Portland Thorns W v Racing Louisville W result

Full-time · Portland Thorns W 4–0 Racing Louisville W

NWSL Women · · Providence Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portland Thorns W · Racing Louisville W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Thorns W 4–0 Racing Louisville W — Portland Thorns W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Thorns W beat Racing Louisville W 4–0 at Providence Park in NWSL Women on Monday 6 July. Racing Louisville W have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Portland Thorns W led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Portland Thorns W: Jayden Perry (13’, assisted by Pietra Tordin), Pietra Tordin (36’, assisted by Olivia Moultrie), Reilyn Turner (41’, assisted by Sophia Wilson) and Sophia Wilson (82’, assisted by Pietra Tordin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Perry’s goal on 13 minutes.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portland Thorns W or Racing Louisville W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.

Racing Louisville W next travel to Denver Summit W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portland Thorns W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Racing Louisville W: Denver Summit W v Racing Louisville W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portland Thorns W 4–0 Racing Louisville W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Providence Park
  • Referee: S. Tehini
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Thorns W 1 · draws 2 · Racing Louisville W 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Thorns W 1W 2D 2L · Racing Louisville W 1W 0D 4L

Portland Thorns W 4–0 Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.8
Corners
against 4.83 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.67 / 3.2
Shots on target
against 5.33 / 4.8 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
0.67 / 1
Cards
against 1.33 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortland Thorns W for / againstLineRacing Louisville W for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.83 against n 6
9.5standard
4.8 for · 5 against n 5
Shots
12.17 for · 16.17 against n 6
19.5standard
12.2 for · 15.8 against n 5
Shots on target
4.67 for · 5.33 against n 6
8.5standard
3.2 for · 4.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 10 against n 6
21.5standard
9.2 for · 9.2 against n 5
Cards shown
0.67 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
1 for · 1 against n 5

Referee: S. Tehini.

Portland Thorns W
Portland Thorns W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mckenzie n 326.3
2.32/0
1.11/0
—
Marie-Yasmine Alidou n 830.6
1.84/1
0.72/0
—
Sophia Wilson n 687
1.65/3
1.76/4
—
Cassandra Bogere n 675.7
1.66/2
0.62/1
—
Mary Alice Vignola n 877.5
15/2
0.43/0
—
Portland Thorns W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sophia Wilson n 687
46/5
2.66/4
Olivia Moultrie n 875.8
2.48/4
0.74/1
Reilyn Turner n 870.6
2.26/3
0.83/2
D. Castellanos n 860.3
1.35/2
0.94/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 825.8
1.32/1
0.92/0
Portland Thorns W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mckenzie n 326.3
1.11/0
00/0
Sophia Wilson n 687
0.74/0
0.21/0
Olivia Moultrie n 875.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
Pietra Tordin n 684.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Marie-Yasmine Alidou n 830.6
00/0
0.41/0
Portland Thorns W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cassandra Bogere n 675.7
4.46/6
Jessie Fleming n 891.5
37/6
Olivia Moultrie n 875.8
38/8
Marie Müller n 482.3
2.74/3
Reyna Reyes n 891.5
27/6
Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mackenzie Arnold n 891.5
4.38/6
Racing Louisville W
Racing Louisville W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Hodge n 839.1
2.64/3
1.74/2
—
A. McKeen n 313.3
2.31/0
2.31/0
—
K. O'Kane n 686.2
1.95/3
1.25/1
—
K. Fischer n 875.9
1.86/3
1.56/3
—
Maja Lardner n 430.3
1.52/0
0.71/0
—
Racing Louisville W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Weber n 373
2.53/2
1.63/1
A. McKeen n 313.3
2.31/0
00/0
K. Fischer n 875.9
1.86/4
0.63/1
E. Sears n 879.5
1.45/4
0.74/1
T. Flint n 889.6
1.35/2
14/1
Racing Louisville W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Weber n 373
0.82/0
00/0
K. O'Kane n 686.2
0.21/0
0.32/0
L. Milliet n 888.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
K. Fischer n 875.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Sears n 879.5
00/0
0.32/0
Racing Louisville W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. McKeen n 313.3
4.52/0
T. Flint n 889.6
3.16/6
Q. McMahon n 851.1
2.45/2
K. O'Kane n 686.2
2.36/3
K. Fischer n 875.9
1.87/3
Racing Louisville W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bloomer n 880.5
3.95/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portland Thorns W v Racing Louisville W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland Thorns WLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Racing Louisville WLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portland Thorns W 1 · 2 draws · Racing Louisville W 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-08 Racing Louisville W 3–1 Portland Thorns W
  • 2025-09-06 Racing Louisville W 1–2 Portland Thorns W
  • 2025-04-27 Portland Thorns W 3–3 Racing Louisville W
  • 2024-10-19 Racing Louisville W 1–0 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-03-30 Portland Thorns W 2–2 Racing Louisville W
  • 2023-09-02 Racing Louisville W 2–1 Portland Thorns W
League standing · 2026
Portland Thorns W#7 pos44 pts28 pl+6 GD
Racing Louisville W#15 pos24 pts28 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Portland Thorns W scored1.68
Racing Louisville W scored1.32
Portland Thorns W conceded1.46
Racing Louisville W conceded1.93

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Thorns W v Racing Louisville W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Thorns W v Racing Louisville W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Thorns W and Racing Louisville W?
In their last 6 meetings, Portland Thorns W won 1, Racing Louisville W won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Thorns W and Racing Louisville W?
Recent form — Portland Thorns W 1W 2D 2L; Racing Louisville W 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →