This Matchweek

DC UnitedFC Cincinnati

DC United v FC Cincinnati result

Full-time · DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer · · Audi Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: DC United · FC Cincinnati · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati — FC Cincinnati won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.36 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Cincinnati won 2–0 at Audi Field in Major League Soccer on Sunday 25 October.

The goals

FC Cincinnati led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Cincinnati: Evander (35’, assisted by Pavel Bucha) and Tom Barlow (52’, assisted by Evander).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Evander’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: DC United 0.76, FC Cincinnati 1.15, from 13 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Freemon showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — DC United: T. Baribo (34’); FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo (24’) and Tom Barlow (38’).

What it changes

DC United have scored 39 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). DC United have conceded 60 goals, the 10th-most of the 30 clubs.

FC Cincinnati have scored 67 goals, the fourth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). FC Cincinnati have conceded 73 goals, the third-most of the 30 clubs.

DC United have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Evander (FC Cincinnati) 10.1, Bryan Ramirez (FC Cincinnati) 8.2 and Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

DC United next host New York City FC on 7 November 2026.

FC Cincinnati next host Nashville SC on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for DC United: DC United v New York City FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Audi Field · Washington, District of Columbia
  • Referee: J. Freemon
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): DC United 2 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: DC United 1W 1D 3L · FC Cincinnati 2W 0D 3L

DC United 0–2 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDC United for / againstLineFC Cincinnati for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.75our book
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 16.13 against n 8
19.5standard
18.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: J. Freemon.

DC United

DC United Goalkeeper

DC United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sean Johnson28912550 min1043.7 /90451.6 /9010 /90
Alex Bono19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
DC United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sean Johnson n 890
3.87/6

DC United Defensive

DC United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Keisuke Kurokawa29912628 min401.4 /90421.4 /9050.2 /90903.1 /90210.7 /9040.1 /90
Lucas Bartlett27902435 min271 /90281 /90271 /901435.3 /90401.5 /9070.3 /90
Silvan Hefti26832161 min783.2 /90301.2 /9070.3 /901164.8 /90301.2 /9050.2 /90
Kye Rowles24912179 min411.7 /90461.9 /90271.1 /90984 /90140.6 /9040.2 /90
Nikola Markovic1044437 min112.3 /9081.6 /9040.8 /90377.6 /90142.9 /9000 /90
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DC United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
0.42/1
0.54/0
—
Jackson Hopkins n 851.6
26/3
1.13/2
Kévin Denkey
Sean Johnson n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Lucas Bartlett n 887.3
1.35/4
0.94/2
—
Brandon Servania n 858.8
14/1
1.14/1
Evander
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DC United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
1.16/3
Jackson Hopkins n 851.6
0.94/0
Lucas Bartlett n 887.3
1.46/3
Brandon Servania n 858.8
2.96/6
Silvan Hefti n 871.9
4.58/5
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DC United Attacking

