Free model picks
National League Predictions: Free Model Picks, Graded
12 National League fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Carlisle v Boston United (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). 0 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Boreham Wood lead the table on 44 points after 16 games, 12 points clear of Harrogate Town.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming National League fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Carlisle are unbeaten in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Gateshead are winless in their last 15 (all competitions we cover)
AFC Hornchurch have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
FC Halifax Town have scored in their last 11 (all competitions we cover)
Southend have scored in their last 17 (all competitions we cover)
Boreham Wood have scored in their last 25 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About National League
TACTIX lists 12 upcoming National League fixtures in the next ten days, none of them with a free model pick yet. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In National League specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 33 from 46, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 6 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
12 fixtures in the National League fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Carlisle v Boston United (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). Recent record: the free National League pick landed 33 of 46 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Boreham Wood lead the National League on 44 points from 16 games, 12 points clear of Harrogate Town (this season so far). The National League is averaging 3.16 goals a game across 189 matches, this season so far.
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National League at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for National League — the baseline every National League match starts from before team form.
National League Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 17 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 23 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 20 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 23 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 20 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 34 | -25 | 4 |
Current National League standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) National League pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.