Denver Summit W v Bay FC W result

Full-time · Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W

NWSL Women · · Centennial Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Denver Summit W and Bay FC W drew 2–2 at Centennial Stadium in NWSL Women on Thursday 17 September. Denver Summit W are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Bay FC W are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Denver Summit W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Denver Summit W: Lindsey Heaps (42’, assisted by N. Means) and J. Sonis (57’, assisted by Y. Ryan); Bay FC W: C. Hutton (73’, assisted by Taylor Huff) and Taylor Huff (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Taylor Huff’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Denver Summit W 0.00, Bay FC W 0.00, from 18 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Marie Durr, USA showed two yellow cards — against 1.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bay FC W: Taylor Huff (79’) and K. Barry (90+7’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Taylor Huff (Bay FC W) 10.1, J. Sonis (Denver Summit W) 6.9 and Lindsey Heaps (Denver Summit W) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Denver Summit W or Bay FC W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Denver Summit W next host Racing Louisville W on 24 October 2026.

Bay FC W next host Portland Thorns W on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Denver Summit W: Denver Summit W v Racing Louisville W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bay FC W: Bay FC W v Portland Thorns W, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Centennial Stadium · Commerce City
  • Referee: Marie Durr, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Denver Summit W 0 · draws 0 · Bay FC W 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Denver Summit W 2W 2D 1L · Bay FC W 1W 0D 4L

Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.88
Corners
against 4 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.63 / 1.13
Cards
against 1 / 1.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
1.2 yellows
Referee · Marie Durr, USA
0.2 home / 1 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDenver Summit W for / againstLineBay FC W for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.75our book
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
0.63 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: Marie Durr, USA — 1.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 7.2 fouls over 5 matches (0.2 to the home side, 1 to the away side).

Denver Summit W
Denver Summit W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kossler n 861.1
2.87/4
0.63/0
—
N. Means n 838.3
1.84/2
1.22/1
—
Lindsey Heaps n 874.1
1.75/3
1.16/1
Racheal Kundananji
A. Oke n 872.1
1.65/4
0.64/0
—
Y. Yamamoto n 456.5
1.63/1
0.81/1
—
Denver Summit W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Flint n 840.3
3.15/2
1.43/1
M. Kossler n 861.1
2.97/4
1.56/2
Y. Ryan n 884.6
2.48/7
0.85/1
A. Brazier n 851.4
2.27/2
1.56/1
Y. Yamamoto n 648.2
1.94/2
1.24/0
Denver Summit W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Yamamoto n 456.5
1.23/0
0.41/0
Y. Yamamoto n 648.2
0.62/0
0.62/0
O. Thomas n 826
0.92/0
00/0
N. Flint n 840.3
0.31/0
0.62/0
J. Sonis n 884.6
0.54/0
0.32/0
Denver Summit W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Oke n 872.1
2.28/4
Y. Yamamoto n 648.2
2.23/2
Y. Ryan n 884.6
1.76/5
Eva Gaetino n 865.4
1.75/3
N. Flint n 840.3
1.75/1
Denver Summit W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Smith n 881.9
3.67/5
Bay FC W
Bay FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Racheal Kundananji n 865.4
3.17/7
0.95/0
Lindsey Heaps
K. Barry n 828.6
2.43/1
1.23/0
—
Karlie Lema n 869.1
1.86/3
0.21/0
—
C. Hutton n 892.5
1.76/6
1.37/2
—
Claire Hutton n 885.4
1.66/4
0.74/1
—
Bay FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Pfeiffer n 849.3
2.75/3
1.64/3
A. Pfeiffer n 867.5
2.25/4
1.24/3
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
K. Barry n 828.6
25/0
0.82/0
Racheal Kundananji n 865.4
1.96/4
0.94/1
Bay FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Karlie Lema n 869.1
0.53/0
00/0
Hanna Bebar n 886
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Barry n 828.6
0.41/0
00/0
Dorian Bailey n 843.1
0.31/0
00/0
Kennedy Fuller n 872.6
0.21/0
00/0
Bay FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Hutton n 892.5
3.98/5
Claire Hutton n 885.4
3.88/7
Hanna Bebar n 886
3.17/7
K. Barry n 828.6
2.44/2
Sydney Collins n 885
2.37/5
Bay FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jordan Silkowitz n 886
4.26/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Denver Summit WBay FC W
51%Possession49%
18Shots12
10Shots on target5
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
17Shots inside the box7
6Corners2
2Offsides3
8Fouls6
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves7
404Passes411
83%Pass accuracy77%

Denver Summit W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Smith9000000006.6
M. Reid9000210006.6
K. Kurtz9000111107.1
J. Sonis9010113107.7
Lindsey Heaps9010223007.3
E. Regan9000000006.3
Y. Ryan9001331106.9
D. Lynch7800201006.3
N. Flint7800202106.7
N. Means6801001106
M. Kossler6800420006.4
A. Oke2200000006.2
O. Thomas2200100006.4
D. Sheehan1200000006
Y. Yamamoto1200000006.1

Bay FC W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jordan Silkowitz9000000007.7
Madeline Moreau9000000106.5
Joelle Anderson9000000106.2
J. Nighswonger9000000206.1
Taylor Huff90113241Y7.8
Hanna Bebar9000100206.1
Madeline Moreau9000000106.6
Karlie Lema7800221006.7
C. Hutton7710210207.4
Aldana Cometti6400000306.4
Racheal Kundananji6400200306.3
A. Pfeiffer6300100006.5
K. Barry27001000Y6.3
Kelli Hubly2600000006.1
C. Conti2600000106.6
D. Bailey1300000006
Cristiana Girelli1200000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Denver Summit W v Bay FC W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Denver Summit WDLWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Bay FC WLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Denver Summit W 0 · 0 draws · Bay FC W 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Bay FC W 2–1 Denver Summit W
League standing · 2026
Denver Summit W#10 pos38 pts28 pl+7 GD
Bay FC W#14 pos26 pts27 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Denver Summit W scored1.68
Bay FC W scored1.04
Denver Summit W conceded1.43
Bay FC W conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Denver Summit W v Bay FC W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Denver Summit W v Bay FC W was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Denver Summit W and Bay FC W?
In their last 1 meetings, Denver Summit W won 0, Bay FC W won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Denver Summit W and Bay FC W?
Recent form — Denver Summit W 2W 2D 1L; Bay FC W 1W 0D 4L.

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