DC United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Baribo23871992 min160.7 /9010 /90512.3 /90241.1 /90170.8 /90100.5 /90
Louis Munteanu19731386 min50.3 /9020.1 /90493.2 /90221.4 /90181.2 /9070.5 /90
N. Ordaz1141446 min00 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90112.2 /9010.2 /90
Gabriel Pirani768474 min00 /9000 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9050.9 /9000 /90
Jacob Murrell42183 min00 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9022.2 /9000 /90
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DC United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
00/0
00/0
Jackson Hopkins n 851.6
0.73/0
0.42/0
Sean Johnson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Lucas Bartlett n 887.3
0.84/2
0.42/1
Brandon Servania n 858.8
1.14/2
0.21/0
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DC United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Jackson Hopkins n 851.6
00/0
00/0
Sean Johnson n 890
00/0
00/0
Lucas Bartlett n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
Brandon Servania n 858.8
00/0
00/0
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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Roman Celentano28912560 min853 /90632.2 /9010 /90
Evan Louro894753 min273.2 /90111.3 /9000 /90
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 890.9
1.54/1
Evan Louro n 894.1
3.27/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Robinson24791898 min251.2 /90200.9 /90211 /90994.7 /90170.8 /9010 /90
Kyle Smith24631508 min291.7 /90130.8 /9060.4 /90553.3 /90130.8 /9010.1 /90
Nick Hagglund19691313 min141 /9090.6 /90151 /90674.6 /90181.2 /9020.1 /90
Matt Miazga17711207 min120.9 /9090.7 /90131 /90382.8 /90131 /9070.5 /90
T. Hadebe1757976 min141.3 /9090.8 /9090.8 /90444.1 /90121.1 /9050.5 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pavel Bucha n 882.3
0.32/0
0.31/1
—
Tom Barlow n 863.5
1.26/1
0.42/0
—
Kévin Denkey n 883.1
0.75/0
1.45/4
Jackson Hopkins
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
1.15/1
14/2
—
Evander n 876.5
0.43/0
1.64/3
Brandon Servania
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 882.3
14/2
Tom Barlow n 863.5
0.52/1
Kévin Denkey n 883.1
0.75/0
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
1.36/2
Evander n 876.5
1.24/3
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tom Barlow33531753 min110.6 /9020.1 /90472.4 /90301.5 /90140.7 /9060.3 /90
Kévin Denkey32812603 min210.7 /9050.2 /90602.1 /90361.2 /90361.2 /90240.8 /90
Evander31832562 min140.5 /90110.4 /90822.9 /90421.5 /90893.1 /90491.7 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem25651632 min80.4 /9020.1 /90351.9 /90130.7 /90221.2 /90160.9 /90
Ayoub Jabbari1643681 min30.4 /9010.1 /90172.2 /90101.3 /9050.7 /9060.8 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 882.3
15/1
0.42/1
Tom Barlow n 863.5
3.97/4
2.17/3
Kévin Denkey n 883.1
38/5
1.65/4
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
0.83/1
0.21/0
Evander n 876.5
2.56/4
0.93/2
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
Tom Barlow n 863.5
0.53/0
0.42/0
Kévin Denkey n 883.1
0.84/2
0.11/0
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
00/0
00/0
Evander n 876.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DC UnitedFC Cincinnati
53%Possession47%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.15
13Shots10
2Shots on target4
4Shots off target2
7Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box7
8Corners3
2Offsides1
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
524Passes408

DC United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Baribo90002000Y6.1
Kye Rowles9000000106.2
João Peglow9000001206.2
Kimito Nono9000200006.3
Keisuke Kurokawa9000102006.7
A. Dozzell9000101006.7
Lucas Bartlett9000001306.3
Sean Johnson9000000005.9
Silvan Hefti6500002106.4
Brandon Servania6500510306.4
Nikola Markovic5600000106.2
Jackson Hopkins3400110006.6
Jared Stroud2500100000
O. Avilez2500000000

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bryan Ramirez9000102506.9
Nick Hagglund9000110107.6
T. Hadebe9000000007
Evander9011213209
Kévin Denkey9000300006.5
Roman Celentano9000000007.3
Pavel Bucha8501101107.4
D. Douděra7500001106.4
Kyle Smith5900000307.5
O. Nwobodo59000010Y7.2
Tom Barlow59101101Y7.7
Tah Anunga3100000000
Samuel Gidi3100000000
Kenji Mboma Dem3100110100
A. Powell1500000000
Gerardo Valenzuela500000000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind DC United v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DC UnitedDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
FC CincinnatiLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
DC United 2 · 1 draw · FC Cincinnati 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United
  • 2025-05-31 FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC United
  • 2025-04-12 DC United 0–1 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-07-03 DC United 2–3 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 DC United
  • 2023-06-24 DC United 3–0 FC Cincinnati
League standing · 2026
DC United#14 pos33 pts33 pl-21 GD
FC Cincinnati#7 pos46 pts33 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
DC United scored1.18
FC Cincinnati scored2.03
DC United conceded1.82
FC Cincinnati conceded2.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for DC United v FC Cincinnati?
TACTIX’s free model pick for DC United v FC Cincinnati was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between DC United and FC Cincinnati?
In their last 6 meetings, DC United won 2, FC Cincinnati won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of DC United and FC Cincinnati?
Recent form — DC United 1W 1D 3L; FC Cincinnati 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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