / against	Line	New England Revolution for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.5 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Rubiel Vazquez.

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Nwobodo n 8	48.5	2.3 5/3	0.7 3/0	Brooklyn Raines
K. Fletcher n 8	22.4	2 4/0	1 2/0	—
T. Hadebe n 8	37.6	1.8 3/2	0.3 1/0	William Sands
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	31.4	1.8 3/2	2.5 4/2	—
Nick Hagglund n 8	55.1	1.6 3/2	0.4 2/0	—

FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 8	54	3.1 6/3	1.7 5/2
Evander n 8	86.3	2.9 7/6	1.2 5/3
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	31.4	2.9 4/2	1.8 3/1
Kévin Denkey n 8	74.8	2.4 6/3	1.5 4/3
Kenji Mboma Dem n 8	67.3	1.8 7/3	0.7 3/1

FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 8	74.8	0.8 3/2	0.2 1/0
Tom Barlow n 8	54	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
D. Douděra n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Evander n 8	86.3	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Bryan Ramirez n 8	49.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Malacia n 8	28.6	3.5 6/3
Tah Anunga n 8	27.5	3.3 4/3
A. Powell n 8	26.9	2.9 4/2
O. Nwobodo n 8	48.5	2.8 7/3
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	31.4	2.2 2/2

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Evan Louro n 8	94.1	3.2 7/6
Roman Celentano n 8	90.9	2.6 5/3

New England Revolution

New England Revolution — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dániel Gazdag n 8	41.9	1.6 5/1	1.1 4/0	—
M. Polster n 8	81.6	1.5 6/3	0.7 3/2	—
William Sands n 8	88	1.4 6/4	1.2 6/3	T. Hadebe
Peyton Miller n 8	74.1	1.4 6/2	0.5 3/0	—
Brooklyn Raines n 8	66.5	1.4 6/1	1.7 5/3	O. Nwobodo

New England Revolution — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Peyton Miller n 8	74.1	3.3 7/5	2.1 5/3
Griffin Yow n 8	19.9	2.8 3/1	1.7 2/1
Luca Langoni n 8	37.4	2.4 6/2	1.5 4/1
Carles Gil n 8	88.5	2.2 7/5	1.4 5/4
J. Harrison n 8	80	1.5 6/2	0.7 5/0

New England Revolution — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Carles Gil n 8	88.5	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Peyton Miller n 8	74.1	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
Dor Turgeman n 8	62.4	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
Diego Fagúndez n 8	16	0 0/0	0.7 1/0
Ilay Feingold n 8	24.3	0 0/0	0.5 1/0

New England Revolution — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Siqueira n 3	14.7	4.1 2/0
Griffin Yow n 8	19.9	3.4 3/1
Ilay Feingold n 8	24.3	3.2 4/2
Mamadou Fofana n 8	90	2.3 7/4
Brooklyn Raines n 8	66.5	2 6/5

New England Revolution — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matt Turner n 8	90	3 6/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC Cincinnati		New England Revolution
58%	Possession	42%
1.96	Expected goals (xG)	1.69
21	Shots	10
9	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	2
5	Blocked shots	3
8	Shots inside the box	9
12	Corners	5
2	Offsides	4
8	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	7
544	Passes	378

FC Cincinnati player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Hadebe	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.1
Ender Echenique	90	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6
Tah Anunga	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.7
Gerardo Valenzuela	90	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	6.6
Kévin Denkey	90	1	0	4	2	2	1	0	7.8
Evan Louro	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Kyle Smith	81	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Malacia	68	0	2	2	2	3	0	Y	8
J. Malatini	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
O. Nwobodo	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.9
Tom Barlow	45	1	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.3
Samuel Gidi	45	0	0	3	1	1	2	0	6.6
Pavel Bucha	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6
Kenji Mboma Dem	45	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.5
Evander	22	0	0	1	0	1	0	Y	5.5
Ayoub Jabbari	9	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5

New England Revolution player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Brooklyn Raines	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
M. Polster	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Carles Gil	90	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	7.7
William Sands	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
J. Wynder	90	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	7.9
E. Kohler	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Matt Turner	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Dor Turgeman	89	2	0	2	2	1	0	0	9.2
Peyton Miller	89	0	2	1	1	3	0	0	8
Ilay Feingold	74	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	6.3
Dániel Gazdag	69	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.1
Luca Langoni	21	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	6.9
Jackson Yueill	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.1
Cody Baker	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
Tanner Beason	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC CincinnatiLDDLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

New England RevolutionWWWLL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC Cincinnati 3 · 1 draw · New England Revolution 2 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati
2025-06-14 New England Revolution 0–1 FC Cincinnati
2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution
2024-06-22 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution
2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati
2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution

League standing · 2026

FC Cincinnati#9 pos36 pts29 pl-10 GD

New England Revolution#3 pos52 pts30 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

FC Cincinnati scored2.07

New England Revolution scored1.63

FC Cincinnati conceded2.41

New England Revolution conceded1.37

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution?: In their last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3, New England Revolution won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution?: Recent form — FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L; New England Revolution 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 21 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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