Carlisle v Boreham Wood result

Full-time · Carlisle 1–2 Boreham Wood

National League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Carlisle 1–2 Boreham Wood — Boreham Wood won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Boreham Wood won 2–1 at Carlisle in the National League on Sunday 3 May. Boreham Wood have won their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Boreham Wood: A. Abdulmalik (28’, assisted by R. Booty) and Z. Brunt (106’, assisted by Lewis Mark Richardson); Carlisle: M. Feeney (40’, assisted by D. Ajiboye). J. Luamba (96’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Z. Brunt’s goal on 106 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Carlisle: R. Galvin (37’), A. Hayden (90+4’) and M. Feeney (120+3’); Boreham Wood: Leon Ayinde (64’), R. Booty (68’), T. White (90+1’), C. Bush (90+4’) and C. O'Connell (120+2’).

What it changes

Carlisle have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Boreham Wood have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Carlisle or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Carlisle next travel to Solihull Moors on 24 October 2026.

Boreham Wood next host AFC Fylde on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carlisle: Solihull Moors v Carlisle, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Boreham Wood: Boreham Wood v AFC Fylde, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Carlisle 1–2 Boreham Wood · National League
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Carlisle 0 · draws 1 · Boreham Wood 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Carlisle 3W 2D 0L · Boreham Wood 4W 0D 1L

Carlisle 1–2 Boreham Wood (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Carlisle v Boreham Wood — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarlisleDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Boreham WoodLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Carlisle 0 · 1 draw · Boreham Wood 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-12-21 Boreham Wood 2–0 Carlisle
  • 2025-08-16 Carlisle 3–3 Boreham Wood
League standing · 2025/26
Carlisle#3 pos95 pts46 pl+36 GD
Boreham Wood#4 pos90 pts46 pl+37 GD
Goals per game
Carlisle scored1.89
Boreham Wood scored2.07
Carlisle conceded1.11
Boreham Wood conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Carlisle v Boreham Wood?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Carlisle v Boreham Wood was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and Boreham Wood?
In their last 2 meetings, Carlisle won 0, Boreham Wood won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carlisle and Boreham Wood?
Recent form — Carlisle 3W 2D 0L; Boreham Wood 4W 0D 1L.

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