Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W result

Full-time · Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W

NWSL Women · · PayPal Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W — Orlando Pride W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Orlando Pride W won 3–1 at PayPal Park in NWSL Women on Sunday 27 September. Orlando Pride W have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Orlando Pride W: H. McCutcheon (2’, assisted by S. Washington; 47’, assisted by Angelina) and L. Ovalle (90’, assisted by Barbra Banda); Bay FC W: Racheal Kundananji (11’, assisted by C. Hutton).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. McCutcheon’s goal on 47 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Bay FC W: Agostina Holzheier (86’); Orlando Pride W: L. Ovalle (87’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Haley Hanson (Orlando Pride W) 11.4, Racheal Kundananji (Bay FC W) 9.8 and C. Hutton (Bay FC W) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bay FC W or Orlando Pride W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Bay FC W next travel to Angel City W on 25 October 2026.

Orlando Pride W next host NJ/NY Gotham FC W on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Orlando Pride W: Orlando Pride W v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Referee: Corbyn May
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Bay FC W 0 · draws 1 · Orlando Pride W 4 · 1.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L · Orlando Pride W 2W 1D 2L

Bay FC W 1–3 Orlando Pride W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.88 / 6.57
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.5 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 6.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.13 / 1.29
Cards
against 0.75 / 0.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBay FC W for / againstLineOrlando Pride W for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.57 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots
13 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.57 for · 16 against n 7
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 6.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
8.71 for · 9.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 0.86 against n 7

Referee: Corbyn May.

Bay FC W
Bay FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Barry n 830.9
3.65/3
1.54/0
—
Racheal Kundananji n 858.4
2.56/5
1.26/0
Luana Bertolucci
C. Conti n 820.8
2.23/1
1.12/0
—
Kelli Hubly n 834
24/2
0.71/1
—
Claire Hutton n 885.4
1.66/4
0.74/1
—
Bay FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Racheal Kundananji n 858.4
2.97/5
1.24/1
A. Pfeiffer n 857
2.66/3
1.44/3
A. Pfeiffer n 867.5
2.25/4
1.24/3
K. Barry n 830.9
2.26/0
0.72/0
Karlie Lema n 868.4
2.16/4
14/2
Bay FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Karlie Lema n 868.4
0.53/0
00/0
Hanna Bebar n 885.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Taylor Huff n 868.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. Barry n 830.9
0.41/0
00/0
Dorian Bailey n 843.1
0.31/0
00/0
Bay FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Hutton n 892.1
3.98/5
Claire Hutton n 885.4
3.88/7
Sydney Collins n 884.3
2.77/5
J. Nighswonger n 873.9
2.66/5
Hanna Bebar n 885.3
2.27/6
Bay FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jordan Silkowitz n 885.3
3.36/5
Orlando Pride W
Orlando Pride W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luana Bertolucci n 823.9
2.44/1
3.85/2
Racheal Kundananji
Barbra Banda n 868
2.37/6
0.82/1
—
S. Jackson n 831.3
2.26/0
2.95/3
—
B. Banda n 857.8
1.96/2
2.57/3
—
S. Yates n 846.8
1.43/2
3.17/3
—
Orlando Pride W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Banda n 857.8
5.18/7
2.17/2
Barbra Banda n 868
4.57/6
2.36/4
S. Washington n 866.1
2.67/4
14/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
L. Ovalle n 867.8
1.74/4
0.72/2
Orlando Pride W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Banda n 857.8
14/1
00/0
Barbra Banda n 868
0.73/1
0.21/0
N. Payne n 539.2
0.51/0
00/0
H. Anderson n 872.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Marta n 853.6
0.42/0
00/0
Orlando Pride W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luana Bertolucci n 823.9
6.65/4
S. Jackson n 831.3
2.55/2
S. Washington n 866.1
2.47/4
H. Mace n 863.5
2.35/4
Zara Sona Chavoshi n 858
2.35/3
Orlando Pride W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Morche n 390
73/3
A. Moorhouse n 874.4
3.87/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bay FC WOrlando Pride W
54%Possession46%
29Shots9
8Shots on target4
8Shots off target2
13Blocked shots3
21Shots inside the box6
7Corners5
3Offsides0
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves7
454Passes390

Bay FC W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jordan Silkowitz9000000005.9
Sydney Collins9000001206.4
H. Gilchrist9000001406.5
Joelle Anderson9000000206.7
J. Nighswonger9000403207.1
C. Hutton9001304107.7
Racheal Kundananji9010522007.8
Hanna Bebar8900003206.7
Taylor Huff8100211106
A. Pfeiffer8100512206.6
Karlie Lema6800321106.3
Agostina Holzheier22004221Y6.4
K. Barry900201006.2
C. Conti900001006.8
Kennedy Fuller100100000

Orlando Pride W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Morche9000000008.8
Coriana Dyke9000000106.9
H. Mace9000000206.6
Haley Hanson9020321208.1
Angelina9001101407.3
Barbra Banda9001104006.5
S. Washington7801001206.7
Rafaelle Souza7100100005.9
Oihane Hernández6200110306.8
Marta6200102106
Luana Bertolucci6200000006.1
K. Abello2800000206.4
A. Lemos2800000006.3
L. Ovalle28101101Y7.1
H. Anderson1900000106.4
J. Doyle1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bay FC WLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Orlando Pride WWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Bay FC W 0 · 1 draw · Orlando Pride W 4 · 1.8 goals/game
  • 2026-05-29 Orlando Pride W 3–1 Bay FC W
  • 2025-09-13 Orlando Pride W 1–1 Bay FC W
  • 2025-06-14 Bay FC 0–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2024-09-21 Bay FC 0–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2024-05-11 Orlando Pride W 1–0 Bay FC
League standing · 2026
Bay FC W#14 pos26 pts27 pl-14 GD
Orlando Pride W#11 pos36 pts28 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Bay FC W scored1.04
Orlando Pride W scored1.36
Bay FC W conceded1.56
Orlando Pride W conceded1.57

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bay FC W v Orlando Pride W was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Bay FC W and Orlando Pride W?
In their last 5 meetings, Bay FC W won 0, Orlando Pride W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bay FC W and Orlando Pride W?
Recent form — Bay FC W 1W 1D 3L; Orlando Pride W 2W 1D 2L.

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