Seattle Reign FC W v Portland Thorns W result

Full-time · Seattle Reign FC W 2–0 Portland Thorns W

NWSL Women · · Lumen Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Seattle Reign FC W 2–0 Portland Thorns W — Seattle Reign FC W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Seattle Reign FC W beat Portland Thorns W 2–0 at Lumen Field in NWSL Women on Sunday 12 July.

The goals

Seattle Reign FC W led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Seattle Reign FC W: R. Brown (8’, assisted by A. McCammon) and M. Mercado (43’, assisted by S. Meza).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Mercado’s goal on 43 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Seattle Reign FC W 3.18, Portland Thorns W 2.34, from 17 shots to 25 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Abdou Ndiaye, USA showed two yellow cards — against 0.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Seattle Reign FC W: S. Meza (56’); Portland Thorns W: D. Castellanos (88’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. McCammon (Seattle Reign FC W) 9.0, Jessie Fleming (Portland Thorns W) 8.2 and S. Meza (Seattle Reign FC W) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Portland Thorns W, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

Seattle Reign FC W next travel to Utah Royals W on 24 October 2026.

Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Seattle Reign FC W: Utah Royals W v Seattle Reign FC W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Portland Thorns W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Seattle Reign FC W 2–0 Portland Thorns W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Lumen Field · Seattle
  • Referee: Abdou Ndiaye, USA
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Seattle Reign FC W 1 · draws 1 · Portland Thorns W 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Seattle Reign FC W 1W 0D 4L · Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L

Seattle Reign FC W 2–0 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.2
Corners
against 4 / 5.2 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
2.5 / 4.2
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 4.8 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
0.75 / 0.4
Cards
against 0.75 / 1.6 · 0 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 4 matches
0.8 yellows
Referee · Abdou Ndiaye, USA
0.6 home / 0.2 away
over 5 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSeattle Reign FC W for / againstLinePortland Thorns W for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4 against n 4
9.5standard
5.2 for · 5.2 against n 5
Shots
7.75 for · 10 against n 4
19.5standard
12.6 for · 15.6 against n 5
Shots on target
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 4
8.5standard
4.2 for · 4.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 7.75 against n 4
21.5standard
7.8 for · 10.6 against n 5
Cards shown
0.75 for · 0.75 against n 4
3.5standard
0.4 for · 1.6 against n 5

Referee: Abdou Ndiaye, USA — 0.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 15.6 fouls over 5 matches (0.6 to the home side, 0.2 to the away side).

Seattle Reign FC W
Seattle Reign FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Mondésir n 851.8
3.98/6
1.34/2
—
S. Menti n 348.3
2.52/1
1.92/1
M. Mckenzie
Holly Ward n 348
2.52/1
2.52/2
—
M. Curry n 368
1.82/2
0.41/0
—
S. Meza n 874.6
1.56/4
0.52/1
—
Seattle Reign FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Adames n 855.9
1.64/2
14/1
A. McCammon n 360.3
1.53/0
0.51/0
E. Mason n 351.7
1.22/0
0.61/0
S. Menti n 348.3
1.22/0
0.61/0
S. Huerta n 880.4
16/1
0.43/0
Seattle Reign FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Maddie Dahlien n 873.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Curry n 368
00/0
0.41/0
S. Huerta n 880.4
0.32/0
00/0
E. Adames n 855.9
0.21/0
00/0
C. Dickey n 880.4
00/0
00/0
Seattle Reign FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Mason n 351.7
3.52/1
M. Curry n 368
3.13/3
Holly Ward n 348
3.13/2
S. Meza n 874.6
2.66/5
Maddie Dahlien n 873.8
25/3
Seattle Reign FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Dickey n 880.4
25/2
Portland Thorns W
Portland Thorns W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mckenzie n 326.3
2.32/0
1.11/0
S. Menti
Marie-Yasmine Alidou n 830.6
1.84/1
0.72/0
—
Sophia Wilson n 687
1.65/3
1.76/4
—
Cassandra Bogere n 675.7
1.66/2
0.62/1
—
Mary Alice Vignola n 877.5
15/2
0.43/0
—
Portland Thorns W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sophia Wilson n 687
46/5
2.66/4
Olivia Moultrie n 875.8
2.48/4
0.74/1
Reilyn Turner n 870.6
2.26/3
0.83/2
D. Castellanos n 860.3
1.35/2
0.94/1
Pietra Tordin n 684.5
1.14/2
0.21/0
Portland Thorns W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mckenzie n 326.3
1.11/0
00/0
Sophia Wilson n 687
0.74/0
0.21/0
Olivia Moultrie n 875.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
Pietra Tordin n 684.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Marie-Yasmine Alidou n 830.6
00/0
0.41/0
Portland Thorns W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cassandra Bogere n 675.7
4.46/6
Jessie Fleming n 891.5
37/6
Olivia Moultrie n 875.8
38/8
Marie Müller n 482.3
2.74/3
Reyna Reyes n 891.5
27/6
Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mackenzie Arnold n 891.5
4.38/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Seattle Reign FC WPortland Thorns W
49%Possession51%
3.18Expected goals (xG)2.34
17Shots25
6Shots on target9
6Shots off target6
5Blocked shots10
12Shots inside the box18
3Corners8
2Offsides1
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
8Saves4
378Passes383
75%Pass accuracy81%

Seattle Reign FC W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Cassie Miller9000000009.6
P. McClernon9000000607.9
Jordyn Bugg9000100107.3
S. Huerta9000211107.3
S. Meza90010016Y7.5
M. Fishel9000311006.9
Maddie Dahlien8900003107.2
R. Brown7810210208
A. McCammon7801001307.5
M. Mercado6510111007.5
S. Menti6500210006.7
N. Mondésir sub2500004106.9
Holly Ward sub2500110006.7
E. Mason sub1200000106.9
A. James sub1200000006.3
B. Ratcliffe sub10000010–

Portland Thorns W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mackenzie Arnold9000000006.7
Marie Müller9000101206
Sam Hiatt9000000207
Jayden Perry9000110006.9
Mary Alice Vignola9000110406.3
Jessie Fleming9000114607.7
Olivia Moultrie9000213006.2
Sophia Wilson9000323206.7
Pietra Tordin8600313106.2
Jennie Immethun5500001106.2
M. Mckenzie5500111006.6
Cassandra Bogere sub3500111006.7
D. Castellanos sub9000000Y6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Seattle Reign FC W v Portland Thorns W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Seattle Reign FC WLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Portland Thorns WDWLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Seattle Reign FC W 1 · 1 draw · Portland Thorns W 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Portland Thorns W 2–0 Seattle Reign FC W
  • 2025-08-10 Portland Thorns W 4–2 Seattle Reign FC W
  • 2025-04-19 Seattle Reign FC 1–0 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-06-16 Seattle Reign FC 0–0 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-05-12 Portland Thorns W 4–0 Seattle Reign FC
  • 2023-09-17 Portland Thorns W 2–0 Seattle Reign FC
League standing · 2026
Seattle Reign FC W#8 pos43 pts28 pl+3 GD
Portland Thorns W#7 pos44 pts28 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Seattle Reign FC W scored1.29
Portland Thorns W scored1.68
Seattle Reign FC W conceded1.18
Portland Thorns W conceded1.46

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Seattle Reign FC W v Portland Thorns W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Seattle Reign FC W v Portland Thorns W was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Seattle Reign FC W and Portland Thorns W?
In their last 6 meetings, Seattle Reign FC W won 1, Portland Thorns W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Seattle Reign FC W and Portland Thorns W?
Recent form — Seattle Reign FC W 1W 0D 4L; Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 232 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →