Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati result

Full-time · Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer · Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:45 BST · Subaru Park

Updated 23 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Philadelphia Union · FC Cincinnati · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.36 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 637 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union beat FC Cincinnati 5–0 at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer on Thursday 10 September. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. FC Cincinnati are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan (43’ pen), Bruno Damiani (45’, assisted by Cavan Sullivan; 49’, assisted by Q. Sullivan; 61’, assisted by Cavan Sullivan) and Milan Iloski (89’ pen). O. Nwobodo (16’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Q. Sullivan’s goal on 43 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Philadelphia Union 3.57, FC Cincinnati 0.02, from 20 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Dickerson showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: Evander (40’) and Tah Anunga (87’).

What it changes

Philadelphia Union’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 24, across 15 matches. Philadelphia Union have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia Union) 13.5, Q. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) 11.0 and Cavan Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) 8.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Philadelphia Union next host New England Revolution on 24 October 2026.

FC Cincinnati next host DC United on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v DC United, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
Venue: Subaru Park · Chester
Referee: J. Dickerson
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Philadelphia Union 3 · draws 0 · FC Cincinnati 3 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: Philadelphia Union 3W 2D 0L · FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L

Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

5.5 / 5.29

Corners

against 4.25 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5 / 5.71

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5.71 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.88 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.82 yellows

Referee · J. Dickerson

1.55 home / 2.27 away

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Philadelphia Union for / against	Line	FC Cincinnati for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.29 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.14 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.71 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: J. Dickerson — 3.82 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 11 matches (1.55 to the home side, 2.27 to the away side).

Home 1.55Away 2.27

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jovan Lukić n 8	64	3.3 6/5	0.4 1/1	O. Nwobodo
Japhet Sery Larsen n 8	75.5	2.5 8/5	1 5/2	—
Stas Kornzeniowski n 8	40.3	2.2 5/2	1.7 4/1	—
Alejandro Bedoya n 8	10.5	2.1 2/0	1.1 1/0	—
Bruno Damiani n 8	73.4	2 6/4	1.2 5/3	Ayoub Jabbari

Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Milan Iloski n 8	83.9	3 7/6	1.2 5/3
Q. Sullivan n 8	39.1	2.9 5/4	1.7 4/2
Stas Kornzeniowski n 8	40.3	2.8 6/3	1.7 4/1
Cavan Sullivan n 8	82.5	2.5 8/7	1.4 7/2
Alejandro Bedoya n 8	10.5	2.1 2/0	1.1 1/0

Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Cavan Sullivan n 8	82.5	0.5 4/0	0.4 2/1
Stas Kornzeniowski n 8	40.3	0.6 1/1	0.3 1/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	73.4	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	87.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jesus Bueno n 8	46.4	3.9 8/3
Jovan Lukić n 8	64	2.5 5/5
Ben Bender n 8	63.1	2.5 8/4
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	87.4	2.3 6/5
Frankie Westfield n 8	85	2.3 7/6

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	91.3	2.2 5/3
Andrew Rick n 8	92.4	2.1 4/1

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Nwobodo n 8	57	2.6 6/4	0.6 3/0	Jovan Lukić
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	24.4	2.3 4/1	3.2 4/2	Bruno Damiani
Bryan Ramirez n 8	51.8	2.2 6/3	0.7 3/0	—
K. Fletcher n 8	22.5	1.5 3/0	1 2/0	—
Samuel Gidi n 8	68	1.3 4/2	1.2 5/2	—

FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Evander n 8	91.4	3.6 8/8	1.4 7/3
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	24.4	2.8 3/1	1.8 2/1
Kenji Mboma Dem n 8	57.1	2.4 7/3	1.2 5/1
Tom Barlow n 8	46.8	1.7 4/2	1 3/1
Kévin Denkey n 8	62.4	1.3 5/1	0.7 3/1

FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Evander n 8	91.4	0.5 4/0	0.2 2/0
Kenji Mboma Dem n 8	57.1	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
Gerardo Valenzuela n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Pavel Bucha n 8	78	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Bryan Ramirez n 8	51.8	0 0/0	0.4 2/0

FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ayoub Jabbari n 8	24.4	3.7 3/3
Tah Anunga n 8	34.6	3.2 5/2
A. Powell n 8	27.5	2.9 4/2
O. Nwobodo n 8	57	2.8 7/2
Bryan Ramirez n 8	51.8	2.4 6/2

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 8	91.1	4.1 8/6
Evan Louro n 8	94.1	3.2 7/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
67%	Possession	33%
3.57	Expected goals (xG)	0.02
20	Shots	1
6	Shots on target	1
8	Shots off target	1
6	Blocked shots	0
17	Shots inside the box	1
7	Corners	1
2	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	6
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
0	Saves	1
601	Passes	302
88%	Pass accuracy	71%

Philadelphia Union player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Andre Blake	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Frankie Westfield	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	7.2
Neil Pierre	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	8.3
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	7.2
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	7.3
Danley Jean Jacques	90	0	0	1	1	1	0	6.7
Cavan Sullivan	75	0	2	2	0	6	0	7.6
Bruno Damiani	75	3	0	4	3	1	1	9.3
Q. Sullivan	66	1	1	2	1	4	1	8.3
Ezekiel Alladoh	66	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.2
Jovan Lukić	65	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
Jesus Bueno sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
Milan Iloski sub	24	1	0	3	1	0	0	7
Indiana Vassilev sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Alejandro Bedoya sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
Malik Jakupovic sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

FC Cincinnati player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Roman Celentano	90	0	0	0	0	5.7
Kyle Smith	90	0	0	2	0	6.3
M. Robinson	90	0	0	0	0	5.7
Andrei Chirila	90	0	1	0	0	5.9
Pavel Bucha	90	0	0	0	0	5.9
Ayoub Jabbari	75	0	0	0	0	6.9
Gerardo Valenzuela	62	0	0	1	0	6.7
Evander	45	0	1	2	Y	6.2
Ender Echenique	45	0	0	1	0	6.2
Kévin Denkey	45	1	0	0	0	6.7
O. Nwobodo	16	0	0	1	R	3.2
Tom Barlow sub	45	0	0	0	0	6.7
Nick Hagglund sub	45	0	0	0	0	6
A. Powell sub	45	0	0	1	0	5.9
Tah Anunga sub	28	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Samuel Gidi sub	15	0	0	1	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Philadelphia UnionWDDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

FC CincinnatiLDWDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Philadelphia Union 3 · 0 draws · FC Cincinnati 3 · 3.83 goals/game

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union
2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati
2024-10-20 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati
2024-08-13 FC Cincinnati 2–4 Philadelphia Union
2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union
2023-11-26 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union

League standing · 2026

Philadelphia Union#6 pos46 pts30 pl+13 GD

FC Cincinnati#9 pos36 pts29 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Philadelphia Union scored2.03

FC Cincinnati scored2.07

Philadelphia Union conceded1.6

FC Cincinnati conceded2.41

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati?: In their last 6 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 3, FC Cincinnati won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati?: Recent form — Philadelphia Union 3W 2D 0L; FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 23 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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