San Diego Wave W v North Carolina Courage W result

Full-time · San Diego Wave W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W

NWSL Women · Sat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 BST · Snapdragon Stadium

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: San Diego Wave W · North Carolina Courage W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

San Diego Wave W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W — San Diego Wave W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.27 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

San Diego Wave W beat North Carolina Courage W 2–1 at Snapdragon Stadium in NWSL Women on Saturday 12 September. North Carolina Courage W have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

San Diego Wave W led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — San Diego Wave W: G. Corley (23’) and M. Barcenas (72’); North Carolina Courage W: A. Sanchez (82’, assisted by S. Koyama).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Corley’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: San Diego Wave W 0.00, North Carolina Courage W 0.00, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Matthew Thompson, USA showed one yellow card — against 1.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — North Carolina Courage W: Chioma Okafor (44’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Sanchez (North Carolina Courage W) 7.6, M. Barcenas (San Diego Wave W) 7.1 and S. Koyama (North Carolina Courage W) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, San Diego Wave W or North Carolina Courage W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

San Diego Wave W next host Boston Legacy W on 25 October 2026.

North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for San Diego Wave W: San Diego Wave W v Boston Legacy W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: San Diego Wave W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W · NWSL Women
Venue: Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego
Referee: Matthew Thompson, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): San Diego Wave W 2 · draws 2 · North Carolina Courage W 2 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: San Diego Wave W 2W 1D 2L · North Carolina Courage W 3W 0D 2L

San Diego Wave W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 3.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.13

Corners

against 3.63 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 3 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 0.75

Cards

against 1.25 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

1 yellows

Referee · Matthew Thompson, USA

0.2 home / 0.8 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	San Diego Wave W for / against	Line	North Carolina Courage W for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.63 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Matthew Thompson, USA — 1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 15 fouls over 5 matches (0.2 to the home side, 0.8 to the away side).

Home 0.2Away 0.8

San Diego Wave W

San Diego Wave W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Laila Harbert n 8	24	3.8 5/2	0 0/0	—
A. Leon n 8	21.3	2.6 5/0	0 0/0	—
Ludmila n 8	72	2.2 6/5	0.9 5/1	—
K. Ascanio n 8	70.9	1.7 7/3	1.3 5/3	—
Gabi Portilho n 8	26.6	1.7 4/0	3.4 4/3	—

San Diego Wave W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ludmila n 8	74.1	3 7/5	1.4 5/3
M. Barcenas n 8	65.9	2.4 7/3	1.7 6/3
T. Byars n 8	74.1	1.8 6/5	1.5 6/3
L. E. Godfrey n 8	67.4	1.8 7/4	0.8 4/1
Ludmila n 8	72	1.7 6/4	0.5 3/0

San Diego Wave W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Fusco n 5	10.8	0 0/0	1.7 1/0
T. Byars n 8	74.1	0.9 3/3	0.3 1/1
M. Barcenas n 8	65.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
G. Corley n 8	69.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Ludmila n 8	74.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

San Diego Wave W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Wynalda n 8	14.4	5.5 5/1
P. Morroni n 8	84.8	2.7 7/6
A. D. Van Zanten n 8	81.3	2.5 6/4
G. Corley n 8	69.5	1.8 5/3
K. Ascanio n 8	70.9	1.7 6/2

San Diego Wave W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Panos n 8	90.9	1.6 4/2
Luisa Agudelo n 3	75	1.2 1/0

North Carolina Courage W

North Carolina Courage W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Jackson n 8	64.8	1.6 6/2	0.7 3/1	—
E. Parkinson n 8	64.1	1.6 5/3	2.1 6/3	—
F. Rauch n 8	65.8	1.5 6/3	0.9 5/0	—
Uno Shiragaki n 4	59.3	1.5 2/1	0 0/0	—
Lucas Pasquoto n 8	31.1	1.4 2/1	0.4 1/0	—

