Southend v Tamworth result

Full-time · Southend 3–1 Tamworth

National League · · Roots Hall

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Southend 3–1 Tamworth — Southend won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southend beat Tamworth 3–1 at Roots Hall in the National League on Tuesday 15 September. Southend have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Tamworth have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Southend: L. Chambers-Parillon (60’, assisted by D. Oldaker), P. Omochere (68’, assisted by Kyle James McAdam) and S. Austin (82’); Tamworth: N. Tshikuna (70’, assisted by T. McGlinchey).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Chambers-Parillon’s goal on 60 minutes.

What it changes

Southend move up from fifth to third (eight league matches played).

Tamworth move down from 20th to 22nd (eight league matches played).

Southend’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 8, across 12 matches. Southend are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Tamworth are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Southend next host FC Halifax Town on 24 October 2026.

Tamworth next travel to Gateshead on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southend: Southend v FC Halifax Town, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Tamworth: Gateshead v Tamworth, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Southend 3–1 Tamworth · National League
  • Venue: Roots Hall · Southend on Sea
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Southend 2 · draws 1 · Tamworth 1 · 2.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Southend 2W 2D 1L · Tamworth 1W 1D 3L

Southend 3–1 Tamworth (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Southend v Tamworth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthendWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
TamworthLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Southend 2 · 1 draw · Tamworth 1 · 2.25 goals/game
  • 2025-12-20 Tamworth 2–1 Southend
  • 2025-08-16 Southend 2–0 Tamworth
  • 2025-02-22 Tamworth 1–1 Southend
  • 2024-10-26 Southend 2–0 Tamworth
League standing · 2026/27
Southend#3 pos27 pts13 pl+12 GD
Tamworth#18 pos14 pts13 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Southend scored2.38
Tamworth scored1.62
Southend conceded1.46
Tamworth conceded2.31

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Southend v Tamworth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southend v Tamworth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Southend and Tamworth?
In their last 4 meetings, Southend won 2, Tamworth won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southend and Tamworth?
Recent form — Southend 2W 2D 1L; Tamworth 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

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