Denver Summit W v Bay FC W result
Team pages: Denver Summit W · Bay FC W
The model’s pre-match pick
Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Denver Summit W and Bay FC W drew 2–2 at Centennial Stadium in NWSL Women on Thursday 17 September. Denver Summit W are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Bay FC W are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
Denver Summit W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Denver Summit W: Lindsey Heaps (42’, assisted by N. Means) and J. Sonis (57’, assisted by Y. Ryan); Bay FC W: C. Hutton (73’, assisted by Taylor Huff) and Taylor Huff (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Taylor Huff’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Denver Summit W 0.00, Bay FC W 0.00, from 18 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Marie Durr, USA showed two yellow cards — against 1.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bay FC W: Taylor Huff (79’) and K. Barry (90+7’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Taylor Huff (Bay FC W) 10.1, J. Sonis (Denver Summit W) 6.9 and Lindsey Heaps (Denver Summit W) 6.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Denver Summit W or Bay FC W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).
Next up
Denver Summit W next host Racing Louisville W on 24 October 2026.
Bay FC W next host Portland Thorns W on 18 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Denver Summit W: Denver Summit W v Racing Louisville W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bay FC W: Bay FC W v Portland Thorns W, Sunday 18 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W · NWSL Women
- Venue: Centennial Stadium · Commerce City
- Referee: Marie Durr, USA
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Denver Summit W 0 · draws 0 · Bay FC W 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Denver Summit W 2W 2D 1L · Bay FC W 1W 0D 4L
Denver Summit W 2–2 Bay FC W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Denver Summit W for / against | Line | Bay FC W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.75our book | 0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.38 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.63 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Marie Durr, USA — 1.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 7.2 fouls over 5 matches (0.2 to the home side, 1 to the away side).
Denver Summit W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kossler n 8 | 61.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | — |
| N. Means n 8 | 38.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Lindsey Heaps n 8 | 74.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | Racheal Kundananji |
| A. Oke n 8 | 72.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Y. Yamamoto n 4 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Flint n 8 | 40.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| M. Kossler n 8 | 61.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Y. Ryan n 8 | 84.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| A. Brazier n 8 | 51.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Y. Yamamoto n 6 | 48.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Yamamoto n 4 | 56.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Y. Yamamoto n 6 | 48.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| O. Thomas n 8 | 26 | 0.9 | 0 |
| N. Flint n 8 | 40.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| J. Sonis n 8 | 84.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Oke n 8 | 72.1 | 2.2 |
| Y. Yamamoto n 6 | 48.2 | 2.2 |
| Y. Ryan n 8 | 84.6 | 1.7 |
| Eva Gaetino n 8 | 65.4 | 1.7 |
| N. Flint n 8 | 40.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Smith n 8 | 81.9 | 3.6 |
Bay FC W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 65.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | Lindsey Heaps |
| K. Barry n 8 | 28.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| Karlie Lema n 8 | 69.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | — |
| C. Hutton n 8 | 92.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
| Claire Hutton n 8 | 85.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pfeiffer n 8 | 49.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| A. Pfeiffer n 8 | 67.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| K. Barry n 8 | 28.6 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Racheal Kundananji n 8 | 65.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karlie Lema n 8 | 69.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Hanna Bebar n 8 | 86 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| K. Barry n 8 | 28.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Dorian Bailey n 8 | 43.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Kennedy Fuller n 8 | 72.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Hutton n 8 | 92.5 | 3.9 |
| Claire Hutton n 8 | 85.4 | 3.8 |
| Hanna Bebar n 8 | 86 | 3.1 |
| K. Barry n 8 | 28.6 | 2.4 |
| Sydney Collins n 8 | 85 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Silkowitz n 8 | 86 | 4.2 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Denver Summit W | Bay FC W | |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Possession | 49% |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 17 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 404 | Passes | 411 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
Denver Summit W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Reid | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Kurtz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 |
| J. Sonis | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Lindsey Heaps | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Regan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Ryan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Lynch | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Flint | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| N. Means | 68 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| M. Kossler | 68 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| A. Oke | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| O. Thomas | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| D. Sheehan | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Y. Yamamoto | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
Bay FC W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Silkowitz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Madeline Moreau | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Joelle Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Nighswonger | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Taylor Huff | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | Y | 7.8 |
| Hanna Bebar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Madeline Moreau | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Karlie Lema | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Hutton | 77 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Aldana Cometti | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Racheal Kundananji | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Pfeiffer | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Barry | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| Kelli Hubly | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| C. Conti | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Bailey | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Cristiana Girelli | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Denver Summit W v Bay FC W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-14 Bay FC W 2–1 Denver Summit W
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Denver Summit W v Bay FC W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Denver Summit W v Bay FC W was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Denver Summit W and Bay FC W?
- In their last 1 meetings, Denver Summit W won 0, Bay FC W won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Denver Summit W and Bay FC W?
- Recent form — Denver Summit W 2W 2D 1L; Bay FC W 1W 0D 4L.
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