North Carolina Courage W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Betfort n 8	17.3	3.3 4/1	1.3 2/0
Chioma Okafor n 8	25.5	2.6 3/1	0.4 1/0
E. Ijeh n 8	60.5	2.4 6/4	1.7 5/2
A. Sanchez n 8	63.4	2.3 6/3	2 6/2
A. Schlegel n 8	45.1	1.7 6/1	1.2 4/1

North Carolina Courage W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Sanchez n 8	63.4	1.2 4/2	0.5 3/0
E. Ijeh n 8	60.5	1.1 3/2	0.4 2/0
Lauryn Thompson n 5	43.4	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
Chioma Okafor n 8	25.5	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
A. Schlegel n 8	45.1	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0

North Carolina Courage W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Wickenheiser n 8	28.3	3.2 4/3
F. Rauch n 8	65.8	2.7 8/5
R. Williams n 8	67	2.5 7/5
R. Jackson n 8	64.8	2.4 5/4
E. Parkinson n 8	64.1	2.3 6/3

North Carolina Courage W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Sheridan n 8	67	3.2 5/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
San Diego Wave W		North Carolina Courage W
53%	Possession	47%
9	Shots	12
5	Shots on target	6
3	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	1
4	Shots inside the box	9
1	Corners	3
1	Offsides	2
9	Fouls	9
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	3
588	Passes	526
86%	Pass accuracy	82%

San Diego Wave W player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
S. Panos	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.8
Brooklyn Jean Courtnall	90	0	0	0	0	3	6
Kennedy Wesley	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
K. McNabb	90	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
P. Morroni	90	0	0	0	1	2	6.3
K. Dali	90	0	1	1	0	2	6.8
Luisa Agudelo	90	0	2	1	1	4	6.1
M. Barcenas	89	1	2	1	2	2	7.3
Kimmi Ascanio	81	0	1	0	0	1	6.6
T. Byars	81	0	2	1	1	3	6.9
G. Corley	63	1	1	1	2	1	7.4
Laila Harbert	27	0	0	0	0	2	6.3
A. Leon	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. Fazer	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Harrison	1	0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina Courage W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Sheridan	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Williams	90	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	6.6
Uno Shiragaki	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
S. Koyama	90	0	1	0	0	2	4	0	7
E. Parkinson	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	5.6
A. Sanchez	90	1	0	3	2	0	4	0	6.7
E. Ijeh	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
N. Staude	89	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
F. Rauch	81	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6
V. Boe Risa	81	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Chioma Okafor	63	0	0	3	1	1	3	Y	6.3
C. Wickenheiser	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
D. Weatherholt	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
H. Betfort	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind San Diego Wave W v North Carolina Courage W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

San Diego Wave WLDWWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

North Carolina Courage WLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

San Diego Wave W 2 · 2 draws · North Carolina Courage W 2 · 3.17 goals/game

2025-08-02 North Carolina Courage W 0–0 San Diego Wave W
2025-05-26 San Diego Wave W 5–2 North Carolina Courage W
2024-10-05 North Carolina Courage W 2–1 San Diego Wave W
2024-09-09 San Diego Wave W 1–4 North Carolina Courage W
2023-10-07 North Carolina Courage W 0–0 San Diego Wave W
2023-04-02 San Diego Wave W 3–1 North Carolina Courage W

League standing · 2026

San Diego Wave W#2 pos54 pts28 pl+13 GD

North Carolina Courage W#9 pos42 pts28 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

San Diego Wave W scored1.5

North Carolina Courage W scored1.82

San Diego Wave W conceded1.04

North Carolina Courage W conceded1.46

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for San Diego Wave W v North Carolina Courage W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for San Diego Wave W v North Carolina Courage W was Home or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between San Diego Wave W and North Carolina Courage W?: In their last 6 meetings, San Diego Wave W won 2, North Carolina Courage W won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of San Diego Wave W and North Carolina Courage W?: Recent form — San Diego Wave W 2W 1D 2L; North Carolina Courage W 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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