Morecambe v Forest Green result

Full-time · Morecambe 1–3 Forest Green

National League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Morecambe 1–3 Forest Green — Forest Green won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 1356 landed (95% range 64.9–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Forest Green won 3–1 at Morecambe in the National League on Tuesday 2 September.

The goals

Forest Green led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Morecambe: Gwion Edwards (23’, assisted by A. Muskwe); Forest Green: K. McAllister (34’) and Thomas Knowles (43’, assisted by K. Mitchell; 46’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thomas Knowles’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Morecambe: M. Azeez (24’) and A. Muskwe (76’); Forest Green: J. Clarke (79’).

What it changes

Morecambe have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Forest Green are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Forest Green, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1356).

Next up

Forest Green next travel to Barrow on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Forest Green: Barrow v Forest Green, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Morecambe 1–3 Forest Green · National League
  • Referee: Zac Kennard-Kettle
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Morecambe 2 · draws 2 · Forest Green 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Morecambe 1W 0D 4L · Forest Green 4W 1D 0L

Morecambe 1–3 Forest Green (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Morecambe v Forest Green — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MorecambeLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Forest GreenWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Morecambe 2 · 2 draws · Forest Green 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-04-20 Morecambe 1–2 Forest Green
  • 2023-09-30 Forest Green 1–2 Morecambe
  • 2023-02-11 Morecambe 1–1 Forest Green
  • 2022-09-17 Forest Green 1–2 Morecambe
  • 2021-03-09 Forest Green 2–2 Morecambe
  • 2020-10-24 Morecambe 1–2 Forest Green
League standing · 2025/26
Morecambe#22 pos38 pts46 pl-37 GD
Forest Green#7 pos81 pts46 pl+30 GD
Goals per game
Morecambe scored1.43
Forest Green scored1.78
Morecambe conceded2.24
Forest Green conceded1.13

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Morecambe v Forest Green?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Morecambe v Forest Green was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Morecambe and Forest Green?
In their last 6 meetings, Morecambe won 2, Forest Green won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Morecambe and Forest Green?
Recent form — Morecambe 1W 0D 4L; Forest Green 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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