Carlisle v Southend result
Team pages: Carlisle · Southend
The model’s pre-match pick
Carlisle 2–2 Southend — this National League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Carlisle and Southend drew 2–2 at Brunton Park in the National League on Saturday 12 September. Carlisle have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Southend have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Carlisle led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Carlisle: G. Kelly (4’, assisted by D. Ajiboye; 90’, assisted by M. Feeney); Southend: L. Chambers-Parillon (83’, assisted by P. Omochere) and Kyle James McAdam (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kyle James McAdam’s goal on 90 minutes.
What it changes
Carlisle move up from 14th to 12th (seven league matches played).
Southend move down from second to fifth (seven league matches played).
Southend are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Carlisle or Southend (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).
Next up
Carlisle next travel to Solihull Moors on 24 October 2026.
Southend next host FC Halifax Town on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Carlisle: Solihull Moors v Carlisle, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Southend: Southend v FC Halifax Town, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Carlisle 2–2 Southend · National League
- Venue: Brunton Park · Carlisle
- Referee: Steven Copeland
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Carlisle 3 · draws 1 · Southend 0 · 2.75 goals/game
- Recent form: Carlisle 2W 2D 1L · Southend 3W 1D 1L
Carlisle 2–2 Southend (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Carlisle v Southend — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-07 Carlisle 2–2 Southend
- 2025-11-08 Southend 1–2 Carlisle
- 2021-04-03 Southend 0–2 Carlisle
- 2020-09-19 Carlisle 2–0 Southend
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Carlisle v Southend?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Carlisle v Southend was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and Southend?
- In their last 4 meetings, Carlisle won 3, Southend won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Carlisle and Southend?
- Recent form — Carlisle 2W 2D 1L; Southend 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.