North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W result

Full-time · North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W

NWSL Women ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W drew 1–1 in NWSL Women on Sunday 17 August. Portland Thorns W have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Portland Thorns W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Portland Thorns W: Olivia Moultrie (44’); North Carolina Courage W: T. Lussi (70’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Lussi’s goal on 70 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: North Carolina Courage W 0.00, Portland Thorns W 0.00, from 4 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

North Carolina Courage W are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mackenzie Arnold (Portland Thorns W) 3.4, Casey Murphy (North Carolina Courage W) 3.0 and Isabella Obaze (Portland Thorns W) 2.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, North Carolina Courage W or Portland Thorns W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.

Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W · NWSL Women
  • Referee: Natalie Simon
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): North Carolina Courage W 2 · draws 2 · Portland Thorns W 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: North Carolina Courage W 2W 1D 2L · Portland Thorns W 3W 0D 2L

North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 0.5
Cards
against 1 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorth Carolina Courage W for / againstLinePortland Thorns W for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
0.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
North Carolina Courage W
North Carolina Courage W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Betfort n 830.4
35/2
2.26/0
—
B. Pinto n 822.9
2.54/1
00/0
—
Manaka Matsukubo n 880.4
1.46/4
1.15/3
—
F. Rauch n 864.9
1.45/2
00/0
—
T. Lussi n 847.6
1.43/3
1.44/1
—
North Carolina Courage W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Manaka Matsukubo n 880.4
2.87/6
2.17/3
T. Lussi n 847.6
2.45/2
1.24/1
Jaedyn Shaw n 842.1
1.96/1
1.34/1
A. Sanchez n 843
1.85/2
0.83/0
S. Koyama n 847.8
1.43/2
0.21/0
North Carolina Courage W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Manaka Matsukubo n 880.4
0.63/1
0.43/0
Jaedyn Shaw n 842.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
Meredith Speck n 837.1
00/0
0.62/0
Aline Gomes n 721.3
0.61/0
00/0
F. Rauch n 864.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
North Carolina Courage W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. O'Sullivan n 883
57/7
T. Lussi n 847.6
3.55/3
Jaedyn Shaw n 842.1
2.77/2
R. Jackson n 872.9
2.37/5
S. Koyama n 847.8
2.16/2
North Carolina Courage W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Casey Murphy n 883
1.95/1
Portland Thorns W
Portland Thorns W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Castellanos n 849
2.56/2
0.72/1
—
Kaitlyn Torpey n 860.8
2.27/3
0.63/0
—
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
2.25/4
1.65/2
—
Pietra Tordin n 838
1.84/2
2.14/2
—
Jayden Perry n 882.1
1.57/2
1.46/3
—
Portland Thorns W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Linnehan n 829.8
4.56/4
1.95/0
Pietra Tordin n 838
3.65/2
1.84/1
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
2.66/4
1.44/2
Reilyn Turner n 870.9
2.16/5
15/1
D. Castellanos n 849
2.14/2
0.72/1
Portland Thorns W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pietra Tordin n 838
1.24/0
00/0
Jessie Fleming n 867.8
0.21/0
0.73/1
Reilyn Turner n 870.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
S. Coffey n 878.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Portland Thorns W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Coffey n 878.8
3.97/5
Daiane Limeira Santos n 38.7
3.51/0
H. Sugita n 875.9
3.37/6
Jessie Fleming n 867.8
2.35/3
Mallie McKenzie n 838.4
2.35/2
Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mackenzie Arnold n 890
3.17/6
B. Bixby n 781
2.55/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
North Carolina Courage WPortland Thorns W
50%Possession50%
4Shots1
2Shots on target0
1Shots off target0
1Blocked shots1
2Shots inside the box1
2Corners0
1Offsides1
2Fouls2
0Saves1
131Passes131
85%Pass accuracy80%

North Carolina Courage W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Casey Murphy2600000006.3
K. Kurtz2600000207
R. Williams2600000006.6
T. Lussi2600001006.6
Maycee Bell2600000006.6
D. O'Sullivan2600110207
B. Pinto2600000006.6
R. Jackson2600001006.9
A. Sanchez2600111207
Manaka Matsukubo2600100006.7
Aline Gomes2600001106.7

Portland Thorns W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mackenzie Arnold2600000006.7
Mallie McKenzie2600000006.3
Sam Hiatt2600000006.7
Isabella Obaze2600000207.2
Reyna Reyes2600000006.5
Jessie Fleming2600000006.3
S. Coffey2600000006.3
H. Sugita2600000106.6
Olivia Moultrie2600000006.3
Pietra Tordin2600001006.2
Reilyn Turner2600000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
North Carolina Courage WLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Portland Thorns WLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
North Carolina Courage W 2 · 2 draws · Portland Thorns W 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-30 Portland Thorns W 0–0 North Carolina Courage W
  • 2024-06-09 Portland Thorns W 1–0 North Carolina Courage W
  • 2024-04-13 North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Portland Thorns W
  • 2023-08-21 Portland Thorns W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W
  • 2023-05-06 North Carolina Courage W 3–3 Portland Thorns W
  • 2022-08-24 North Carolina Courage W 3–1 Portland Thorns W
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
North Carolina Courage W#9 pos35 pts26 pl-2 GD
Portland Thorns W#3 pos40 pts26 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
North Carolina Courage W scored1.42
Portland Thorns W scored1.38
North Carolina Courage W conceded1.5
Portland Thorns W conceded1.12

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W?
In their last 6 meetings, North Carolina Courage W won 2, Portland Thorns W won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W?
Recent form — North Carolina Courage W 2W 1D 2L; Portland Thorns W 3W 0D 2L.

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