Houston Dash W v Bay FC W result

Full-time · Houston Dash W 1–0 Bay FC W

NWSL Women · Sat, 25 Jul 2026 01:00 BST · Shell Energy Stadium

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Houston Dash W 1–0 Bay FC W — Houston Dash W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Houston Dash W beat Bay FC W 1–0 at Shell Energy Stadium in NWSL Women on Saturday 25 July. It is Houston Dash W’s first win over Bay FC W since 31 March 2024, after three meetings without one (the 4 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Houston Dash W: L. Ullmark (90’, assisted by Avery Patterson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Ullmark’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Houston Dash W 0.00, Bay FC W 0.00, from 16 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Shawn Tehini, USA showed three yellow cards — against 1.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Houston Dash W: Avery Patterson (39’) and C. Larisey (90+5’); Bay FC W: Caroline Conti (66’).

What it changes

Houston Dash W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Claire Hutton (Bay FC W) 9.0, L. Ullmark (Houston Dash W) 7.6 and J. Campbell (Houston Dash W) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Houston Dash W or Bay FC W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Houston Dash W next travel to Chicago Red Stars W on 24 October 2026.

Bay FC W next travel to Angel City W on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Houston Dash W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bay FC W: Angel City W v Bay FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Houston Dash W 1–0 Bay FC W · NWSL Women
Venue: Shell Energy Stadium · Houston
Referee: Shawn Tehini, USA
Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Houston Dash W 1 · draws 2 · Bay FC W 1 · 4.5 goals/game
Recent form: Houston Dash W 1W 2D 2L · Bay FC W 2W 1D 2L

Houston Dash W 1–0 Bay FC W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.13

Goals

against 2 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

1.57 / 4.67

Corners

against 6.57 / 4.83 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.75 / 5

Shots on target

against 6 / 3.83 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.38 / 1.67

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.33 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

1.25 yellows

Referee · Shawn Tehini, USA

0.5 home / 0.75 away

over 8 matches

232

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Houston Dash W for / against	Line	Bay FC W for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	1.57 for · 6.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.67 for · 4.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	7.13 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.83 for · 12.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 3.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.5 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 8.83 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.67 for · 1.33 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Shawn Tehini, USA — 1.25 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 10.5 fouls over 8 matches (0.5 to the home side, 0.75 to the away side).

Home 0.5Away 0.75

Houston Dash W

Houston Dash W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Puntigam n 8	68.4	2 7/4	0.7 4/0	—
E. Ekic n 6	15.7	1.9 2/0	1 1/0	—
L. Ullmark n 8	74.1	1.7 6/4	1.7 7/2	—
S. Puntigam n 7	59.1	1.7 5/2	0 0/0	—
K. van Zanten n 8	70	1.6 4/3	1.8 6/4	—

Houston Dash W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Rader n 8	83.6	2 8/5	1.6 7/5
S. Schmidt n 8	22.9	2 3/1	0.5 1/0
K. van Zanten n 8	70	1.6 5/3	0.8 3/1
M. Bright n 8	43	1.3 4/1	0.5 2/0
L. Ullmark n 8	74.1	1.1 3/3	0.6 2/2

Houston Dash W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Schmidt n 8	22.9	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0
K. Faasse n 8	55.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
K. Rader n 8	83.6	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
M. Graham n 8	84.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Ullmark n 8	74.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Houston Dash W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Ekic n 6	15.7	2.9 2/1
D. Colaprico n 8	64.6	2.6 7/5
M. Berkely n 7	66.7	2.5 5/3
L. Boattin n 8	53.8	2.5 5/3
Avery Patterson n 8	86.9	2.3 6/5

Houston Dash W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Campbell n 8	83.5	4.6 8/5

