New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami prediction

Major League Soccer · · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Inter Miami · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami, Major League Soccer on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

New York Red Bulls host Inter Miami in Major League Soccer on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 22:30 UK).

The key numbers

Inter Miami have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Inter Miami have scored 68 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). 13 of Inter Miami’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Form and the table

Seven of New York Red Bulls’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of New York Red Bulls’s last 15 results (53%). At home, New York Red Bulls have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.75. New York Red Bulls have scored 38 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). New York Red Bulls have conceded 52 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Both teams scored in 13 of Inter Miami’s last 15 results (87%). Away from home, Inter Miami have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.80. Inter Miami have conceded 50 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

New York Red Bulls (eighth) and Inter Miami (second) are 13 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter Miami the stronger side, 102 rating points above New York Red Bulls (Inter Miami 1583, New York Red Bulls 1481, after at least 232 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Inter Miami are unbeaten in the last four meetings with New York Red Bulls. The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls.

Team news

Predicted New York Red Bulls XI (4-4-2): E. Horvath, J. Bazan, D. Nealis, J. Che, M. Dos Santos, A. Mehmeti, R. Donkor, M. Sofo, E. Forsberg, J. Hall, C. Cowell — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Julian Hall (3.9 per match over 27 appearances, 11 goals and three assists) and Ronald Donkor (3.8 per match over 25 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been New York Red Bulls’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for New York Red Bulls (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Julian Hall averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 2519 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ronald Donkor averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 2132 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Inter Miami XI (4-3-3): D. St.Clair, Casemiro, M. Falcon, I. Fray, F. Caicedo, R. de Paul, T. Segovia, M. Galarza, L. Messi, L. Suarez, G. Berterame — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, L. Messi (8.0 per match over 28 appearances, 26 goals and 12 assists) and R. de Paul (4.5 per match over 27 appearances, five goals and nine assists) have been Inter Miami’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Inter Miami (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Messi averages 4.0 shots per 90 over 3373 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. R. de Paul averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 3185 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 1 · draws 1 · Inter Miami 4 · 4.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: New York Red Bulls 3W 0D 2L · Inter Miami 1W 3D 1L

New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami (Major League Soccer): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 3.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNew York Red Bulls for / againstLineInter Miami for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2 against n 8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mohammed Sofo n 861.5
4.28/7
26/3
—
Omar Valencia n 834.3
37/2
1.63/1
—
D. Padelford n 847.9
2.64/4
0.92/1
—
Ronald Donkor n 882.1
2.58/5
1.14/3
—
C. Harper n 828.3
2.43/3
23/2
—
New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Julian Hall n 862.1
3.37/3
2.46/2
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 835.9
3.17/3
2.26/1
M. Jimenez n 644.8
2.33/2
0.71/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Cade Cowell n 863
1.87/3
1.45/3
New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Julian Hall n 862.1
0.95/0
0.21/0
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 835.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
C. Harper n 828.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
M. Jimenez n 644.8
0.71/1
00/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 851.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohammed Sofo n 861.5
4.48/7
Omar Valencia n 834.3
36/2
J. Bazan n 884.5
2.96/4
Ronald Donkor n 882.1
2.97/6
S. Kone n 353.3
2.82/1
New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 884.5
4.47/7
Inter Miami
Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Shaw n 715.7
3.33/1
0.81/0
—
Matías Galarza n 873.3
2.98/7
1.75/3
—
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 512.6
2.92/0
1.41/0
—
D. Ayala n 828.5
2.84/3
1.22/1
—
F. Caicedo n 675.2
2.65/4
0.42/0
—
Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 882.4
5.38/8
3.78/7
L. Delinois n 448.3
3.33/2
1.42/1
L. Suarez n 883.5
1.96/3
1.55/3
A. Shaw n 715.7
1.62/0
0.81/0
G. Berterame n 874.5
1.45/3
0.52/1
Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 882.4
1.15/2
0.43/0
A. Shaw n 715.7
0.81/0
00/0
L. Suarez n 883.5
0.74/1
0.11/0
R. de Paul n 880.9
00/0
0.64/0
T. Segovia n 867.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yannick Bright n 883.8
3.67/7
F. Caicedo n 675.2
3.46/5
Matías Galarza n 873.3
3.16/5
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 512.6
2.91/1
A. Shaw n 715.7
2.53/0
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Rios n 894.5
3.78/7
D. St.Clair n 883.5
25/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New York Red BullsLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Inter MiamiDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
New York Red Bulls 1 · 1 draw · Inter Miami 4 · 4.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Inter Miami 2–2 New York Red Bulls
  • 2025-07-19 New York Red Bulls 1–5 Inter Miami
  • 2025-05-03 Inter Miami 4–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2024-05-04 Inter Miami 6–2 New York Red Bulls
  • 2024-03-23 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Inter Miami
  • 2023-08-26 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Inter Miami
League standing · 2026
New York Red Bulls#8 pos36 pts28 pl-14 GD
Inter Miami#2 pos49 pts28 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
New York Red Bulls scored1.36
Inter Miami scored2.43
New York Red Bulls conceded1.86
Inter Miami conceded1.79

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami?
In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Inter Miami won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami?
Recent form — New York Red Bulls 3W 0D 2L; Inter Miami 1W 3D 1L.

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