Carlisle v Worthing result

Full-time · Carlisle 2–3 Worthing

National League · · Brunton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Carlisle 2–3 Worthing — Worthing won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Worthing won 3–2 at Brunton Park in the National League on Saturday 8 August. Carlisle have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Worthing have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Worthing came from behind: Carlisle led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: G. Kelly (42’, assisted by H. Bunker; 87’); Worthing: D. Hutchinson (67’, assisted by C. Adjetey-Brew), R. Coleman De-Graft (82’) and R. Aguiar (86’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Coleman De-Graft’s goal on 82 minutes.

What it changes

Carlisle are 22nd after this result (one league match played).

Worthing are second after this result (one league match played).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Carlisle or Worthing (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Carlisle next travel to Solihull Moors on 24 October 2026.

Worthing next travel to Kidderminster Harriers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carlisle: Solihull Moors v Carlisle, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Worthing: Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Carlisle 2–3 Worthing · National League
  • Venue: Brunton Park · Carlisle
  • Referee: Scott Jackson
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Carlisle 3W 1D 1L · Worthing 2W 1D 2L

Carlisle 2–3 Worthing (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Carlisle v Worthing — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarlisleDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
WorthingLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Carlisle#14 pos17 pts13 pl+3 GD
Worthing#5 pos24 pts13 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Carlisle scored1.77
Worthing scored2.08
Carlisle conceded1.54
Worthing conceded1.38

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Carlisle v Worthing?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Carlisle v Worthing was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Carlisle and Worthing?
Recent form — Carlisle 3W 1D 1L; Worthing 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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