Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W result

Full-time · Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W

NWSL Women · · PayPal Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W — Bay FC W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bay FC W beat North Carolina Courage W 3–0 at PayPal Park in NWSL Women on Saturday 18 July.

The goals

Bay FC W led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bay FC W: Karlie Lema (14’, assisted by Racheal Kundananji; 17’, assisted by A. Pfeiffer) and Racheal Kundananji (54’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Karlie Lema’s goal on 17 minutes.

What it changes

Bay FC W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Racheal Kundananji (Bay FC W) 9.8, Karlie Lema (Bay FC W) 9.7 and R. Jackson (North Carolina Courage W) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bay FC W or North Carolina Courage W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Bay FC W next travel to Angel City W on 25 October 2026.

North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Referee: L. Aldrich
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Bay FC W 3 · draws 1 · North Carolina Courage W 1 · 2.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L · North Carolina Courage W 4W 0D 1L

Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.2 / 3.4
Corners
against 4.2 / 4 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.6 / 2.2
Shots on target
against 4 / 2.6 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2 / 1
Cards
against 1.6 / 1.4 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBay FC W for / againstLineNorth Carolina Courage W for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.2 for · 4.2 against n 5
9.5standard
3.4 for · 4 against n 5
Shots
13.8 for · 11.8 against n 5
19.5standard
10.6 for · 10.6 against n 5
Shots on target
4.6 for · 4 against n 5
8.5standard
2.2 for · 2.6 against n 5
Fouls committed
10.6 for · 8.8 against n 5
21.5standard
8 for · 7.2 against n 5
Cards shown
2 for · 1.6 against n 5
3.5standard
1 for · 1.4 against n 5

Referee: L. Aldrich.

Bay FC W
Bay FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Racheal Kundananji n 869
25/4
0.84/1
—
Madeline Moreau n 644.2
24/2
00/0
—
Claire Hutton n 690.7
1.74/3
1.34/2
—
Karlie Lema n 866.6
1.77/2
0.73/1
—
Aldana Cometti n 667.7
1.66/1
1.66/1
—
Bay FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Racheal Kundananji n 869
2.86/6
1.14/3
Cristiana Girelli n 855.9
2.24/3
1.22/1
Karlie Lema n 866.6
1.54/3
1.44/2
Kennedy Fuller n 758.7
1.55/2
0.94/0
Caroline Conti n 553.4
1.34/0
13/0
Bay FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kennedy Fuller n 758.7
0.42/0
00/0
Cristiana Girelli n 855.9
0.41/1
00/0
Dorian Bailey n 648.3
0.31/0
00/0
Taylor Huff n 872.8
0.21/0
00/0
Racheal Kundananji n 869
00/0
0.21/0
Bay FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Claire Hutton n 690.7
3.56/6
Hanna Bebar n 882.6
3.48/7
Anouk Denton n 387.3
2.73/3
Aldana Cometti n 667.7
2.24/3
Sydney Collins n 889.3
27/5
Bay FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jordan Silkowitz n 885.8
4.36/5
North Carolina Courage W
North Carolina Courage W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Matsukubo n 576.2
2.65/5
1.44/2
—
C. Wickenheiser n 526.6
21/1
00/0
—
R. Jackson n 877.5
1.56/2
0.42/1
—
A. Schlegel n 852.1
1.33/2
1.33/2
—
D. Weatherholt n 876.9
1.26/2
1.24/3
—
North Carolina Courage W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Matsukubo n 576.2
3.34/4
1.23/1
Olivia Wingate n 328.7
3.11/1
2.11/1
A. Sanchez n 866.3
2.26/4
1.56/3
A. Schlegel n 852.1
1.54/1
0.21/0
E. Ijeh n 667.8
1.35/1
0.73/0
North Carolina Courage W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Sanchez n 866.3
0.84/1
0.21/0
Olivia Wingate n 328.7
11/0
00/0
F. Rauch n 850.6
0.42/0
0.42/0
E. Ijeh n 667.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Matsukubo n 576.2
00/0
0.52/0
North Carolina Courage W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Wickenheiser n 526.6
6.13/3
M. Matsukubo n 576.2
3.15/4
R. Williams n 879.6
2.87/6
Uno Shiragaki n 678.5
2.73/3
A. Schlegel n 852.1
2.65/3
North Carolina Courage W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Sheridan n 885.1
2.55/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bay FC WNorth Carolina Courage W
48%Possession52%
14Shots15
7Shots on target3
3Shots off target8
4Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box11
2Corners8
1Offsides5
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves4
409Passes407

Bay FC W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jordan Silkowitz9000000006.9
Madeline Moreau9000100207
Brooklyn Jean Courtnall9000000007.3
Aldana Cometti9000000006.9
Sydney Collins9000000207.7
Kennedy Fuller9000210506.7
C. Hutton8500001307.4
Racheal Kundananji8511312208.5
Hanna Bebar7500101206.7
Karlie Lema7420430109.1
A. Pfeiffer6701322007.2
C. Conti2300001006.6
K. Barry1600000106.4
D. Bailey1500000006.8
Kelli Hubly500000007
Cristiana Girelli500000006.5

North Carolina Courage W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Sheridan9000000006.2
Maycee Bell9000520106.5
R. Williams9000003106.5
R. Jackson9000203607.1
N. Staude9000000206.7
S. Koyama9000004106.8
A. Sanchez8700302105.9
Uno Shiragaki6300000105.8
E. Ijeh6300000106.3
A. Schlegel6300110506.4
E. Parkinson4500100505.9
F. Rauch4500001106.1
I. Garner2700100105.7
H. Betfort2700100006.1
D. Weatherholt2700100105.9
Chioma Okafor300000006.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bay FC WLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
North Carolina Courage WWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Bay FC W 3 · 1 draw · North Carolina Courage W 1 · 2.6 goals/game
  • 2026-03-28 North Carolina Courage W 1–3 Bay FC W
  • 2025-10-18 Bay FC W 1–4 North Carolina Courage W
  • 2025-04-19 North Carolina Courage W 0–1 Bay FC
  • 2024-10-20 Bay FC 1–0 North Carolina Courage W
  • 2024-09-13 North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Bay FC
League standing · 2026
Bay FC W#14 pos27 pts28 pl-14 GD
North Carolina Courage W#9 pos42 pts28 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Bay FC W scored1.07
North Carolina Courage W scored1.82
Bay FC W conceded1.57
North Carolina Courage W conceded1.46

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bay FC W and North Carolina Courage W?
In their last 5 meetings, Bay FC W won 3, North Carolina Courage W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bay FC W and North Carolina Courage W?
Recent form — Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L; North Carolina Courage W 4W 0D 1L.

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