Portland Thorns W v Seattle Reign FC W result

Full-time · Portland Thorns W 4–2 Seattle Reign FC W

NWSL Women ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Thorns W 4–2 Seattle Reign FC W — Portland Thorns W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Thorns W beat Seattle Reign FC W 4–2 in NWSL Women on Sunday 10 August. Seattle Reign FC W have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Portland Thorns W led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Seattle Reign FC W: E. Adames (3’, assisted by J. Fishlock) and J. Fishlock (64’, assisted by M. Curry); Portland Thorns W: S. Coffey (18’ pen), Reilyn Turner (26’, assisted by Jessie Fleming), Reyna Reyes (55’) and Pietra Tordin (65’, assisted by H. Sugita).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Reilyn Turner’s goal on 26 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Portland Thorns W 0.00, Seattle Reign FC W 0.00, from 23 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Portland Thorns W’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 15, across seven matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Sugita (Portland Thorns W) 9.8, S. Coffey (Portland Thorns W) 9.2 and Reilyn Turner (Portland Thorns W) 7.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portland Thorns W or Seattle Reign FC W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.

Seattle Reign FC W next travel to Utah Royals W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portland Thorns W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Seattle Reign FC W: Utah Royals W v Seattle Reign FC W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portland Thorns W 4–2 Seattle Reign FC W · NWSL Women
  • Referee: Ekaterina Koroleva
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Thorns W 3 · draws 2 · Seattle Reign FC W 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Thorns W 3W 0D 2L · Seattle Reign FC W 3W 1D 1L

Portland Thorns W 4–2 Seattle Reign FC W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.63 / 1.38
Cards
against 0.75 / 0.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePortland Thorns W for / againstLineSeattle Reign FC W for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 9.88 against n 8
19.5standard
8.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
0.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8

Referee: Ekaterina Koroleva.

Portland Thorns W
Portland Thorns W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kaitlyn Torpey n 867.4
2.38/4
0.53/0
—
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
2.25/4
1.65/2
—
D. Castellanos n 850.1
2.25/2
0.72/1
—
Pietra Tordin n 830.6
2.24/2
1.53/1
—
S. Coffey n 878.8
1.66/4
0.75/0
S. Meza
Portland Thorns W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Linnehan n 831.1
3.65/3
1.85/0
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
2.66/4
1.44/2
Pietra Tordin n 830.6
2.65/1
1.54/0
D. Castellanos n 850.1
2.25/2
0.93/1
Reilyn Turner n 871.6
26/5
0.64/0
Portland Thorns W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pietra Tordin n 830.6
1.13/0
00/0
Jessie Fleming n 865
0.21/0
0.52/1
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Jayden Perry n 882.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Coffey n 878.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
Portland Thorns W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Coffey n 878.8
3.67/4
H. Sugita n 875.9
3.37/6
Caiya Hanks n 855.5
2.26/3
Jessie Fleming n 865
2.15/3
Kaitlyn Torpey n 867.4
26/4
Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mackenzie Arnold n 890
3.68/7
B. Bixby n 781
2.55/3
Seattle Reign FC W
Seattle Reign FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sally Marie Menti n 571.8
2.54/3
1.83/2
—
N. Mondésir n 845.4
25/2
1.23/1
—
S. Meza n 876.8
1.57/2
1.26/2
S. Coffey
Madison Curry n 873
1.56/3
1.55/3
—
A. James n 875
1.26/1
0.63/1
—
Seattle Reign FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Adames n 851.4
1.86/1
1.34/1
J. Fishlock n 847.9
1.65/2
0.73/0
Maddie Mercado n 820.9
1.63/0
1.63/0
J. Huitema n 859.4
1.32/1
0.62/1
M. Fishel n 435.8
1.31/1
0.61/0
Seattle Reign FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Adames n 851.4
0.72/1
00/0
J. Fishlock n 847.9
0.52/0
0.21/0
Ji So-yun n 852.3
0.21/0
0.41/1
Maddie Dahlien n 870.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Lynn Biyendolo n 873.3
0.32/0
00/0
Seattle Reign FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Madison Curry n 873
4.58/6
Ainsley McCammon n 827.3
4.15/2
S. Meza n 876.8
3.47/7
A. James n 875
36/5
Emily Mason n 830.1
34/2
Seattle Reign FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Dickey n 890
2.86/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Portland Thorns WSeattle Reign FC W
40%Possession60%
23Shots11
11Shots on target3
9Shots off target3
3Blocked shots5
14Shots inside the box9
4Corners5
2Offsides1
5Fouls11
1Saves7
300Passes442
75%Pass accuracy83%

Portland Thorns W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mackenzie Arnold9000000006.6
Sam Hiatt9000000106.2
Isabella Obaze9000102007.2
Reyna Reyes9010221207.3
S. Coffey9010211307.9
H. Sugita9001422208.2
Jessie Fleming8401003507.2
Olivia Moultrie8400111207
Reilyn Turner8410222108.3
Mallie McKenzie7500000206.9
Pietra Tordin7510631008
Kaitlyn Torpey sub1600000006.3
D. Castellanos sub1600000006.7
Daiane Limeira Santos sub1200000006.6
Marie-Yasmine Alidou sub1200000006.7
P. Linnehan sub1200200006.7

Seattle Reign FC W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Dickey9000000007.3
S. Huerta9000001207
Shae Holmes9000001006
Madison Curry9001001107.3
S. Meza9000000406.3
E. Adames9010320107.2
J. Fishlock7811211007.9
Maddie Dahlien7800000006.3
Sally Marie Menti6700101206.5
Jordyn Bugg6000001106.2
J. Huitema6000001106.9
Lauren Barnes sub3100000006.3
Lynn Biyendolo sub3100000006.3
M. Fishel sub2400002006.7
Ji So-yun sub1300000006.5
N. Mondésir sub1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portland Thorns W v Seattle Reign FC W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland Thorns WWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Seattle Reign FC WLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portland Thorns W 3 · 2 draws · Seattle Reign FC W 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-04-19 Seattle Reign FC 1–0 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-06-16 Seattle Reign FC 0–0 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-05-12 Portland Thorns W 4–0 Seattle Reign FC
  • 2023-09-17 Portland Thorns W 2–0 Seattle Reign FC
  • 2023-06-04 Seattle Reign FC 0–2 Portland Thorns W
  • 2022-07-10 Seattle Reign FC 2–2 Portland Thorns W
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Portland Thorns W#3 pos40 pts26 pl+7 GD
Seattle Reign FC W#10 pos14 pts11 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Portland Thorns W scored1.38
Seattle Reign FC W scored0.91
Portland Thorns W conceded1.12
Seattle Reign FC W conceded1.18

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Thorns W v Seattle Reign FC W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Thorns W v Seattle Reign FC W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Thorns W and Seattle Reign FC W?
In their last 6 meetings, Portland Thorns W won 3, Seattle Reign FC W won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Thorns W and Seattle Reign FC W?
Recent form — Portland Thorns W 3W 0D 2L; Seattle Reign FC W 3W 1D 1L.

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