Molde v Stromsgodset prediction

NM Cupen · · Aker Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Molde · Stromsgodset · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Molde v Stromsgodset, NM Cupen on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Molde host Stromsgodset in NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

13 of Molde’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Stromsgodset are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Molde have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 13 of Molde’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%). At home, Molde have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.38.

12 of Stromsgodset’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Stromsgodset’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Stromsgodset have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.67.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Molde the stronger side, 93 rating points above Stromsgodset (Molde 2143, Stromsgodset 2050, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 September 2025, finished Stromsgodset 1–1 Molde.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NM Cupen · Aker Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Molde 2 · draws 2 · Stromsgodset 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Molde 3W 1D 1L · Stromsgodset 0W 0D 5L

Molde v Stromsgodset (NM Cupen): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.75
Corners
against 4.38 / 7.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.5 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 8.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMolde for / againstLineStromsgodset for / against
Goals scored
3 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots
20 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
8.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 8.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Molde
Molde — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Bender n 813.5
3.33/1
0.81/0
—
J. Abdulai n 869.3
2.48/6
14/1
—
Niklas Odegard n 847.6
2.14/3
1.43/2
—
D. Daga n 877.1
26/5
1.26/2
—
S. Hansen n 882
1.46/3
0.43/0
—
Molde — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Trent Toure Kone Doherty n 828.4
5.27/3
47/2
O. Spiten-Nysæter n 858
3.36/5
1.25/1
J. Abdulai n 869.3
2.87/4
1.15/2
Sander Hestetun Kilen n 857.3
2.86/3
1.63/2
C. Zady Sery n 852.5
2.46/4
1.14/1
Molde — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Trent Toure Kone Doherty n 828.4
2.44/1
00/0
Sander Hestetun Kilen n 857.3
13/1
0.42/0
Kristian Lonebu n 857.6
0.63/0
0.42/0
E. Breivik n 890
0.32/0
0.54/0
V. Bender n 813.5
00/0
0.81/0
Molde — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Linnes n 871.1
3.28/6
Niklas Odegard n 847.6
3.16/5
D. Daga n 877.1
2.66/5
V. Bender n 813.5
2.52/1
S. Kabini n 872.9
2.37/4
Molde — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Posiadała n 890
26/2
Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mats Spiten n 312.7
2.41/0
2.41/0
—
Alie Conteh n 866
2.28/3
1.25/2
—
E. Melkersen n 864.1
2.16/3
0.92/2
—
James Ampofo n 842.1
2.16/2
0.83/0
—
B. Sormo n 842
1.95/2
2.73/3
—
Stromsgodset — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
James Ampofo n 842.1
2.96/3
0.52/0
Alie Conteh n 866
2.47/4
15/1
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa n 886.5
1.36/4
0.32/0
O. Enersen n 834.8
1.34/0
13/0
E. Melkersen n 864.1
1.25/1
0.73/1
Stromsgodset — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Enersen n 834.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Farji n 824.3
0.51/0
00/0
Marcus Johansen Mehnert n 841.9
0.31/0
00/0
K. Krasniqi n 837.6
0.31/0
00/0
J. Torkildsen n 578.2
00/0
0.21/0
Stromsgodset — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Farji n 824.3
2.85/1
B. Sormo n 842
2.76/3
A. Heredia-Randen n 833
2.43/3
S. Westerlund n 862.6
2.35/3
O. Enersen n 834.8
2.34/2
Stromsgodset — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Torkildsen n 578.2
5.14/4
P. Kristian Bråtveit n 890
4.68/6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Molde v Stromsgodset — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MoldeWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
StromsgodsetLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1 scored / 3.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Molde 2 · 2 draws · Stromsgodset 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-09-24 Stromsgodset 1–1 Molde
  • 2025-08-31 Stromsgodset 3–1 Molde
  • 2025-07-19 Molde 4–1 Stromsgodset
  • 2024-12-01 Stromsgodset 1–0 Molde
  • 2024-04-01 Molde 4–0 Stromsgodset
  • 2023-09-24 Stromsgodset 1–1 Molde
Goals per game
Molde scored3.2
Stromsgodset scored1
Molde conceded1.2
Stromsgodset conceded3.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Molde v Stromsgodset?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Molde v Stromsgodset is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Stromsgodset?
In their last 6 meetings, Molde won 2, Stromsgodset won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Molde and Stromsgodset?
Recent form — Molde 3W 1D 1L; Stromsgodset 0W 0D 5L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →