Tromso v Haugesund prediction

NM Cupen · · Romssa Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tromso · Haugesund · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Tromso v Haugesund, NM Cupen on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tromso host Haugesund in NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Tromso to win.

Form and the table

Nine of Tromso’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Tromso’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Tromso have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.83.

11 of Haugesund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Haugesund’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Haugesund have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.57.

Tromso are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Haugesund have lost their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tromso the stronger side, 159 rating points above Haugesund (Tromso 1980, Haugesund 1822, after at least 20 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 October 2025, finished Haugesund 2–3 Tromso.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NM Cupen · Romssa Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tromso 4 · draws 0 · Haugesund 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tromso 1W 2D 2L · Haugesund 1W 0D 4L

Tromso v Haugesund (NM Cupen): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.75
Corners
against 5 / 9.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 7.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTromso for / againstLineHaugesund for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 3 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
2.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
8.5 for · 21 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 7.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Tromso
Tromso — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Osuji n 847.8
3.37/3
1.44/1
—
Lars Olden Larsen n 850.3
2.76/3
0.73/0
—
V. Erlien n 822.9
2.53/1
11/1
—
David Edvardsson n 885.5
27/5
1.25/2
—
J. Grundt n 618.5
1.61/1
0.81/0
—
Tromso — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Heine Asen Larsen n 873
3.16/4
1.75/3
Daniel Braut n 822.8
2.53/2
12/0
J. Grundt n 721
2.43/1
1.83/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Ieltsin Camões n 834.1
1.64/1
13/0
Tromso — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Heine Asen Larsen n 873
0.32/0
0.32/0
Troy Nyhammer n 874.9
0.53/0
00/0
V. Erlien n 822.9
0.51/0
00/0
Ruben Jenssen n 890
00/0
0.31/1
Alexander Warneryd n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
Tromso — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Grundt n 721
3.13/2
Isak Dahlqvist n 854.5
2.75/3
David Edvardsson n 885.5
2.58/6
V. Osuji n 847.8
2.46/3
J. Grundt n 618.5
2.42/1
Tromso — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jakob Haugaard n 890
2.95/4
Haugesund
Haugesund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. A. Jakobsen n 421
3.22/1
3.23/0
—
Bruno Leite n 850.1
25/3
2.95/4
—
A. Grindhaug n 877.1
1.85/4
15/2
—
P. Bizoza n 876.8
1.87/4
0.94/1
—
I. Camara n 825.8
1.73/1
0.91/1
—
Haugesund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Diarra n 887.5
1.57/3
1.25/2
I. Camara n 825.8
1.33/0
0.41/0
M. Dia n 881.4
1.13/3
00/0
T. Nyhammer n 867.8
15/1
0.53/0
H. Karlsen n 835.1
13/0
0.62/0
Haugesund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Diarra n 887.5
0.84/1
0.11/0
H. Karlsen n 835.1
0.31/0
00/0
N. Hamalainen n 880.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Nyhammer n 867.8
00/0
0.21/0
E. Schlichting n 860.4
0.21/0
00/0
Haugesund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Leite n 850.1
4.57/4
A. Bondhus n 842.5
3.45/4
A. Grindhaug n 877.1
2.98/5
I. Camara n 825.8
2.64/2
Eivind Helgeland n 541.8
2.22/1
Haugesund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Wichne n 890
3.98/6
E. Fauskanger n 890
3.66/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tromso v Haugesund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TromsoLLWDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
HaugesundLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tromso 4 · 0 draws · Haugesund 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-26 Haugesund 2–3 Tromso
  • 2025-03-30 Tromso 1–0 Haugesund
  • 2024-11-10 Haugesund 2–0 Tromso
  • 2024-04-14 Tromso 0–1 Haugesund
  • 2023-11-26 Tromso 2–1 Haugesund
  • 2023-05-29 Haugesund 1–2 Tromso
Goals per game
Tromso scored1.6
Haugesund scored1.4
Tromso conceded2.2
Haugesund conceded3

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Tromso v Haugesund?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tromso v Haugesund is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Tromso and Haugesund?
In their last 6 meetings, Tromso won 4, Haugesund won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tromso and Haugesund?
Recent form — Tromso 1W 2D 2L; Haugesund 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

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