Orlando Pride W v San Diego Wave W result

Full-time · Orlando Pride W 1–2 San Diego Wave W

NWSL Women · · Inter&Co Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Orlando Pride W · San Diego Wave W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Orlando Pride W 1–2 San Diego Wave W — San Diego Wave W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

San Diego Wave W won 2–1 at Inter&Co Stadium in NWSL Women on Saturday 3 October. Orlando Pride W have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

San Diego Wave W led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — San Diego Wave W: Luisa Agudelo (4’, assisted by T. Byars) and G. Corley (22’); Orlando Pride W: Barbra Banda (52’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luisa Agudelo’s goal on 4 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Orlando Pride W: Oihane Hernández (90+1’) and Barbra Banda (90+7’); San Diego Wave W: Kimmi Ascanio (90+11’).

What it changes

It is San Diego Wave W’s first win over Orlando Pride W since 25 August 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). San Diego Wave W have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luisa Agudelo (San Diego Wave W) 6.3, Barbra Banda (Orlando Pride W) 5.7 and A. D. Van Zanten (San Diego Wave W) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Orlando Pride W or San Diego Wave W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Orlando Pride W next host NJ/NY Gotham FC W on 25 October 2026.

San Diego Wave W next host Boston Legacy W on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Orlando Pride W: Orlando Pride W v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for San Diego Wave W: San Diego Wave W v Boston Legacy W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Orlando Pride W 1–2 San Diego Wave W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Inter&Co Stadium · Orlando, Florida
  • Referee: Alexandra Billeter
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Orlando Pride W 4 · draws 1 · San Diego Wave W 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Orlando Pride W 2W 1D 2L · San Diego Wave W 4W 0D 1L

Orlando Pride W 1–2 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.86 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.86 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 6.71 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 0.75
Cards
against 1 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOrlando Pride W for / againstLineSan Diego Wave W for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 5.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
13.14 for · 17.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.71 for · 6.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.71 for · 8.57 against n 7
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 1 against n 7
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Alexandra Billeter.

Orlando Pride W
Orlando Pride W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Barbra Banda n 868.1
2.57/6
1.23/2
—
S. Jackson n 831.3
2.26/0
2.95/3
—
B. Banda n 857.8
1.96/2
2.57/3
—
K. Abello n 848.6
1.45/1
0.52/0
—
S. Yates n 846.8
1.43/2
3.17/3
—
Orlando Pride W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Banda n 857.8
5.18/7
2.17/2
Barbra Banda n 868.1
47/5
25/3
S. Washington n 866.4
2.46/4
14/2
Haley Hanson n 889.8
27/6
1.16/3
L. Ovalle n 863.8
1.95/4
0.93/2
Orlando Pride W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Banda n 857.8
14/1
00/0
Barbra Banda n 868.1
0.52/1
0.32/0
N. Payne n 539.2
0.51/0
00/0
Haley Hanson n 889.8
0.42/1
00/0
A. Lemos n 871.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Orlando Pride W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luana Bertolucci n 827.5
4.14/3
K. Abello n 848.6
3.26/6
S. Washington n 866.4
2.78/5
S. Jackson n 831.3
2.55/2
H. Mace n 870.1
2.46/5
Orlando Pride W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Morche n 490
74/4
A. Moorhouse n 874.4
3.87/4
San Diego Wave W
San Diego Wave W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ludmila n 859.3
2.77/4
0.94/1
—
A. Leon n 816.6
2.74/0
00/0
—
Laila Harbert n 830.3
2.24/1
0.41/0
—
M. Barcenas n 874.6
1.75/4
1.44/3
—
K. Ascanio n 870.9
1.77/3
1.35/3
—
San Diego Wave W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ludmila n 874.1
37/5
1.45/3
T. Byars n 871.6
2.77/6
1.66/3
Ludmila n 859.3
2.57/4
0.94/1
M. Barcenas n 874.6
1.87/4
1.26/2
L. E. Godfrey n 867.4
1.87/4
0.84/1
San Diego Wave W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Fusco n 510.8
00/0
1.71/0
T. Byars n 871.6
0.62/2
0.31/1
M. Barcenas n 874.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
G. Corley n 866.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
K. Dali n 869
0.21/0
0.21/0
San Diego Wave W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Wynalda n 812.4
6.45/1
A. D. Van Zanten n 879.1
3.16/5
P. Morroni n 884.6
2.77/6
Laila Harbert n 830.3
1.92/2
Luisa Agudelo n 677.2
1.73/2
San Diego Wave W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Panos n 890
2.14/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Orlando Pride WSan Diego Wave W
39%Possession61%
11Shots15
3Shots on target7
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box8
2Corners6
0Offsides1
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
374Passes609

Orlando Pride W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Morche9000000006.8
Oihane Hernández90001004Y5.5
Coriana Dyke9000000106.5
H. Anderson9000000306
A. Lemos9000002106.3
Haley Hanson9000200306.7
Barbra Banda90104210Y6.8
H. Mace7100101206.5
Angelina6400001206.6
L. Ovalle6400003306.1
S. Washington6400211206.2
S. Yates2600000406.4
Marta2600000106.4
K. Abello1900100005.9

San Diego Wave W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Panos9000000006.8
Kennedy Wesley9000000106.8
K. McNabb9000000006.9
P. Morroni9000100006.6
K. Dali9000221106.6
Kimmi Ascanio90000011Y6.9
T. Byars9001325008.1
A. D. Van Zanten8500001506.5
M. Barcenas7800111006.7
Luisa Agudelo5910310207.7
G. Corley5910110007.7
Ludmila3100200106.7
L. Fazer3100203106.5
B. Bonansea1200000306.4
Brooklyn Jean Courtnall500000106.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Orlando Pride W v San Diego Wave W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Orlando Pride WLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
San Diego Wave WWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Orlando Pride W 4 · 1 draw · San Diego Wave W 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 San Diego Wave W 0–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2025-09-27 San Diego Wave W 1–2 Orlando Pride W
  • 2025-03-29 Orlando Pride W 2–1 San Diego Wave W
  • 2024-06-08 San Diego Wave W 1–1 Orlando Pride W
  • 2024-04-20 Orlando Pride W 1–0 San Diego Wave W
  • 2023-08-25 Orlando Pride W 1–2 San Diego Wave W
League standing · 2026
Orlando Pride W#11 pos36 pts28 pl-6 GD
San Diego Wave W#2 pos54 pts28 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Orlando Pride W scored1.36
San Diego Wave W scored1.5
Orlando Pride W conceded1.57
San Diego Wave W conceded1.04

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Orlando Pride W v San Diego Wave W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Orlando Pride W v San Diego Wave W was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Orlando Pride W and San Diego Wave W?
In their last 6 meetings, Orlando Pride W won 4, San Diego Wave W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Orlando Pride W and San Diego Wave W?
Recent form — Orlando Pride W 2W 1D 2L; San Diego Wave W 4W 0D 1L.

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