Portland TimbersCharlotte

Portland Timbers v Charlotte result

Full-time · Portland Timbers 3–2 Charlotte

Major League Soccer · · Providence Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portland Timbers · Charlotte

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Timbers 3–2 Charlotte — Portland Timbers won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.22 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Timbers beat Charlotte 3–2 at Providence Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 25 October.

The goals

Portland Timbers led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Charlotte: Pep Biel (3’, assisted by A. Westwood) and Idan Toklomati Jorno (69’, assisted by L. de la Torre); Portland Timbers: A. Lassiter (11’, assisted by Eric Izoita; 40’, assisted by Eric Izoita) and A. Aravena (90’, assisted by C. Bassett).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Aravena’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Portland Timbers 3.70, Charlotte 0.83, from 27 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Mendoza showed two yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portland Timbers: Eric Izoita (17’); Charlotte: N. Byrne (45’).

What it changes

Portland Timbers have scored 60 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Portland Timbers have conceded 61 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs.

Charlotte have scored 63 goals, the fifth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Charlotte have conceded 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Charlotte are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Lassiter (Portland Timbers) 9.6, Pep Biel (Charlotte) 7.4 and Eric Izoita (Portland Timbers) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portland Timbers or Charlotte (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Portland Timbers next travel to Austin on 8 November 2026.

Charlotte next travel to Inter Miami on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portland Timbers: Austin v Portland Timbers, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Charlotte: Inter Miami v Charlotte, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portland Timbers 3–2 Charlotte · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Providence Park · Portland, Oregon
  • Referee: R. Mendoza
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Portland Timbers 0 · draws 0 · Charlotte 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Timbers 0W 2D 3L · Charlotte 2W 1D 2L

Portland Timbers 3–2 Charlotte (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5
Corners
against 4 / 7.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 7.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.2 yellows
Referee · R. Mendoza
21.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortland Timbers for / againstLineCharlotte for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.75our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 7.38 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 22.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 7.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Mendoza — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 21.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pantemis30912738 min1193.9 /90511.7 /9010 /90
T. Muse290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 890.6
2.77/4

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Fory30842505 min552 /90592.1 /9090.3 /901274.6 /90341.2 /9050.2 /90
F. Surman29902603 min441.5 /90441.5 /90491.7 /901184.1 /90140.5 /9020.1 /90
K. Miller25801996 min210.9 /90241.1 /90160.7 /90723.2 /90221 /9050.2 /90
B. Bye22861883 min311.5 /90211 /9050.2 /901065.1 /90201 /9050.2 /90
Ian Smith1634539 min152.5 /90101.7 /9061 /90447.3 /9091.5 /9030.5 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Velde n 890.3
14/2
3.47/6
Pep Biel
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
—
J. Fory n 880
14/2
16/1
N. Byrne
F. Surman n 891.3
0.53/1
0.64/1
—
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
0.84/2
14/3
A. Westwood
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Velde n 890.3
1.57/3
J. Fory n 880
2.46/6
F. Surman n 891.3
1.26/4
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
1.36/3
Antony n 838.5
1.84/2
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Antony29561634 min40.2 /9030.2 /90281.5 /90130.7 /90241.3 /90251.4 /90
A. Lassiter25571419 min80.5 /9040.3 /90281.8 /90161 /90241.5 /90140.9 /90
K. Kelsy20701402 min90.6 /9030.2 /90412.6 /90161 /90191.2 /9080.5 /90
A. Aravena1435489 min10.2 /9000 /90132.4 /9071.3 /9050.9 /90101.8 /90
V. Janssen1055548 min40.7 /9000 /90111.8 /9071.1 /90101.6 /9071.1 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Velde n 890.3
3.57/6
1.15/4
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
J. Fory n 880
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Surman n 891.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
0.63/1
0.63/1
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Velde n 890.3
0.42/1
00/0
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
J. Fory n 880
00/0
0.11/0
F. Surman n 891.3
0.11/0
00/0
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Charlotte

Charlotte Goalkeeper

Charlotte — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Kahlina29912644 min1304.4 /90411.4 /9000 /90
T. Miller292183 min104.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Charlotte — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Kahlina n 890
6.38/8

