Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W result
Team pages: Bay FC W · North Carolina Courage W · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W — Bay FC W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Bay FC W beat North Carolina Courage W 3–0 at PayPal Park in NWSL Women on Saturday 18 July.
The goals
Bay FC W led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bay FC W: Karlie Lema (14’, assisted by Racheal Kundananji; 17’, assisted by A. Pfeiffer) and Racheal Kundananji (54’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Karlie Lema’s goal on 17 minutes.
What it changes
Bay FC W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Racheal Kundananji (Bay FC W) 9.8, Karlie Lema (Bay FC W) 9.7 and R. Jackson (North Carolina Courage W) 7.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Bay FC W or North Carolina Courage W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
Bay FC W next travel to Angel City W on 25 October 2026.
North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W · NWSL Women
- Venue: PayPal Park
- Referee: L. Aldrich
- Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Bay FC W 3 · draws 1 · North Carolina Courage W 1 · 2.6 goals/game
- Recent form: Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L · North Carolina Courage W 4W 0D 1L
Bay FC W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bay FC W for / against | Line | North Carolina Courage W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.2 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.4 for · 4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.8 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.6 for · 10.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 for · 4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.2 for · 2.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.6 for · 8.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8 for · 7.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: L. Aldrich.
Bay FC W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 69 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Madeline Moreau n 6 | 44.2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Claire Hutton n 6 | 90.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
| Karlie Lema n 8 | 66.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Aldana Cometti n 6 | 67.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 69 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| Cristiana Girelli n 8 | 55.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Karlie Lema n 8 | 66.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Kennedy Fuller n 7 | 58.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Caroline Conti n 5 | 53.4 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Fuller n 7 | 58.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Cristiana Girelli n 8 | 55.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Dorian Bailey n 6 | 48.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Taylor Huff n 8 | 72.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 69 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Claire Hutton n 6 | 90.7 | 3.5 |
| Hanna Bebar n 8 | 82.6 | 3.4 |
| Anouk Denton n 3 | 87.3 | 2.7 |
| Aldana Cometti n 6 | 67.7 | 2.2 |
| Sydney Collins n 8 | 89.3 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Silkowitz n 8 | 85.8 | 4.3 |
North Carolina Courage W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Matsukubo n 5 | 76.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | — |
| C. Wickenheiser n 5 | 26.6 | 2 | 0 | — |
| R. Jackson n 8 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| A. Schlegel n 8 | 52.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Weatherholt n 8 | 76.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Matsukubo n 5 | 76.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Olivia Wingate n 3 | 28.7 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 66.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| A. Schlegel n 8 | 52.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| E. Ijeh n 6 | 67.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 66.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Olivia Wingate n 3 | 28.7 | 1 | 0 |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 50.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| E. Ijeh n 6 | 67.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Matsukubo n 5 | 76.2 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Wickenheiser n 5 | 26.6 | 6.1 |
| M. Matsukubo n 5 | 76.2 | 3.1 |
| R. Williams n 8 | 79.6 | 2.8 |
| Uno Shiragaki n 6 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
| A. Schlegel n 8 | 52.1 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Sheridan n 8 | 85.1 | 2.5 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Bay FC W | North Carolina Courage W | |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Possession | 52% |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 409 | Passes | 407 |
Bay FC W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Silkowitz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Madeline Moreau | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Brooklyn Jean Courtnall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Aldana Cometti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Sydney Collins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Kennedy Fuller | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Hutton | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Racheal Kundananji | 85 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.5 |
| Hanna Bebar | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Karlie Lema | 74 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9.1 |
| A. Pfeiffer | 67 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Conti | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Barry | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| D. Bailey | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Kelli Hubly | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Cristiana Girelli | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
North Carolina Courage W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sheridan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Maycee Bell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Jackson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 7.1 |
| N. Staude | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Koyama | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| A. Sanchez | 87 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Uno Shiragaki | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 |
| E. Ijeh | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Schlegel | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.4 |
| E. Parkinson | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.9 |
| F. Rauch | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 |
| I. Garner | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 |
| H. Betfort | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| D. Weatherholt | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Chioma Okafor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-28 North Carolina Courage W 1–3 Bay FC W
- 2025-10-18 Bay FC W 1–4 North Carolina Courage W
- 2025-04-19 North Carolina Courage W 0–1 Bay FC
- 2024-10-20 Bay FC 1–0 North Carolina Courage W
- 2024-09-13 North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Bay FC
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bay FC W v North Carolina Courage W was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bay FC W and North Carolina Courage W?
- In their last 5 meetings, Bay FC W won 3, North Carolina Courage W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bay FC W and North Carolina Courage W?
- Recent form — Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L; North Carolina Courage W 4W 0D 1L.
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