North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W result
Team pages: North Carolina Courage W · Portland Thorns W · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W drew 1–1 in NWSL Women on Sunday 17 August. Portland Thorns W have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Portland Thorns W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Portland Thorns W: Olivia Moultrie (44’); North Carolina Courage W: T. Lussi (70’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Lussi’s goal on 70 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: North Carolina Courage W 0.00, Portland Thorns W 0.00, from 4 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
What it changes
North Carolina Courage W are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mackenzie Arnold (Portland Thorns W) 3.4, Casey Murphy (North Carolina Courage W) 3.0 and Isabella Obaze (Portland Thorns W) 2.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, North Carolina Courage W or Portland Thorns W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).
Next up
North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.
Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W · NWSL Women
- Referee: Natalie Simon
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): North Carolina Courage W 2 · draws 2 · Portland Thorns W 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: North Carolina Courage W 2W 1D 2L · Portland Thorns W 3W 0D 2L
North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | North Carolina Courage W for / against | Line | Portland Thorns W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.25 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.63 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.25 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
North Carolina Courage W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Betfort n 8 | 30.4 | 3 | 2.2 | — |
| B. Pinto n 8 | 22.9 | 2.5 | 0 | — |
| Manaka Matsukubo n 8 | 80.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | — |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 64.9 | 1.4 | 0 | — |
| T. Lussi n 8 | 47.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manaka Matsukubo n 8 | 80.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| T. Lussi n 8 | 47.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Jaedyn Shaw n 8 | 42.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 43 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| S. Koyama n 8 | 47.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manaka Matsukubo n 8 | 80.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Jaedyn Shaw n 8 | 42.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Meredith Speck n 8 | 37.1 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Aline Gomes n 7 | 21.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 64.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. O'Sullivan n 8 | 83 | 5 |
| T. Lussi n 8 | 47.6 | 3.5 |
| Jaedyn Shaw n 8 | 42.1 | 2.7 |
| R. Jackson n 8 | 72.9 | 2.3 |
| S. Koyama n 8 | 47.8 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Murphy n 8 | 83 | 1.9 |
Portland Thorns W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Castellanos n 8 | 49 | 2.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Kaitlyn Torpey n 8 | 60.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Caiya Hanks n 8 | 55.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | — |
| Pietra Tordin n 8 | 38 | 1.8 | 2.1 | — |
| Jayden Perry n 8 | 82.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Linnehan n 8 | 29.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| Pietra Tordin n 8 | 38 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Caiya Hanks n 8 | 55.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Reilyn Turner n 8 | 70.9 | 2.1 | 1 |
| D. Castellanos n 8 | 49 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pietra Tordin n 8 | 38 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Jessie Fleming n 8 | 67.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Reilyn Turner n 8 | 70.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Caiya Hanks n 8 | 55.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| S. Coffey n 8 | 78.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Coffey n 8 | 78.8 | 3.9 |
| Daiane Limeira Santos n 3 | 8.7 | 3.5 |
| H. Sugita n 8 | 75.9 | 3.3 |
| Jessie Fleming n 8 | 67.8 | 2.3 |
| Mallie McKenzie n 8 | 38.4 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Arnold n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| B. Bixby n 7 | 81 | 2.5 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| North Carolina Courage W | Portland Thorns W | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 4 | Shots | 1 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 1 | Shots off target | 0 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 2 | Shots inside the box | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Fouls | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 131 | Passes | 131 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
North Carolina Courage W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Murphy | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Kurtz | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Williams | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Lussi | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Maycee Bell | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. O'Sullivan | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Pinto | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Jackson | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Sanchez | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Manaka Matsukubo | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Aline Gomes | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
Portland Thorns W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Arnold | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Mallie McKenzie | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Sam Hiatt | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Isabella Obaze | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Reyna Reyes | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jessie Fleming | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Coffey | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Sugita | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Olivia Moultrie | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pietra Tordin | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Reilyn Turner | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-30 Portland Thorns W 0–0 North Carolina Courage W
- 2024-06-09 Portland Thorns W 1–0 North Carolina Courage W
- 2024-04-13 North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Portland Thorns W
- 2023-08-21 Portland Thorns W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W
- 2023-05-06 North Carolina Courage W 3–3 Portland Thorns W
- 2022-08-24 North Carolina Courage W 3–1 Portland Thorns W
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for North Carolina Courage W v Portland Thorns W was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W?
- In their last 6 meetings, North Carolina Courage W won 2, Portland Thorns W won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W?
- Recent form — North Carolina Courage W 2W 1D 2L; Portland Thorns W 3W 0D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.