Charlotte Defensive

Charlotte — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Byrne25842101 min190.8 /90130.6 /9050.2 /90693 /9070.3 /9030.1 /90
T. Ream22891959 min140.6 /90150.7 /90110.5 /90452.1 /9080.4 /9030.1 /90
Morrison Agyemang20891789 min201 /90231.2 /90160.8 /90884.4 /90241.2 /9050.3 /90
D. Schnegg20701409 min171.1 /90181.1 /9060.4 /90583.7 /90191.2 /9080.5 /90
H. Toffolo18711272 min302.1 /90100.7 /9020.1 /90644.5 /9080.6 /9020.1 /90
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Charlotte — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pep Biel n 889
1.36/3
1.17/2
K. Velde
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 879.5
1.36/3
1.15/2
—
K. Kahlina n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Westwood n 886
1.36/4
0.94/2
David Pereira da Costa
N. Byrne n 877.5
0.11/0
1.76/3
J. Fory
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Charlotte — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pep Biel n 889
1.45/3
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 879.5
14/2
A. Westwood n 886
0.54/0
N. Byrne n 877.5
1.55/4
D. Diani n 880.6
2.16/4
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Charlotte Attacking

Charlotte — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Idan Toklomati Jorno30732203 min130.5 /9040.2 /90421.7 /90230.9 /90230.9 /90130.5 /90
R. Aloko1942806 min20.2 /9020.2 /90131.5 /9050.6 /9070.8 /90161.8 /90
A. Goodwin1336463 min40.8 /9000 /90122.3 /9071.4 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
A. Saint-Maximin1176835 min10.1 /9030.3 /90212.3 /90121.3 /90222.4 /90333.6 /90
Tyger Smalls824190 min20.9 /9010.5 /9062.8 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9020.9 /90
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Charlotte — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pep Biel n 889
0.85/1
0.43/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 879.5
2.37/5
1.36/2
K. Kahlina n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Westwood n 886
16/2
0.43/0
N. Byrne n 877.5
00/0
00/0
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Charlotte — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pep Biel n 889
0.11/0
0.11/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 879.5
16/1
0.32/0
K. Kahlina n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Westwood n 886
0.11/0
0.42/1
N. Byrne n 877.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Portland TimbersCharlotte
56%Possession44%
3.70Expected goals (xG)0.83
27Shots6
13Shots on target3
5Shots off target2
9Blocked shots1
20Shots inside the box5
9Corners3
3Offsides2
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves9
570Passes458
93%Pass accuracy86%

Portland Timbers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Hernandez9000114106.5
J. Pantemis9000000005.7
J. Caicedo9000200507.6
David Pereira da Costa9000113106.5
K. Miller9000000206.9
J. Waterman9000000207.2
K. Velde9000213108.3
A. Lassiter8320441109
V. Janssen8300112006.5
Eric Izoita64022240Y7.3
J. Fory6400002106.9
Ian Smith sub2600002106.6
C. Bassett sub2601422106.9
A. Aravena sub1310110007
O. Fernandez sub1300000006.7

Charlotte Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Idan Toklomati Jorno9010220007
Pep Biel9010112207.9
D. Diani9000000307.9
H. Kessler9000000107.2
Morrison Agyemang9000000007.3
N. Byrne90000010Y6.5
K. Kahlina9000000008.3
A. Westwood8501001007
R. Aloko7000000407
D. Schnegg7000000006.5
L. Abada6200000106.7
L. de la Torre sub2801101107.3
Tyger Smalls sub2000100006.5
H. Toffolo sub2000001106.9
B. Coulibaly sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portland Timbers v Charlotte — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland TimbersLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
CharlotteWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Portland Timbers 0 · 0 draws · Charlotte 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2024-05-04 Charlotte 2–0 Portland Timbers
League standing · 2026
Portland Timbers#8 pos43 pts33 pl-1 GD
Charlotte#5 pos53 pts33 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Portland Timbers scored1.82
Charlotte scored1.91
Portland Timbers conceded1.85
Charlotte conceded1.45

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Timbers v Charlotte?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Timbers v Charlotte was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Timbers and Charlotte?
In their last 1 meetings, Portland Timbers won 0, Charlotte won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Timbers and Charlotte?
Recent form — Portland Timbers 0W 2D 3L; Charlotte 2W 1D 2L.

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