St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk result

Full-time · St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk

Premier Division · · Richmond Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St Patrick's Athl. · Dundalk · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk — this Premier Division match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk drew 1–1 at Richmond Park in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Friday 24 July. Dundalk have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Dundalk led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Dundalk: D. Horgan (36’ pen); St Patrick's Athl.: S. Hoare (57’, assisted by A. Keena).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Hoare’s goal on 57 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: St Patrick's Athl. out-shot Dundalk 17 to 12 and created the better chances, 1.98 xG to 1.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — St Patrick's Athl.: Anto Breslin (35’), S. Hoare (49’) and J. Brown (90+4’); Dundalk: B. Burns (5’), R. Cornwall (12’), A. Dervin (24’) and K. Buckley (70’).

What it changes

St Patrick's Athl. move up from third to second (25 league matches played).

Dundalk stay fourth after this result (25 league matches played).

St Patrick's Athl. are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Dundalk are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Hoare (St Patrick's Athl.) 8.4, J. Lennon (St Patrick's Athl.) 7.7 and A. Keena (St Patrick's Athl.) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, St Patrick's Athl. or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

St Patrick's Athl. next travel to Galway United on 23 October 2026.

Dundalk next travel to Derry City on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for St Patrick's Athl.: Galway United v St Patrick's Athl., Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Dundalk: Derry City v Dundalk, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk · Premier Division
  • Venue: Richmond Park · Dublin
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): St Patrick's Athl. 3 · draws 1 · Dundalk 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: St Patrick's Athl. 3W 1D 1L · Dundalk 2W 0D 3L

St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk (Premier Division): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.14 / 5.14
Corners
against 4.43 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 3.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 2
Cards
against 4 / 2.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSt Patrick's Athl. for / againstLineDundalk for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.63 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.14 for · 4.43 against n 7
9.5standard
5.14 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
14.29 for · 9.14 against n 7
19.5standard
14.57 for · 13.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.71 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 3.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
8.86 for · 12.14 against n 7
21.5standard
10.57 for · 11.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.71 for · 4 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.14 against n 7
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mata n 815.8
3.64/1
00/0
—
S. Rooney n 38.3
3.61/0
00/0
—
Darragh Nugent n 832.8
2.44/2
2.43/2
—
J. Redmond n 884.3
1.34/3
0.11/0
B. Burns
Glory Nzingo n 418
1.31/0
1.31/0
—
St Patrick's Athl. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mata n 815.8
7.16/2
1.42/0
Glory Nzingo n 418
3.82/1
2.52/0
A. Keena n 837.6
3.66/3
0.61/1
Chris Forrester n 858.8
2.36/3
0.63/0
K. Leavy n 882.8
1.97/5
1.56/4
St Patrick's Athl. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Z. Elbouzedi n 872.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
S. Power n 863.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
K. Leavy n 882.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Edmondson n 879
0.42/1
00/0
Chris Forrester n 858.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
St Patrick's Athl. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Darragh Nugent n 832.8
4.54/4
S. Rooney n 38.3
3.61/0
J. Lennon n 873.6
3.26/6
R. Palmer n 846.4
3.24/4
L. Turner n 881.9
2.66/6
St Patrick's Athl. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Rogers n 888.1
3.16/5
J. Anang n 886.1
2.77/5
Dundalk
Dundalk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Animasahun n 870.4
2.16/4
1.14/2
—
R. Teahan n 864.3
2.17/3
1.85/3
—
Leonardo Gaxha n 422
21/1
11/0
—
D. McDaid n 854.3
1.95/2
0.62/1
—
B. Burns n 885.6
1.86/6
1.66/4
J. Redmond
Dundalk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Mullen n 837.9
3.96/3
1.24/0
G. Arubi n 884.5
2.98/6
1.36/3
E. Kenny n 880.4
2.47/4
14/2
Leonardo Gaxha n 422
22/0
11/0
D. Horgan n 871.6
1.97/3
0.64/0
Dundalk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Horgan n 871.6
0.21/0
0.84/1
G. Arubi n 884.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
E. Kenny n 880.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
D. Mullen n 837.9
0.31/0
00/0
H. Groome n 832.9
0.31/0
00/0
Dundalk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Tracey n 840.3
4.26/3
A. Dervin n 881.3
2.66/6
M. Animasahun n 870.4
2.66/4
H. Groome n 832.9
2.14/2
D. McDaid n 854.3
1.95/3
Dundalk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Minogue n 885.6
2.57/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
52%Possession48%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.43
17Shots12
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target5
6Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box9
7Corners3
6Offsides2
11Fouls18
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves4
376Passes347
72%Pass accuracy73%

St Patrick's Athl. player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Anang9000000007.3
J. Redmond9000100107
S. Hoare90101104Y7.9
J. Brown90000003Y6.9
J. Lennon9000002807.3
K. Leavy9000221507.7
A. Keena9001204007.6
L. Turner8900001207.5
R. Edmondson7600211206.9
B. Baggley5700002207
Anto Breslin57001011Y6
J. McClelland sub3300102106.9
Chris Forrester sub3300000006.9
S. Rooney sub1400110006.5
Darragh Nugent sub10000000–

Dundalk player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Minogue9000000007.3
T. Wilson9000000207.2
M. Animasahun9000200107
H. Groome9000112206.9
R. Teahan9000003206.6
D. Horgan9010322007.2
C. Dillon7700001005.9
B. Burns76001020Y6.7
T. Clarke6900210006.6
R. Cornwall45000000Y6.9
A. Dervin45000000Y6.5
E. Vassenin sub4500000106.2
K. Buckley sub45000001Y6.7
D. McDaid sub2100000206.2
S. Tracey sub1400001206.6
Leonardo Gaxha sub1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
St Patrick's Athl.WWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
DundalkWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
St Patrick's Athl. 3 · 1 draw · Dundalk 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Dundalk 2–0 St Patrick's Athl.
  • 2026-02-27 St Patrick's Athl. 4–0 Dundalk
  • 2024-09-05 Dundalk 1–2 St Patrick's Athl.
  • 2024-06-03 St Patrick's Athl. 2–3 Dundalk
  • 2024-04-12 Dundalk 0–0 St Patrick's Athl.
  • 2024-03-08 St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Dundalk
League standing · 2026
St Patrick's Athl.#3 pos59 pts34 pl+25 GD
Dundalk#6 pos42 pts34 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
St Patrick's Athl. scored1.56
Dundalk scored1.5
St Patrick's Athl. conceded0.82
Dundalk conceded1.65

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk?
In their last 6 meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 3, Dundalk won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk?
Recent form — St Patrick's Athl. 3W 1D 1L; Dundalk 2W 0D 3L.

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