Sporting Kansas City v Austin prediction

Major League Soccer · · Children's Mercy Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Sporting Kansas City v Austin, Major League Soccer on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 01:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sporting Kansas City host Austin in Major League Soccer on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Sporting Kansas City or Austin (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sporting Kansas City have conceded 75 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

Both teams scored in 12 of Austin’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Sporting Kansas City are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Austin are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Sporting Kansas City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Sporting Kansas City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Sporting Kansas City have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 2.25. Sporting Kansas City have scored 36 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

Nine of Austin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Austin have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Austin have scored 38 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Austin have conceded 56 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Sporting Kansas City (15th) and Austin (14th) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Austin the stronger side, 50 rating points above Sporting Kansas City (Austin 1399, Sporting Kansas City 1349, after at least 205 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City.

Team news

Predicted Sporting Kansas City XI (4-4-2): S. Cleveland, E. Karić, W. Meyer, J. Reynolds, J. Miller, K. Agyabeng, A. Luiz, C. Harris, L. Johnsen, T. Calheira, S. Afrifa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, André Luiz (6.4 per match over nine appearances, seven goals and two assists) and Manu García (3.3 per match over 18 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Sporting Kansas City’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting Kansas City (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), André Luiz averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 618 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances. Manu García averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1437 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Austin XI (4-4-2): B. Stuver, M. Desler, G. Biro, J. Bell, B. Hines-Ike, J. Gallagher, E. Torres, B. Sabovic, J. Rosales, B. Vázquez, F. Torres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Uzuni (3.8 per match over 26 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and F. Torres (3.2 per match over 33 appearances, four goals and eight assists) have been Austin’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Austin (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Uzuni averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 2334 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. F. Torres averages 1.1 shots per 90 over 2528 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Children's Mercy Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting Kansas City 2 · draws 0 · Austin 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sporting Kansas City 1W 1D 3L · Austin 0W 2D 3L

Sporting Kansas City v Austin (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.75
Corners
against 6.5 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 7.38 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSporting Kansas City for / againstLineAustin for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 7.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bartlett n 840.4
2.56/2
1.42/1
—
Jansen Miller n 881.1
2.16/4
0.74/1
—
M. Mosquera n 879.3
2.17/4
0.43/0
—
Owen Wolff n 848.3
2.16/2
2.66/3
—
Zorhan Bassong n 851.6
25/2
1.34/1
—
Sporting Kansas City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
André Luiz n 874.3
3.68/7
2.37/5
T. Calheira n 874.6
2.36/5
1.45/3
S. Afrifa n 869.3
2.16/4
0.84/1
C. Harris n 878.6
1.76/4
1.14/2
J. Reid n 833.8
1.74/1
0.31/0
Sporting Kansas City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
André Luiz n 874.3
1.15/2
0.32/0
T. Calheira n 874.6
0.63/1
0.21/0
S. Afrifa n 869.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
Seymour Garfield-Reid n 822.4
00/0
0.51/0
Ruben Ramos n 830.3
0.41/0
00/0
Sporting Kansas City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Reid n 825.3
2.75/1
J. Reid n 833.8
2.34/1
J. Reynolds n 876.1
1.87/3
I. James n 851
1.83/2
Emir Karić n 880.3
1.77/3
Sporting Kansas City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Cleveland n 891
4.78/7
Austin
Austin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Płacheta n 818.1
1.93/0
0.61/0
—
J. Rosales n 875.8
1.66/3
1.86/3
—
Guilherme Biro n 882.9
1.56/3
0.74/1
—
Brandon Vázquez n 870
1.45/2
0.84/1
—
B. Sabovic n 872.3
1.26/2
1.16/1
—
Austin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Brandon Vázquez n 870
3.26/6
1.44/4
M. Uzuni n 847.8
2.47/2
0.93/1
P. Płacheta n 818.1
1.93/0
00/0
C. Ramirez n 860.5
1.74/3
1.34/2
F. Torres n 879.6
1.36/3
0.63/1
Austin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ramirez n 860.5
0.72/2
0.21/0
M. Uzuni n 847.8
0.52/0
0.21/0
Brandon Vázquez n 870
0.53/0
00/0
Z. Kolmanic n 841.4
00/0
0.52/0
F. Torres n 879.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Austin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Płacheta n 818.1
2.53/1
J. Rosales n 875.8
2.26/3
B. Hines-Ike n 845.5
25/2
J. Bell n 862.4
1.85/3
B. Sabovic n 872.3
1.67/3
Austin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Stuver n 890
4.47/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sporting Kansas City v Austin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sporting Kansas CityWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
AustinDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sporting Kansas City 2 · 0 draws · Austin 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2025-09-07 Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin
  • 2025-02-23 Austin 1–0 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2024-06-30 Sporting Kansas City 2–0 Austin
  • 2024-05-19 Austin 3–2 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2023-07-16 Austin 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
League standing · 2026
Sporting Kansas City#15 pos22 pts30 pl-39 GD
Austin#14 pos31 pts30 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Sporting Kansas City scored1.2
Austin scored1.27
Sporting Kansas City conceded2.5
Austin conceded1.87

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Sporting Kansas City v Austin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting Kansas City v Austin is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Kansas City and Austin?
In their last 6 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2, Austin won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sporting Kansas City and Austin?
Recent form — Sporting Kansas City 1W 1D 3L; Austin 0W 2D 3L.

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