Sutton Utd v Carlisle result
Team pages: Sutton Utd · Carlisle
The model’s pre-match pick
Sutton Utd 2–1 Carlisle — Sutton Utd won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
Sutton Utd beat Carlisle 2–1 in the National League on Saturday 30 August. Carlisle have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sutton Utd: Edon Pruti (49’, assisted by J. Wadham) and D. Ogbonna (82’, assisted by J. Sims); Carlisle: G. Kelly (90’, assisted by T. Thomas).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Edon Pruti’s goal on 49 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Carlisle: S. Wearne (24’).
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Carlisle, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.7% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1351).
Next up
Sutton Utd next travel to Harrogate Town on 24 October 2026.
Carlisle next travel to Solihull Moors on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Sutton Utd: Harrogate Town v Sutton Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Carlisle: Solihull Moors v Carlisle, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Sutton Utd 2–1 Carlisle · National League
- Referee: Darren Drysdale
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Sutton Utd 2 · draws 2 · Carlisle 0 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Sutton Utd 0W 2D 3L · Carlisle 3W 2D 0L
Sutton Utd 2–1 Carlisle (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sutton Utd v Carlisle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-05-08 Sutton Utd 1–1 Carlisle
- 2022-12-03 Carlisle 1–1 Sutton Utd
- 2022-01-29 Carlisle 0–2 Sutton Utd
- 2021-09-25 Sutton Utd 4–0 Carlisle
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Sutton Utd v Carlisle?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sutton Utd v Carlisle was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sutton Utd and Carlisle?
- In their last 4 meetings, Sutton Utd won 2, Carlisle won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sutton Utd and Carlisle?
- Recent form — Sutton Utd 0W 2D 3L; Carlisle 3W 2D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.