Bay FC W v San Diego Wave W result

Full-time · Bay FC W 1–2 San Diego Wave W

NWSL Women · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 03:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bay FC W 1–2 San Diego Wave W — San Diego Wave W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

San Diego Wave W won 2–1 at Bay FC W in NWSL Women on Sunday 17 August. Bay FC W are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. San Diego Wave W are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — San Diego Wave W: K. Ascanio (52’, assisted by P. Morroni) and K. Dali (63’, assisted by A. Leon); Bay FC W: Caroline Conti (75’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Ascanio’s goal on 52 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bay FC W 0.00, San Diego Wave W 0.00, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Bay FC W: Taylor Huff (62’); San Diego Wave W: K. McNabb (72’) and P. Morroni (89’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Conti (Bay FC W) 8.1, K. Dali (San Diego Wave W) 7.8 and A. Malonson (Bay FC W) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Bay FC W next travel to Angel City W on 25 October 2026.

San Diego Wave W next host Boston Legacy W on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for San Diego Wave W: San Diego Wave W v Boston Legacy W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bay FC W 1–2 San Diego Wave W · NWSL Women
Referee: Joshua Encarnación
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Bay FC W 1 · draws 0 · San Diego Wave W 2 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Bay FC W 1W 2D 2L · San Diego Wave W 1W 3D 1L

Bay FC W 1–2 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.5 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 6.25

Corners

against 4.25 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 0.88

Cards

against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bay FC W for / against	Line	San Diego Wave W for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.5 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	7.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Bay FC W

Bay FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Asisat Oshoala n 8	25.9	4.3 6/2	0.4 1/0	—
Jamie Shepherd n 7	12.3	3.1 3/0	1 1/0	—
Racheal Kundananji n 8	85.4	1.7 6/4	1.4 6/4	D. Cascarino
Karlie Lema n 8	44.6	1.5 5/1	0.5 2/0	A. Leon
T. Boade n 8	43.8	1.5 5/1	1.8 5/1	—

Bay FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Racheal Kundananji n 8	85.4	2.8 6/6	0.9 5/2
Asisat Oshoala n 8	25.9	2.2 4/1	0.9 1/1
P. Hocking n 8	69.9	2.1 6/5	1.6 6/4
C. Conti n 8	62.6	2 5/5	0.7 4/0
Karlie Lema n 8	44.6	1.5 5/1	0.8 2/1

Bay FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Hocking n 8	69.9	0.8 5/0	0 0/0
Taylor Huff n 8	73.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Racheal Kundananji n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
C. Conti n 8	62.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Malonson n 8	64.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Bay FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Malonson n 8	64.5	3.5 6/4
R. Hill n 8	52.9	3.4 5/4
Karlie Lema n 8	44.6	2.5 5/2
Taylor Huff n 8	73.9	2.4 6/5
Hanna Bebar n 7	59.9	2.4 5/2

Bay FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jordan Silkowitz n 8	82.1	2.5 5/4

San Diego Wave W

San Diego Wave W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Corley n 8	60.1	1.7 6/2	1.9 5/4	—
M. Sanchez n 8	38.5	1.5 3/1	3.8 5/5	—
P. Morroni n 8	81.3	1.1 4/2	1.9 7/5	—
D. Cascarino n 8	81.3	1.1 5/3	1 4/2	Racheal Kundananji
A. Leon n 8	61.3	1.1 2/2	0.7 2/2	Karlie Lema

San Diego Wave W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Q. McMahon n 4	2.8	8.2 1/0	8.2 1/0
M. Doniak n 8	13.3	4.2 4/1	1.7 2/0
M. Sanchez n 8	38.5	2.6 6/3	1.8 5/1
A. Leon n 8	61.3	2 7/3	1.1 4/2
M. Barcenas n 8	31	1.8 3/2	1.1 3/0

San Diego Wave W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Sanchez n 8	38.5	0.6 2/0	0.6 2/0
M. Doniak n 8	13.3	0.8 1/0	0 0/0
A. Leon n 8	61.3	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
P. Morroni n 8	81.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
D. Cascarino n 8	81.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0

San Diego Wave W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Q. McMahon n 4	2.8	8.2 1/0
M. Barcenas n 8	31	3.6 3/2
H. Lundkvist n 8	70.8	2.9 7/6
Kyra Carusa n 8	26.4	2.1 3/1
D. Cascarino n 8	81.3	1.9 7/4

San Diego Wave W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Sheridan n 8	81.6	2.6 6/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bay FC W		San Diego Wave W
41%	Possession	59%
9	Shots	12
4	Shots on target	7
2	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	1
6	Shots inside the box	6
2	Corners	4
1	Offsides	0
11	Fouls	9
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	3
384	Passes	561
78%	Pass accuracy	84%

Bay FC W player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jordan Silkowitz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
C. Dydasco	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Joelle Anderson	90	0	2	1	0	2	0	7
C. Conti	90	1	1	1	1	3	0	7.6
Taylor Huff	90	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.6
Racheal Kundananji	90	0	2	1	2	2	0	7
A. Malonson	89	0	0	0	2	5	0	7.3
Kelli Hubly	76	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
Karlie Lema	66	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
R. Hill	65	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Hanna Bebar	65	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
K. Pickett sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Bailey sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
T. Boade sub	25	0	1	1	0	1	0	5.9
Asisat Oshoala sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Madeline Moreau sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

San Diego Wave W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Sheridan	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Kennedy Wesley	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
K. McNabb	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
P. Morroni	90	0	1	1	0	2	4	Y	7.6
Savannah McCaskill	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Dali	90	1	0	4	3	1	1	0	8.5
D. Cascarino	89	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	7.3
Kimmi Ascanio	89	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.3
G. Corley	82	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.5
A. Leon	82	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	6.7
H. Lundkvist	61	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
T. Armstrong sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Doniak sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
L. Fazer sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Barcenas sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bay FC W v San Diego Wave W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bay FC WWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

San Diego Wave WLWDDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Bay FC W 1 · 0 draws · San Diego Wave W 2 · 3 goals/game

2025-05-05 San Diego Wave W 2–1 Bay FC
2024-05-18 Bay FC 2–1 San Diego Wave W
2024-04-28 San Diego Wave W 2–1 Bay FC

League standing · 2026

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Bay FC W#13 pos11 pts11 pl-8 GD

San Diego Wave W#6 pos37 pts26 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Bay FC W scored0.82

San Diego Wave W scored1.58

Bay FC W conceded1.55

San Diego Wave W conceded1.31

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bay FC W v San Diego Wave W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bay FC W v San Diego Wave W was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bay FC W and San Diego Wave W?: In their last 3 meetings, Bay FC W won 1, San Diego Wave W won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bay FC W and San Diego Wave W?: Recent form — Bay FC W 1W 2D 2L; San Diego Wave W 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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