Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders result

Full-time · Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders

Major League Soccer · · Providence Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders — Portland Timbers won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Timbers beat Seattle Sounders 2–1 at Providence Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 2 August. Portland Timbers have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Seattle Sounders: Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (27’); Portland Timbers: K. Kelsy (41’, assisted by K. Velde) and B. Bye (82’, assisted by David Pereira da Costa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Bye’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Portland Timbers 1.71, Seattle Sounders 1.22, from 14 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Joseph Dickerson, USA showed four yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portland Timbers: K. Miller (30’) and K. Kelsy (45+5’); Seattle Sounders: Peter Kingston (25’) and Sebastian Gomez (71’).

What it changes

Portland Timbers are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Seattle Sounders have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (Seattle Sounders) 7.5, B. Bye (Portland Timbers) 6.9 and K. Velde (Portland Timbers) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.9% of the time in the last 90 days (418 of 634).

Next up

Portland Timbers next host Charlotte on 25 October 2026.

Seattle Sounders next travel to San Diego on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers v Charlotte, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Seattle Sounders: San Diego v Seattle Sounders, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Providence Park · Portland
  • Referee: Joseph Dickerson, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Timbers 2 · draws 2 · Seattle Sounders 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L · Seattle Sounders 0W 0D 5L

Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.38 / 5.38
Corners
against 5 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.17 yellows
Referee · Joseph Dickerson, USA
2.67 home / 2.5 away
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortland Timbers for / againstLineSeattle Sounders for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.25our book
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Joseph Dickerson, USA — 5.17 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 20.67 fouls over 6 matches (2.67 to the home side, 2.5 to the away side).

Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Kelsy n 875.9
2.17/4
1.25/2
Osaze De Rosario
Ian Smith n 828
25/0
0.82/0
—
J. Mosquera n 849.4
1.65/2
1.14/1
—
K. Velde n 885.6
1.26/3
3.88/7
Paul Rothrock
K. Miller n 877.9
1.26/2
0.95/1
—
Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Kelsy n 875.9
3.17/6
1.37/2
A. Aravena n 825.9
34/3
0.92/0
K. Velde n 885.6
2.18/5
1.16/2
Antony n 871.1
1.96/3
0.94/1
C. Bassett n 880.4
1.87/6
0.75/0
Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Lassiter n 831.5
0.41/0
0.72/0
K. Kelsy n 875.9
0.94/2
0.11/0
F. Mora n 836.9
0.92/1
00/0
Gage Guerra n 839.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
David Pereira da Costa n 886
00/0
0.73/2
Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Caicedo n 853.1
36/5
D. Chara n 848.3
2.65/3
Ian Smith n 828
2.44/1
J. Ortiz n 845.9
25/1
J. Fory n 883.5
1.87/5
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 891.6
4.76/6
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Osaze De Rosario n 825.6
2.64/2
1.33/0
K. Kelsy
Sebastian Gomez n 311.3
2.61/0
2.61/0
—
Peter Kingston n 827.3
2.15/0
0.41/0
—
Daniel Musovski n 840.1
23/1
0.82/1
—
Paul Rothrock n 875.9
1.97/4
2.17/5
K. Velde
Seattle Sounders — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sebastian Gomez n 311.3
2.61/0
00/0
Daniel Musovski n 840.1
2.55/1
1.43/1
Osaze De Rosario n 825.6
2.24/1
0.92/0
Peter Kingston n 827.3
2.15/0
0.82/0
Jordan Morris n 865.5
1.96/3
1.25/2
Seattle Sounders — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Cristian Roldán n 868.3
0.31/1
0.21/0
Jordan Morris n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Osaze De Rosario n 825.6
0.41/0
00/0
Paul Rothrock n 875.9
0.32/0
00/0
Daniel Musovski n 840.1
0.31/0
00/0
Seattle Sounders — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Peter Kingston n 827.3
2.15/0
Cristian Roldán n 868.3
26/3
Hassani Dotson n 866.6
1.96/3
Alex Roldán n 876.1
1.86/3
Snyder Brunell n 868.1
1.86/5
Seattle Sounders — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrew Thomas n 890
3.16/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders
53%Possession47%
1.71Expected goals (xG)1.22
14Shots16
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target7
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box11
4Corners5
0Offsides2
7Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
489Passes426
87%Pass accuracy82%

Portland Timbers player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pantemis9000000006.9
B. Bye9010112108.3
F. Surman9000100107.2
K. Miller90000011Y7.6
J. Fory9000001007
D. Chara9000000207.9
David Pereira da Costa9001113107.5
K. Velde8901223007.3
C. Bassett8800102106.9
K. Kelsy88104100Y6.9
A. Lassiter6500101007
Antony sub2500000006.5
Ian Smith sub800000006.3
J. Caicedo sub800000006.6
O. Fernandez sub10000000–

Seattle Sounders player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andrew Thomas9000000006.2
S. Hawkins9000100106.7
Nouhou Tolo9000311307
Snyder Brunell9000100106.3
Jesús Ferreira9000212106.6
Albert Rusnák9000213006.9
Paul Rothrock9000000005.9
Kim Kee-hee7300000206.6
Osaze De Rosario7300101006.2
Peter Kingston45000002Y6.2
Paul Arriola70000000–
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi sub7710111307.9
Sebastian Gomez sub45000000Y6.5
Alex Roldán sub1700000106.2
Daniel Musovski sub1700000006.7
Antino Lopez sub1200000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland TimbersLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Seattle SoundersLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portland Timbers 2 · 2 draws · Seattle Sounders 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-07-17 Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-10-05 Seattle Sounders 1–0 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-05-18 Portland Timbers 1–1 Seattle Sounders
  • 2024-10-20 Seattle Sounders 1–1 Portland Timbers
  • 2024-09-01 Portland Timbers 1–0 Seattle Sounders
  • 2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders
League standing · 2026
Portland Timbers#11 pos34 pts30 pl-5 GD
Seattle Sounders#7 pos42 pts30 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Portland Timbers scored1.7
Seattle Sounders scored1.3
Portland Timbers conceded1.87
Seattle Sounders conceded1.23

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders?
In their last 6 meetings, Portland Timbers won 2, Seattle Sounders won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders?
Recent form — Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L; Seattle Sounders 0W 0D 5L.

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