Nashville SC v Chicago Fire result

Full-time · Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer · Sun, 20 Sep 2026 02:30 BST · Geodis Park

Updated 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · Chicago Fire · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire 3–0 at Geodis Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 20 September. Chicago Fire are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nashville SC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: S. Surridge (33’, assisted by R. Baker-Whiting), C. Espinoza (78’, assisted by A. Najar) and H. Mukhtar (87’, assisted by C. Espinoza).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Surridge’s goal on 33 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Nashville SC 2.07, Chicago Fire 0.96, from 13 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Hernandez showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nashville SC: H. Mukhtar (36’); Chicago Fire: J. Elliott (57’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Espinoza (Nashville SC) 8.5, S. Surridge (Nashville SC) 6.8 and M. Corcoran (Nashville SC) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nashville SC or Chicago Fire (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Nashville SC next travel to CF Montreal on 24 October 2026.

Chicago Fire next travel to Atlanta United FC on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nashville SC: CF Montreal v Nashville SC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Chicago Fire: Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
Venue: Geodis Park · Nashville
Referee: L. Hernandez
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 4 · draws 0 · Chicago Fire 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L · Chicago Fire 0W 3D 2L

Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

6.38 / 4.25

Corners

against 4.63 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2

Cards

against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.58 yellows

Referee · L. Hernandez

1.75 home / 1.83 away

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Nashville SC for / against	Line	Chicago Fire for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: L. Hernandez — 3.58 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22.42 fouls over 12 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1.83 to the away side).

Home 1.75Away 1.83

Nashville SC

Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Yazbek n 8	59.8	2.8 7/4	0.6 2/1	—
A. Muyl n 8	48	2.8 3/3	1.2 2/2	—
B. Acosta n 8	27	2.5 5/1	0.4 1/0	—
E. Tagseth n 8	70.6	2.4 5/5	1 3/3	—
E. Saad n 8	59.1	2.1 6/3	1.3 3/2	R. Lod

Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	84.3	2.4 8/6	1.1 5/2
S. Surridge n 8	83	2 7/4	1.1 7/1
E. Saad n 8	59.1	1.7 6/2	0.8 3/1
C. Espinoza n 8	71.1	1.4 5/2	0.9 3/2
Jordan Knight n 6	33.3	1.3 2/1	0.5 1/0

Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	84.3	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
C. Espinoza n 8	71.1	0.3 1/1	0.5 3/0
E. Saad n 8	59.1	0 0/0	0.6 2/1
A. Qasem n 8	38.6	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
S. Surridge n 8	83	0.5 3/1	0 0/0

Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Brunet n 7	39.4	4.9 6/2
M. Corcoran n 8	70.8	3.2 8/5
J. Gaines n 8	35.5	3.2 6/3
D. Lovitz n 8	37.3	2.7 6/3
R. Baker-Whiting n 8	73.5	2.6 6/5

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 8	90.6	2.6 5/4
X. Valdez n 3	92.7	1 1/1

Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Lod n 8	53.8	3.1 7/4	1 4/1	E. Saad
V. Radojevic n 8	45.9	2.5 6/3	2 6/2	—
Leonardo Barroso n 8	58.1	1.9 5/4	0.2 1/0	—
P. Zinckernagel n 8	80.8	1.7 7/3	1.4 5/3	—
A. Gutman n 8	82.1	1.6 6/3	1.1 6/2	—

Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jonathan Bamba n 8	40.5	2.5 5/4	1.7 4/2
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	63.4	2 5/4	1.6 4/4
P. Dithejane n 8	47.5	1.7 4/3	0.7 2/1
R. Lewandowski n 8	78	1.6 6/4	1.2 6/2
P. Zinckernagel n 8	80.8	1.4 6/3	0.8 4/2

Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Poreba n 3	22.7	0 0/0	1.3 1/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	63.4	0.9 4/1	0.2 1/0
R. Lewandowski n 8	78	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
A. Gutman n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
R. Lod n 8	53.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Leonardo Barroso n 8	58.1	3.3 8/3
M. Pineda n 8	30.6	2.2 3/1
V. Radojevic n 8	45.9	2 5/2
D. D'Avilla n 8	74.8	1.5 6/2
J. Gómez n 8	58.5	1.5 6/2

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Brady n 8	91.4	2.8 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SC		Chicago Fire
56%	Possession	44%
2.07	Expected goals (xG)	0.96
13	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	1
6	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	4
9	Shots inside the box	8
5	Corners	2
4	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	9
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	3
514	Passes	414
89%	Pass accuracy	85%

Nashville SC player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Schwake	96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Palacios	96	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.9
M. Woledzi	96	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
R. Baker-Whiting	96	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	8.2
M. Corcoran	96	0	0	1	1	3	6	0	7.6
S. Surridge	96	1	0	3	2	1	2	0	7.5
C. Espinoza	91	1	1	2	1	4	1	0	8.9
H. Mukhtar	91	1	0	4	1	0	1	Y	7.6
A. Najar	83	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	7.6
P. Yazbek	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.7
E. Saad	68	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
S. Mohammed sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. Lovitz sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
E. Tagseth sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Bauer sub	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
A. Muyl sub	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Chicago Fire player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Brady	96	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
J. Elliott	96	1	0	0	0	Y	6.3
N. Allen	96	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Gutman	96	1	0	0	0	0	5.6
P. Zinckernagel	96	2	1	2	2	0	6.3
R. Lewandowski	96	2	0	0	0	0	5.9
J. Dean	79	0	0	2	3	0	6.2
D. D'Avilla	79	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
S. Oregel	75	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
R. Lod	68	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
M. Haile-Selassie	68	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
P. Dithejane sub	28	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
Jonathan Bamba sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Mekvabishvili sub	21	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
M. Pineda sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Gómez sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nashville SCWWDLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Chicago FireLDDDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nashville SC 4 · 0 draws · Chicago Fire 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-04-05 Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC
2025-06-15 Chicago Fire 0–2 Nashville SC
2025-04-27 Nashville SC 7–2 Chicago Fire
2024-10-20 Chicago Fire 0–3 Nashville SC
2024-09-19 Nashville SC 1–0 Chicago Fire
2023-07-09 Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC

League standing · 2026

Nashville SC#1 pos66 pts29 pl+41 GD

Chicago Fire#4 pos48 pts29 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Nashville SC scored2.17

Chicago Fire scored1.79

Nashville SC conceded0.76

Chicago Fire conceded1.48

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v Chicago Fire?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v Chicago Fire was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire?: In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 4, Chicago Fire won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and Chicago Fire?: Recent form — Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L; Chicago Fire 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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