Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati result

Full-time · Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 01:30 BST · Geodis Park

Updated 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · FC Cincinnati · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4579 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0 at Geodis Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 30 August. It is Nashville SC’s first win over FC Cincinnati since 29 May 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Nashville SC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: S. Surridge (43’, assisted by C. Espinoza), H. Mukhtar (53’, assisted by E. Saad), B. Acosta (89’, assisted by H. Mukhtar) and A. Qasem (90’, assisted by R. Baker-Whiting).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Surridge’s goal on 43 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Nashville SC 1.80, FC Cincinnati 1.93, from 19 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Nashville SC: A. Najar (49’), J. Palacios (70’) and E. Tagseth (79’); FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo (44’) and Bryan Ramirez (89’).

What it changes

Nashville SC have won their last four matches in all competitions. Nashville SC have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) 9.9, S. Surridge (Nashville SC) 6.5 and E. Saad (Nashville SC) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3544 of 4579).

Next up

Nashville SC next travel to CF Montreal on 24 October 2026.

FC Cincinnati next travel to DC United on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nashville SC: CF Montreal v Nashville SC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for FC Cincinnati: DC United v FC Cincinnati, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
Venue: Geodis Park · Nashville
Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 1 · draws 2 · FC Cincinnati 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Nashville SC 4W 0D 1L · FC Cincinnati 2W 2D 1L

Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.5 / 5.43

Corners

against 5.13 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.75 / 5.29

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 5.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.88 / 1.86

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Nashville SC for / against	Line	FC Cincinnati for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.43 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.71 for · 14.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.29 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA.

Nashville SC

Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Saad n 8	53.1	2.8 6/4	2.5 6/3	O. Nwobodo
A. Muyl n 8	44.4	2.5 3/2	1 2/1	—
B. Acosta n 8	39.3	2 5/2	0 0/0	—
P. Yazbek n 8	65.3	1.7 6/3	1 5/1	O. Nwobodo
E. Tagseth n 8	67.3	1.5 4/3	1 4/2	O. Nwobodo

Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Surridge n 8	72.4	2 6/5	0.9 6/0
H. Mukhtar n 8	74.8	1.7 5/3	0.8 3/1
C. Espinoza n 8	73.9	1.5 5/3	1.4 5/3
E. Saad n 8	53.1	1.3 4/1	0.2 1/0
W. Madrigal n 8	65.4	1 3/2	0.5 2/1

Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Espinoza n 8	73.9	0.3 1/1	0.8 4/1
H. Mukhtar n 8	74.8	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
W. Madrigal n 8	65.4	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
E. Saad n 8	53.1	0 0/0	0.6 2/1
S. Surridge n 8	72.4	0.5 3/0	0 0/0

Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Brunet n 7	39.4	4.9 6/2
E. Tagseth n 8	67.3	2.7 8/6
D. Lovitz n 8	61.4	2.4 7/4
S. Mohammed n 8	40.9	2.2 5/2
E. Saad n 8	53.1	2.1 5/4

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 8	88.1	2.7 6/4
X. Valdez n 3	92.7	1 1/1

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Nwobodo n 8	63.8	1.8 5/3	0.7 4/0	E. Tagseth
Bryan Ramirez n 8	50.5	1.8 5/2	0.7 3/0	—
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	18.9	1.8 3/0	3 3/1	—
K. Fletcher n 8	22.5	1.5 3/0	1 2/0	—
Samuel Gidi n 8	70.9	1.4 5/2	1.4 5/3	—

FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Evander n 8	92.6	3.2 8/8	1.2 7/3
Kenji Mboma Dem n 8	59.5	2.3 7/3	1.1 5/1
Tom Barlow n 8	49	1.6 4/2	0.9 3/1
Kévin Denkey n 8	62.3	1.4 5/2	0.9 3/2
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	18.9	1.2 2/0	0.6 1/0

FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Evander n 8	92.6	0.6 5/0	0.4 3/0
Pavel Bucha n 8	79.1	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
Kenji Mboma Dem n 8	59.5	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
Ender Echenique n 8	66.3	0 0/0	0.5 3/0
Gerardo Valenzuela n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.4 3/0

FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Nwobodo n 8	63.8	3.7 7/3
Bryan Ramirez n 8	50.5	3.6 7/3
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	18.9	3.6 2/2
Tah Anunga n 8	44.8	3.3 6/3
A. Powell n 8	27.4	2.9 4/2

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 8	91.1	3.7 7/5
Evan Louro n 8	94.1	3.2 7/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SC		FC Cincinnati
52%	Possession	48%
1.80	Expected goals (xG)	1.93
19	Shots	15
7	Shots on target	8
5	Shots off target	5
7	Blocked shots	2
12	Shots inside the box	9
6	Corners	4
4	Offsides	0
14	Fouls	9
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	4
408	Passes	383
88%	Pass accuracy	87%

Nashville SC player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Schwake	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
J. Palacios	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	7.3
M. Woledzi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	8.3
R. Baker-Whiting	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
S. Surridge	90	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	7.7
E. Saad	89	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	7.5
H. Mukhtar	89	1	1	2	2	3	0	0	8.7
A. Najar	87	0	0	2	0	2	2	Y	7.9
C. Espinoza	87	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	7.9
E. Tagseth	87	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.9
P. Yazbek	62	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
M. Corcoran sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
D. Lovitz sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
S. Mohammed sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
B. Acosta sub	13	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.6
A. Qasem sub	5	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.9
A. Muyl sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

FC Cincinnati player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Roman Celentano	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Matt Miazga	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
M. Robinson	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Pavel Bucha	90	0	0	1	2	0	5.9
Kévin Denkey	90	1	1	2	1	0	6.2
Evander	89	5	3	4	3	0	7.3
Ender Echenique	87	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
Gerardo Valenzuela	73	1	0	1	3	0	6.9
Samuel Gidi	66	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
O. Nwobodo	45	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
Kenji Mboma Dem	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Bryan Ramirez sub	45	1	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Ayoub Jabbari sub	45	4	3	0	2	0	6.3
Kyle Smith sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Tom Barlow sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Powell sub	13	0	0	2	0	0	6
Tah Anunga sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nashville SCWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

FC CincinnatiWLDWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nashville SC 1 · 2 draws · FC Cincinnati 3 · 3 goals/game

2025-09-13 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC
2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati
2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati
2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC
2023-08-05 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC
2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC

League standing · 2026

Nashville SC#1 pos67 pts30 pl+41 GD

FC Cincinnati#8 pos39 pts30 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Nashville SC scored2.13

FC Cincinnati scored2.07

Nashville SC conceded0.77

FC Cincinnati conceded2.37

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v FC Cincinnati was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati?: In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 1, FC Cincinnati won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati?: Recent form — Nashville SC 4W 0D 1L; FC Cincinnati 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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