Lillestrom v Sogndal prediction

NM Cupen ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Lillestrom v Sogndal, NM Cupen on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lillestrom host Sogndal in NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Lillestrom to win.

Form and the table

Nine of Lillestrom’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lillestrom’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Lillestrom have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.75.

11 of Sogndal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sogndal’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sogndal have seven wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 2.30 points per game, scoring 2.90 and conceding 1.10.

Lillestrom are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lillestrom the stronger side, 579 rating points above Sogndal (Lillestrom 2270, Sogndal 1692, after at least 21 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lillestrom are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sogndal, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 12 March 2023, finished Sogndal 1–2 Lillestrom.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NM Cupen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Lillestrom 3 · draws 0 · Sogndal 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lillestrom 1W 2D 2L · Sogndal 2W 2D 1L

Lillestrom v Sogndal (NM Cupen): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lillestrom v Sogndal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LillestromLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SogndalDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Lillestrom 3 · 0 draws · Sogndal 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2023-03-12 Sogndal 1–2 Lillestrom
  • 2017-10-15 Lillestrom 1–0 Sogndal
  • 2017-04-30 Sogndal 0–1 Lillestrom
Goals per game
Lillestrom scored1.2
Sogndal scored2
Lillestrom conceded1.6
Sogndal conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Lillestrom v Sogndal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lillestrom v Sogndal is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrom and Sogndal?
In their last 3 meetings, Lillestrom won 3, Sogndal won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lillestrom and Sogndal?
Recent form — Lillestrom 1W 2D 2L; Sogndal 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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