Orlando City SC v DC United result

Full-time · Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United

Major League Soccer · · Inter&Co Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United — Orlando City SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.36 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 391 of 597 times (65.5%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Orlando City SC beat DC United 4–1 at Inter&Co Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October. Orlando City SC have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Orlando City SC led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Orlando City SC: Antoine Griezmann (15’, assisted by Martín Ojeda; 50’), Martín Ojeda (22’, assisted by Antoine Griezmann) and Marco Pasalic (90’); DC United: T. Baribo (45’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Antoine Griezmann’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: DC United out-shot Orlando City SC 15 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.60 xG to 2.07 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

The bookings — Orlando City SC: Luis Otávio (38’); DC United: Kimito Nono (77’), Jackson Hopkins (82’) and T. Baribo (89’).

What it changes

Orlando City SC’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 30 so far, across 14 matches. Orlando City SC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antoine Griezmann (Orlando City SC) 13.3, Martín Ojeda (Orlando City SC) 8.9 and Iván Angulo (Orlando City SC) 5.7 led the match.

Next up

Orlando City SC next host New York City FC on 24 October 2026.

DC United next travel to FC Cincinnati on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC v New York City FC, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for DC United: FC Cincinnati v DC United, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Inter&Co Stadium · Orlando, Florida
  • Referee: Pierre Luce Lauziere
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Orlando City SC 3 · draws 1 · DC United 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Orlando City SC 1W 1D 3L · DC United 1W 2D 2L

Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.57 / 5
Corners
against 6.71 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 6.86 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOrlando City SC for / againstLineDC United for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.75our book
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 6.71 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
13.86 for · 17 against n 7
19.5standard
14.5 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.57 for · 6.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Pierre Luce Lauziere.

Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Wilder Cartagena n 855
2.57/2
2.77/4
—
Braian Ojeda n 867.9
2.26/3
1.56/3
—
Vinicius Nogueira n 865.6
1.97/2
2.16/4
—
Eduard Atuesta n 877.1
1.86/5
1.26/2
Brandon Servania
David Brekalo n 881.5
1.56/3
0.73/1
—
Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 868.4
3.38/5
1.88/3
Antoine Griezmann n 887.5
2.78/8
1.87/5
D. Dike n 844.3
27/1
14/0
Tyrese Spicer n 839.4
24/1
0.93/0
Justin Ellis n 852.5
1.97/1
0.94/0
Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Antoine Griezmann n 887.5
1.27/2
0.43/0
Justin Ellis n 852.5
0.42/0
0.63/0
Harvey Sarajian n 838.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
Martín Ojeda n 868.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
D. Dike n 844.3
0.52/0
0.31/0
Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wilder Cartagena n 855
3.58/5
Luis Otávio n 847.5
3.37/3
Iván Angulo n 890
2.67/6
Griffin Dorsey n 878.5
2.47/5
Vinicius Nogueira n 865.6
2.17/4
Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maxime Crépeau n 890
4.97/6
DC United
DC United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nikola Markovic n 820.4
4.45/2
00/0
—
Conner Antley n 838
2.75/2
0.92/1
—
Jackson Hopkins n 852.9
1.97/2
1.34/2
—
Louis Munteanu n 875.9
1.56/3
1.36/3
—
Brandon Servania n 848
1.44/1
1.65/1
Eduard Atuesta
DC United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Louis Munteanu n 875.9
2.57/4
0.64/0
T. Baribo n 885.8
2.18/4
16/2
Hosei Kijima n 829.1
1.92/1
0.82/0
Kimito Nono n 887.3
1.84/4
0.52/1
N. Ordaz n 845.5
1.75/2
0.52/0
DC United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Baribo n 885.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kimito Nono n 887.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
Hosei Kijima n 829.1
00/0
0.41/0
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Lucas Bartlett n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
DC United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Conner Antley n 838
55/3
Silvan Hefti n 874.8
4.48/5
Brandon Servania n 848
46/5
Jared Stroud n 818.6
3.64/2
João Peglow n 876
3.18/6
DC United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sean Johnson n 890
3.97/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Orlando City SCDC United
60%Possession40%
2.07Expected goals (xG)2.60
12Shots15
6Shots on target4
4Shots off target8
2Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box12
1Corners8
1Offsides2
10Fouls18
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves3
608Passes388

Orlando City SC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Zakaria Taifi9000000206.6
Iván Angulo9000420206.7
David Brekalo9000000106.8
Antoine Griezmann9021333209.6
Iago Silva9000100107
Maxime Crépeau9000000006.9
Martín Ojeda8611213009
Eduard Atuesta7000003107.1
D. Dike7000200206.3
Luis Otávio70000001Y6.3
Wilder Cartagena4600000006.7
Joran Gerbet4400000207.1
Justin Ellis2000001106.8
Braian Ojeda2000000106.1
Adrián Marín2000000206.4
Marco Pasalic400000006.5

DC United player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Baribo90107100Y5.6
A. Dozzell9000000006.4
Keisuke Kurokawa9000002106.8
S. Nealis9000110106.5
Kimito Nono90001002Y5.5
Kye Rowles9000300005.8
Sean Johnson9000001005.7
Silvan Hefti7800112206.7
João Peglow7800112206
Brandon Servania6500001206.5
Jared Stroud4600001105.8
Jackson Hopkins44001000Y5.7
O. Avilez2500000306.2
N. Ordaz1200001006.4
Matti Peltola1200001006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Orlando City SC v DC United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Orlando City SCLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.2 scored / 3 conceded per game
DC UnitedDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Orlando City SC 3 · 1 draw · DC United 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 DC United 3–2 Orlando City SC
  • 2025-09-13 DC United 1–1 Orlando City SC
  • 2025-03-22 Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United
  • 2024-07-06 Orlando City SC 5–0 DC United
  • 2024-04-13 DC United 2–3 Orlando City SC
  • 2023-04-22 Orlando City SC 1–3 DC United
League standing · 2026
Orlando City SC#7 pos41 pts30 pl-12 GD
DC United#12 pos33 pts29 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Orlando City SC scored1.93
DC United scored1.28
Orlando City SC conceded2.33
DC United conceded1.76

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Orlando City SC v DC United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Orlando City SC v DC United was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Orlando City SC and DC United?
In their last 6 meetings, Orlando City SC won 3, DC United won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Orlando City SC and DC United?
Recent form — Orlando City SC 1W 1D 3L; DC United 1W 2D 2L.

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