Worthing v AFC Hornchurch result
Team pages: Worthing · AFC Hornchurch
The model’s pre-match pick
Worthing 1–0 AFC Hornchurch — Worthing won this National League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Worthing beat AFC Hornchurch 1–0 at Sussex Transport Community Stadium in the National League on Tuesday 15 September. Worthing have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Worthing led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Worthing: R. Aguiar (6’, assisted by C. Kendall).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Aguiar’s goal on 6 minutes.
What it changes
Worthing move up from 15th to 12th (eight league matches played).
AFC Hornchurch move down from sixth to 11th (eight league matches played).
Worthing are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. AFC Hornchurch have lost their last three matches in all competitions. AFC Hornchurch have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Worthing or AFC Hornchurch (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
Worthing next travel to Kidderminster Harriers on 24 October 2026.
AFC Hornchurch next travel to Hartlepool on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Worthing: Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for AFC Hornchurch: Hartlepool v AFC Hornchurch, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Worthing 1–0 AFC Hornchurch · National League
- Venue: Sussex Transport Community Stadium · Worthing
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Worthing 1W 2D 2L · AFC Hornchurch 2W 0D 3L
Worthing 1–0 AFC Hornchurch (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Worthing v AFC Hornchurch — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Worthing v AFC Hornchurch?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Worthing v AFC Hornchurch was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Worthing and AFC Hornchurch?
- Recent form — Worthing 1W 2D 2L; AFC Hornchurch 2W 0D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.