Carlisle v Sutton Utd result

Full-time · Carlisle 3–0 Sutton Utd

National League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Carlisle 3–0 Sutton Utd — Carlisle won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 214 landed (95% range 72–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Carlisle beat Sutton Utd 3–0 in the National League on Saturday 11 April. Carlisle are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Sutton Utd are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Carlisle led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: H. Macadam (10’, assisted by G. Kelly; 23’, assisted by C. Whelan) and R. Galvin (41’, assisted by R. Linney).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. Macadam’s goal on 10 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Carlisle: C. Whelan (60’) and D. Ajiboye (63’); Sutton Utd: Lewis Simper (8’), J. Taylor (28’), R. Ruiz (44’), D. Urpens (65’) and J. Harris (74’).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Carlisle to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Carlisle next travel to Solihull Moors on 24 October 2026.

Sutton Utd next travel to Harrogate Town on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carlisle: Solihull Moors v Carlisle, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Sutton Utd: Harrogate Town v Sutton Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Carlisle 3–0 Sutton Utd · National League
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Carlisle 0 · draws 2 · Sutton Utd 3 · 2.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Carlisle 3W 2D 0L · Sutton Utd 1W 1D 3L

Carlisle 3–0 Sutton Utd (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Carlisle v Sutton Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarlisleWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Sutton UtdLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Carlisle 0 · 2 draws · Sutton Utd 3 · 2.6 goals/game
  • 2025-08-30 Sutton Utd 2–1 Carlisle
  • 2023-05-08 Sutton Utd 1–1 Carlisle
  • 2022-12-03 Carlisle 1–1 Sutton Utd
  • 2022-01-29 Carlisle 0–2 Sutton Utd
  • 2021-09-25 Sutton Utd 4–0 Carlisle
League standing · 2025/26
Carlisle#3 pos95 pts46 pl+36 GD
Sutton Utd#19 pos47 pts46 pl-20 GD
Goals per game
Carlisle scored1.89
Sutton Utd scored1.28
Carlisle conceded1.11
Sutton Utd conceded1.72

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Carlisle v Sutton Utd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Carlisle v Sutton Utd was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and Sutton Utd?
In their last 5 meetings, Carlisle won 0, Sutton Utd won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carlisle and Sutton Utd?
Recent form — Carlisle 3W 2D 0L; Sutton Utd 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

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