Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W result
Team pages: Bay FC W · Orlando Pride W · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W — Orlando Pride W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Orlando Pride W won 3–1 at PayPal Park in NWSL Women on Sunday 27 September. Orlando Pride W have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Orlando Pride W: H. McCutcheon (2’, assisted by S. Washington; 47’, assisted by Angelina) and L. Ovalle (90’, assisted by Barbra Banda); Bay FC W: Racheal Kundananji (11’, assisted by C. Hutton).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. McCutcheon’s goal on 47 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Bay FC W: Agostina Holzheier (86’); Orlando Pride W: L. Ovalle (87’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Haley Hanson (Orlando Pride W) 11.4, Racheal Kundananji (Bay FC W) 9.8 and C. Hutton (Bay FC W) 7.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Bay FC W or Orlando Pride W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).
Next up
Bay FC W next travel to Angel City W on 25 October 2026.
Orlando Pride W next host NJ/NY Gotham FC W on 25 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Orlando Pride W: Orlando Pride W v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W · NWSL Women
- Venue: PayPal Park
- Referee: Corbyn May
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Bay FC W 0 · draws 1 · Orlando Pride W 4 · 1.8 goals/game
- Recent form: Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L · Orlando Pride W 2W 1D 2L
Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bay FC W for / against | Line | Orlando Pride W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.57 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.57 for · 16 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.43 for · 6.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.71 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.29 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Corbyn May.
Bay FC W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Barry n 8 | 30.9 | 3.6 | 1.5 | — |
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 58.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | Luana Bertolucci |
| C. Conti n 8 | 20.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Kelli Hubly n 8 | 34 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Claire Hutton n 8 | 85.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 58.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| A. Pfeiffer n 8 | 57 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| A. Pfeiffer n 8 | 67.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| K. Barry n 8 | 30.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Karlie Lema n 8 | 68.4 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karlie Lema n 8 | 68.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Hanna Bebar n 8 | 85.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Taylor Huff n 8 | 68.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| K. Barry n 8 | 30.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Dorian Bailey n 8 | 43.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Hutton n 8 | 92.1 | 3.9 |
| Claire Hutton n 8 | 85.4 | 3.8 |
| Sydney Collins n 8 | 84.3 | 2.7 |
| J. Nighswonger n 8 | 73.9 | 2.6 |
| Hanna Bebar n 8 | 85.3 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Silkowitz n 8 | 85.3 | 3.3 |
Orlando Pride W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Bertolucci n 8 | 23.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | Racheal Kundananji |
| Barbra Banda n 8 | 68 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| S. Jackson n 8 | 31.3 | 2.2 | 2.9 | — |
| B. Banda n 8 | 57.8 | 1.9 | 2.5 | — |
| S. Yates n 8 | 46.8 | 1.4 | 3.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Banda n 8 | 57.8 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Barbra Banda n 8 | 68 | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| S. Washington n 8 | 66.1 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| L. Ovalle n 8 | 67.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Banda n 8 | 57.8 | 1 | 0 |
| Barbra Banda n 8 | 68 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| N. Payne n 5 | 39.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| H. Anderson n 8 | 72.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Marta n 8 | 53.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luana Bertolucci n 8 | 23.9 | 6.6 |
| S. Jackson n 8 | 31.3 | 2.5 |
| S. Washington n 8 | 66.1 | 2.4 |
| H. Mace n 8 | 63.5 | 2.3 |
| Zara Sona Chavoshi n 8 | 58 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Morche n 3 | 90 | 7 |
| A. Moorhouse n 8 | 74.4 | 3.8 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Bay FC W | Orlando Pride W | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 29 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 21 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 454 | Passes | 390 |
Bay FC W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Silkowitz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Sydney Collins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.4 |
| H. Gilchrist | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Joelle Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Nighswonger | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.1 |
| C. Hutton | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Racheal Kundananji | 90 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Hanna Bebar | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Taylor Huff | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Pfeiffer | 81 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Karlie Lema | 68 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Agostina Holzheier | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.4 |
| K. Barry | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Conti | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Kennedy Fuller | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Orlando Pride W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Morche | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.8 |
| Coriana Dyke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Mace | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Haley Hanson | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.1 |
| Angelina | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Barbra Banda | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Washington | 78 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Rafaelle Souza | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Oihane Hernández | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Marta | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Luana Bertolucci | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| K. Abello | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.4 |
| A. Lemos | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Ovalle | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.1 |
| H. Anderson | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| J. Doyle | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-29 Orlando Pride W 3–1 Bay FC W
- 2025-09-13 Orlando Pride W 1–1 Bay FC W
- 2025-06-14 Bay FC 0–1 Orlando Pride W
- 2024-09-21 Bay FC 0–1 Orlando Pride W
- 2024-05-11 Orlando Pride W 1–0 Bay FC
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Bay FC W and Orlando Pride W?
- In their last 5 meetings, Bay FC W won 0, Orlando Pride W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bay FC W and Orlando Pride W?
- Recent form — Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L; Orlando Pride W 2W 1D 2L.
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