Kidderminster Harriers v Gateshead result

Full-time · Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Gateshead

National League · · Aggborough Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Gateshead — Kidderminster Harriers won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away team goals — Away under 1 5.

Free pick
Away team goals — Away under 1 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away team goals — Away under 1 5 in the last 90 days, 72% of 862 landed (95% range 69–74.9%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kidderminster Harriers beat Gateshead 1–0 at Aggborough Stadium in the National League on Wednesday 16 September. Kidderminster Harriers are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Gateshead are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Kidderminster Harriers led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Kidderminster Harriers: C. Dolan (27’, assisted by L. Walker).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Dolan’s goal on 27 minutes.

What it changes

Kidderminster Harriers move down from second to fourth (eight league matches played).

Gateshead stay 23rd after this result (eight league matches played).

Kidderminster Harriers have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Gateshead team goals — Away under 1 5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72% of the time in the last 90 days (621 of 862).

Next up

Kidderminster Harriers next host Worthing on 24 October 2026.

Gateshead next travel to Stafford Rangers on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kidderminster Harriers: Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Gateshead: Stafford Rangers v Gateshead, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Gateshead · National League
  • Venue: Aggborough Stadium · Kidderminster
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Kidderminster Harriers 0 · draws 0 · Gateshead 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kidderminster Harriers 3W 2D 0L · Gateshead 0W 1D 4L

Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Gateshead (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kidderminster Harriers v Gateshead — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kidderminster HarriersDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
GatesheadLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Kidderminster Harriers 0 · 0 draws · Gateshead 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2024-02-20 Kidderminster Harriers 0–2 Gateshead
  • 2023-09-19 Gateshead 3–0 Kidderminster Harriers
League standing · 2026/27
Kidderminster Harriers#11 pos20 pts13 pl+3 GD
Gateshead#24 pos4 pts13 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Kidderminster Harriers scored1.15
Gateshead scored0.62
Kidderminster Harriers conceded0.92
Gateshead conceded2.38

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Kidderminster Harriers v Gateshead?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kidderminster Harriers v Gateshead was Away team goals — Away under 1 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Kidderminster Harriers and Gateshead?
In their last 2 meetings, Kidderminster Harriers won 0, Gateshead won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kidderminster Harriers and Gateshead?
Recent form — Kidderminster Harriers 3W 2D 0L; Gateshead 0W 1D 4L.

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