Bay FC W

Bay FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Barry n 3	14	4.3 1/1	0 0/0	—
C. Conti n 8	41.9	2.1 5/2	1.3 4/1	—
Madeline Moreau n 6	44.2	2 4/2	0 0/0	—
Karlie Lema n 8	70.3	1.8 7/3	0.6 3/1	—
Racheal Kundananji n 8	68.5	1.8 4/4	0.8 4/1	—

Bay FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Pfeiffer n 5	41.4	3 3/2	1.7 2/2
Racheal Kundananji n 8	68.5	2.8 6/6	1 4/2
Cristiana Girelli n 8	54.1	2.3 4/3	1.2 2/1
Karlie Lema n 8	70.3	2.1 5/4	1.8 5/3
Kennedy Fuller n 8	62.6	1.6 6/3	0.9 5/0

Bay FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Karlie Lema n 8	70.3	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Racheal Kundananji n 8	68.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Kennedy Fuller n 8	62.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Cristiana Girelli n 8	54.1	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
A. Pfeiffer n 5	41.4	0 0/0	0.4 1/0

Bay FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Hutton n 8	75.6	4.5 8/6
Claire Hutton n 6	90.7	3.5 6/6
Hanna Bebar n 8	86.4	3.4 8/8
Anouk Denton n 3	87.3	2.7 3/3
Kelli Hubly n 8	40.8	2.2 4/2

Bay FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jordan Silkowitz n 8	85.8	4.3 6/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Houston Dash W		Bay FC W
48%	Possession	52%
16	Shots	17
7	Shots on target	7
7	Shots off target	6
2	Blocked shots	4
8	Shots inside the box	8
4	Corners	8
0	Offsides	3
7	Fouls	7
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
7	Saves	7
398	Passes	415
76%	Pass accuracy	82%

Houston Dash W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Campbell	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Avery Patterson	90	0	1	2	1	1	1	Y	7.2
L. Klenke	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.7
L. Ullmark	90	1	0	4	3	5	1	0	7.9
M. Graham	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.7
K. Rader	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
P. K. Nielsen	83	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
A. Chapman	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
D. Colaprico	75	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7
K. Faasse	75	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
K. van Zanten	65	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	6.7
C. Larisey sub	25	0	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.9
S. Puntigam sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Schmidt sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Berkely sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Boattin sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9

Bay FC W player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jordan Silkowitz	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Aldana Cometti	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Brooklyn Jean Courtnall	90	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Madeline Moreau	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Claire Hutton	90	2	2	2	5	0	7.7
Hanna Bebar	90	0	0	1	6	0	7.3
Sydney Collins	89	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
Kennedy Fuller	82	2	0	2	0	0	6.3
Caroline Conti	82	2	2	1	0	Y	6.6
A. Pfeiffer	65	3	2	1	1	0	6.7
Karlie Lema	65	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
K. Barry sub	25	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Cristiana Girelli sub	25	1	0	2	0	0	6.9
Joelle Anderson sub	8	2	1	0	0	0	6.5
Dorian Bailey sub	8	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Kelli Hubly sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Houston Dash W v Bay FC W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Houston Dash WWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Bay FC WLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Houston Dash W 1 · 2 draws · Bay FC W 1 · 4.5 goals/game

2025-08-03 Bay FC W 2–2 Houston Dash W
2025-05-25 Houston Dash W 2–2 Bay FC
2024-11-03 Houston Dash W 2–3 Bay FC
2024-03-31 Bay FC 2–3 Houston Dash W

League standing · 2026

Houston Dash W#13 pos30 pts28 pl-6 GD

Bay FC W#14 pos26 pts27 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

Houston Dash W scored1.25

Bay FC W scored1.04

Houston Dash W conceded1.46

Bay FC W conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Houston Dash W v Bay FC W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Houston Dash W v Bay FC W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dash W and Bay FC W?: In their last 4 meetings, Houston Dash W won 1, Bay FC W won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Houston Dash W and Bay FC W?: Recent form — Houston Dash W 1W 2D 2L; Bay FC W 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.