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NM Cupen predictions: free model picks, graded

15 NM Cupen fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Tromsdalen Uil v Lyn (Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT). 15 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price.

A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming NM Cupen fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.5% across 9M+ settled predictions — the full win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets are part of Pro.

Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record

This round at a glance

Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s 15 matches (from Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.

Tromsdalen Uil v Lyn
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Asane v hodd
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Egersund v Bryne
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Aalesund have scored in their last 16 (all competitions we cover)

Molde v Stromsgodset
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Molde have scored in their last 15 (all competitions we cover)

Pors Grenland v Kongsvinger
Free pick Away win
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Ranheim v Fredrikstad
Free pick Home or Away
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Fredrikstad have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)

Rosenborg v Ham-Kam
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Rosenborg have scored in their last 13 (all competitions we cover)

Grorud v Brann
Free pick Away win
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ODD Ballklubb v Sandefjord
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga
Free pick Over 2.5 goals
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Lillestrom v Sogndal
Free pick Home win
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Sandnes ULF v Bodo/Glimt
Free pick Away win
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Bodo/Glimt have scored in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)

Viking v KFUM Oslo
Free pick Home or Away
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Viking have scored in their last 16 (all competitions we cover)

Tromso v Haugesund
Free pick Home win
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NM Cupen predictions: 15 upcoming fixtures, 15 with a free model pick

What the data says about NM Cupen

TACTIX lists 15 upcoming NM Cupen fixtures in the next ten days, 15 of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.5% mean calibration error across a 9M+-prediction track record; the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 21 Oct 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?

This matchweek in numbers

15 fixtures in NM Cupen fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Tromsdalen Uil v Lyn (Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 15 of the 15 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro.

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NM Cupen at a glance

38% home wins · 9% draws4.09 goals per game

Long-run averages the model fits for NM Cupen — the baseline every NM Cupen match starts from before team form.

How these picks work

Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.

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Win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets for every fixture.