Kansas City W v Washington Spirit W prediction

NWSL Women · · CPKC Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Kansas City W v Washington Spirit W, NWSL Women on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 21:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kansas City W host Washington Spirit W in NWSL Women on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Kansas City W or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Nine of Kansas City W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Kansas City W’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Kansas City W have four wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.38. Kansas City W have scored 50 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Kansas City W have conceded 38 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Six of Washington Spirit W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Washington Spirit W’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Washington Spirit W have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.86. Washington Spirit W have scored 40 goals, the eighth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Washington Spirit W have conceded 26 goals, the second-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Kansas City W have won their last three matches in all competitions. Kansas City W (fourth) and Washington Spirit W (third) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kansas City W the stronger side, 75 rating points above Washington Spirit W (Kansas City W 1682, Washington Spirit W 1607, after at least 154 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Washington Spirit W 4–0 Kansas City W.

Team news

Predicted Kansas City W XI (4-2-3-1): Lorena, K. Sharples, I. Rodriguez, L. Rouse, E. Ball, L. LaBonta, M. Cooper, V. DiBernardo, T. Chawinga, D. de Oliveira, H. Hopkins — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Temwa Chawinga (6.8 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Croix Bethune (6.2 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and eight assists) have been Kansas City W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Kansas City W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Temwa Chawinga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 586 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Croix Bethune averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1309 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Washington Spirit W XI (4-3-3): S. MacIver, G. Carle, E. Morgan, T. McKeown, L. Di Guglielmo, H. Hershfelt, M. Bethi, A. Sullivan, T. Rodman, S. Cantore, R. Kouassi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Trinity Rodman (4.8 per match over 20 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and Leicy Santos (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Washington Spirit W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Washington Spirit W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Trinity Rodman averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1591 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Leicy Santos averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 856 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NWSL Women · CPKC Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kansas City W 2 · draws 1 · Washington Spirit W 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kansas City W 3W 1D 1L · Washington Spirit W 3W 0D 2L

Kansas City W v Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKansas City W for / againstLineWashington Spirit W for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
17.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Kansas City W
Kansas City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Hocking n 816.5
4.14/2
2.74/0
—
Michelle Ivory Cooper n 873.1
1.75/4
1.16/1
—
Raquel Rodríguez n 827.9
1.64/0
2.45/1
—
Laney Rouse n 878.4
1.14/2
0.74/1
—
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
13/0
12/1
—
Kansas City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Haley Hopkins n 881.9
3.37/5
1.87/3
T. Chawinga n 870.5
2.97/5
1.15/2
Amelia White n 827
2.94/2
1.73/1
Michelle Ivory Cooper n 873.1
2.56/4
0.53/0
Débora de Oliveira n 872
2.37/3
1.45/2
Kansas City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Haley Hopkins n 881.9
0.83/2
0.42/1
T. Chawinga n 870.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
Croix Bethune n 872.9
0.21/0
0.64/0
Raquel Rodríguez n 827.9
0.41/0
0.41/0
Amelia White n 827
0.41/0
0.41/0
Kansas City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Scott n 348.3
53/3
Laney Rouse n 878.4
3.78/7
B. Feist n 828.4
3.63/2
Croix Bethune n 872.9
2.57/4
Vanessa DiBernardo n 871
2.54/4
Kansas City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marisa Bova n 890.3
36/4
Lorena n 888.4
2.77/5
Washington Spirit W
Washington Spirit W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Bethi n 763.6
2.86/3
1.65/2
—
Gift Monday n 826.3
2.14/1
0.92/0
—
Claudia Martínez n 827.6
25/0
0.82/0
—
Monique Ngock n 643.3
1.74/1
1.73/2
—
Clara Luvanga n 342.3
1.42/0
0.71/0
—
Washington Spirit W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Clara Luvanga n 342.3
4.33/2
1.42/0
Trinity Rodman n 891.3
3.58/6
1.48/3
Tamara Bolt n 824.1
2.34/1
0.92/0
M. Bethi n 763.6
1.86/2
0.42/0
Ashley Hatch n 837.3
1.85/1
0.93/0
Washington Spirit W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Clara Luvanga n 342.3
0.71/0
00/0
Trinity Rodman n 891.3
0.22/0
0.43/0
Tamara Bolt n 824.1
0.51/0
00/0
Leicy Santos n 869.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Claudia Martínez n 827.6
00/0
0.41/0
Washington Spirit W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Claudia Martínez n 827.6
4.57/2
Monique Ngock n 643.3
4.26/3
G. Carle n 885.6
3.87/6
Tamara Bolt n 824.1
2.82/2
Lucia Di Guglielmo n 878.1
2.67/5
Washington Spirit W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sandy MacIver n 884.4
3.57/5
Sandy MacIver n 880.6
2.86/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kansas City W v Washington Spirit W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kansas City WDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Washington Spirit WLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kansas City W 2 · 1 draw · Washington Spirit W 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Washington Spirit W 4–0 Kansas City W
  • 2025-09-13 Kansas City W 0–0 Washington Spirit W
  • 2025-03-22 Washington Spirit W 0–2 Kansas City W
  • 2024-09-21 Kansas City W 3–0 Washington Spirit W
  • 2024-08-25 Washington Spirit W 4–1 Kansas City W
  • 2023-09-30 Washington Spirit W 2–1 Kansas City W
League standing · 2026
Kansas City W#4 pos47 pts28 pl+12 GD
Washington Spirit W#3 pos52 pts28 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Kansas City W scored1.79
Washington Spirit W scored1.43
Kansas City W conceded1.36
Washington Spirit W conceded0.93

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kansas City W v Washington Spirit W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kansas City W v Washington Spirit W is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Kansas City W and Washington Spirit W?
In their last 6 meetings, Kansas City W won 2, Washington Spirit W won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kansas City W and Washington Spirit W?
Recent form — Kansas City W 3W 1D 1L; Washington Spirit W 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →