Rosenborg v Ham-Kam prediction

NM Cupen · · Lerkendal Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rosenborg · Ham-Kam · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Rosenborg v Ham-Kam, NM Cupen on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rosenborg host Ham-Kam in NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Rosenborg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Rosenborg have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in eight of Rosenborg’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Rosenborg have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.25.

11 of Ham-Kam’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Ham-Kam’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Ham-Kam have two wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.89 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 2.22.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ham-Kam the stronger side, 74 rating points above Rosenborg (Ham-Kam 2120, Rosenborg 2046, after at least 23 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Rosenborg 4–0 Ham-Kam.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NM Cupen · Lerkendal Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rosenborg 4 · draws 0 · Ham-Kam 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rosenborg 4W 1D 0L · Ham-Kam 1W 0D 4L

Rosenborg v Ham-Kam (NM Cupen): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.63 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 6.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRosenborg for / againstLineHam-Kam for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 19 against n 8
Shots on target
7.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 6.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.63 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Rosenborg
Rosenborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Reitan-Sunde n 815.4
5.15/2
4.45/1
—
Jonas Mortensen n 823.9
3.37/0
0.51/0
—
Amin Chiakha n 887
3.18/5
1.87/4
—
Maciej Soboczynski n 427.5
2.53/0
0.81/0
—
Mads Bomholt n 889.6
2.47/5
0.94/2
—
Rosenborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Maciej Soboczynski n 427.5
4.13/1
0.81/0
Amin Chiakha n 887
3.98/8
1.77/4
Dino Islamović n 839.4
3.15/4
1.44/1
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 885.3
2.57/5
1.57/4
Simen Nordli n 845.9
2.56/4
1.54/2
Rosenborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amin Chiakha n 887
17/1
0.43/0
Noah Sahsah n 863.9
0.94/1
00/0
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 885.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Aslak Witry n 860.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Dino Islamović n 839.4
0.61/1
00/0
Rosenborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Svensson n 859.6
4.38/8
Ole Selnaes n 885.8
3.48/7
Jonas Mortensen n 823.9
2.84/2
J. Reitan-Sunde n 815.4
2.22/1
Iver Fossum n 860.4
26/4
Rosenborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
3.47/6
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Isufi n 846.6
3.45/3
2.95/4
—
David Benjamin n 846.8
2.66/4
0.72/1
—
Anders Trondsen n 842
2.16/1
2.14/2
—
Aksel Baran Potur n 878
1.97/5
4.68/6
—
William Osnes-Ringen n 831.4
1.84/1
1.12/1
—
Ham-Kam — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ofkir n 857.6
25/3
0.83/1
Henrik Udahl n 852.4
1.95/2
0.93/1
A. Andresen n 848.9
1.86/2
0.21/0
Markus Johnsgard n 873.8
1.76/3
0.63/1
Danilo Al-Saed n 823.6
1.43/0
12/0
Ham-Kam — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ofkir n 857.6
0.83/1
0.41/1
Patrick Metcalfe n 889.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
Viðar Ari Jónsson n 873.1
0.21/0
0.31/1
Aksel Baran Potur n 863.5
00/0
0.52/1
Danilo Al-Saed n 823.6
0.51/0
00/0
Ham-Kam — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Isufi n 846.6
3.66/4
William Osnes-Ringen n 831.4
3.26/3
João Barros n 353.7
2.82/2
Viðar Ari Jónsson n 877.4
2.58/6
A. Andresen n 848.9
1.84/2
Ham-Kam — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marcus Sandberg n 890
46/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rosenborg v Ham-Kam — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RosenborgWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Ham-KamLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rosenborg 4 · 0 draws · Ham-Kam 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Rosenborg 4–0 Ham-Kam
  • 2025-09-28 Ham-Kam 4–0 Rosenborg
  • 2025-07-13 Rosenborg 2–0 Ham-Kam
  • 2024-11-10 Ham-Kam 0–2 Rosenborg
  • 2024-04-14 Rosenborg 1–0 Ham-Kam
  • 2023-08-20 Ham-Kam 3–0 Rosenborg
Goals per game
Rosenborg scored3.2
Ham-Kam scored1.4
Rosenborg conceded1
Ham-Kam conceded3.2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Rosenborg v Ham-Kam?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rosenborg v Ham-Kam is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rosenborg and Ham-Kam?
In their last 6 meetings, Rosenborg won 4, Ham-Kam won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rosenborg and Ham-Kam?
Recent form — Rosenborg 4W 1D 0L; Ham-Kam 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

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